Padres vs Phillies Predictions & Odds (July 14)
By Robert Duff in MLB Baseball
Updated: August 11, 2023 at 6:07 pm EDTPublished:
- The San Diego Padres are -125 away favorites against the Philadelphia Phillies as post All-Star Game MLB action resumes on Friday, July 14
- Philadelphia is 6-1 straight up in the last seven games against San Diego, but this is the first meeting since the 2022 NLCS
- Below, find the Padres vs Phillies odds and predictions
The last time the Philadelphia Phillies (48-41, 37-52 ATS) were playing host to the San Diego Padres (43-47, 44-46 ATS), it was for all the marbles in the National League Championship Series. Back then, the Phillies beat the Padres in the NLCS en route to the World Series.
This time around, there’s not nearly as much on the line, but there are still playoff implications afoot. The Phillies sit a half-game out of an NL Wild-Card position. The Padres are six games back in this race.
Oddsmakers like the Padres to get off to a winning start post-All-Star break. San Diego is set as -125 away favorites. However, the Phillies are 6-1 straight up in the last seven games against the Padres.
Padres vs Phillies Odds
| Team | Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres | -1.5 (+135) | O 9.5 (-105) | +105 |
| Philadelphia Phillies | +1.5 (-115) | U 9.5 (-115) | -125 |
First pitch on Friday, July 14, at Citizens Bank Park is set for 6:05pm ET. Philadelphia is 12-26 against the spread at home this season.
The MLB public betting trends are also leaning San Diego’s way in this game. The Padres are drawing 61% of handle and 55% of bets on the moneyline splits. San Diego is 18-24 SU on the road this season. On the total of 9.5 runs, the over is the play. It’s getting 70% of handle and 76% of bets. The Phillies are 14-21-3 on the total at home in 2023.
Bet $1 & Double Your Winnings On Your First 10 Bets!
Odds as of July 13 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim the DraftKings promo code to get a great bonus on Friday’s Padres vs Phillies game.
Darvish Winless in Over a Month
Padres veteran right-hander You Darvish took the loss in two of his three starts prior to the All-Star break. He hasn’t posted a win since June 9.
Darvish has surrendered 13 earned runs over his last 16 innings of work, giving him a 7.31 ERA over that span. He has worked a minimum of five innings in each of his past five starts, though.
Yu Darvish, Sick 90mph Splitter…and Sword. ⚔️ pic.twitter.com/gzumbJDL8f
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) July 8, 2023
Darvish is 3-3 with a 6.16 ERA in seven road starts this season. His strikeouts/walks ratio on the road is 2.50, compared to 3.86 when he’s pitching at home.
He’s 2-1 with a 2.23 ERA in seven career starts against the Phillies. Darvish is 1-1 with a 1.42 ERA in four starts at Citizens Bank Park.
Darvish vs Sanchez
| 5-6 | Record | 0-2 |
| 4.87 | ERA | 2.84 |
| 3.68 | xERA | 3.27 |
| 1.27 | WHIP | 1.03 |
| 3.18 | SO/W | 5.50 |
While he’s yet to hit the win column in five starts this season, Phillies left-hander Cristopher Sanchez is displaying decent underlying numbers. His ERA is 2.84 and his WHIP is 1.03. He’s struck out 22 in 25.1 innings of work.
I’m genuinely shocked at how well Cristopher Sanchez has been pitching.
His 2023 MLB stats:
22.1 IP | 19 H | 7 ER | 4 BB | 21 K pic.twitter.com/80TkAskY3r
— Complete Phillies (@CompletePhils) July 6, 2023
Sanchez has pitched six innings in both of his last two starts, allowing just one earned run in each appearance. He’s suffered both of his losses at home this season, however.
His ERA at home this season is 4.11, while it’s an impressive 0.90 on the road. Sanchez will be facing the Padres for the first time in his MLB career.
Phillies Turner Turns on Darvish
Philadelphia shortstop Trea Turner has enjoyed his fair share of success at the plate when facing Darvish. He’s batting .353 (??-for-17) with a homer and three RBI. Outfielder Brandon Marsh is batting .333 (1-for-3).
For the Padres, outfielder Juan Soto is a .500 hitter in a small sample size against Sanchez (1-for-2).
Padres vs Phillies Recent Results
| Date | Home-Away | Moneyline | Run Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/19/2022 | PHI 0 SDP 2 | SDP | SDP | Under |
| 06/23/2022 | SDP 2 PHI 6 | PHI | PHI | Under |
| 06/24/2022 | SDP 1 PHI 0 | SDP | PHI | Under |
| 06/25/2022 | SDP 2 PHI 4 | PHI | PHI | Under |
| 06/26/2022 | SDP 5 PHI 8 | PHI | PHI | Under |
| 10/18/2022 | SDP 0 PHI 2 | PHI | PHI | Under |
| 10/19/2022 | SDP 8 PHI 5 | SDP | SDP | Over |
| 10/21/2022 | PHI 4 SDP 2 | PHI | PHI | Under |
| 10/22/2022 | PHI 10 SDP 6 | PHI | PHI | Over |
| 10/23/2022 | PHI 4 SDP 3 | PHI | SDP | Under |
San Diego is 5-1 SU over the past six games, but just 1-5 SU in the last six road games. Darvish, though, historically has handcuffed the Phillies. Meanwhile, Sanchez is struggling with his form at home.
Padres vs Phillies Picks: San Diego Padres ML (-125)
Sports Writer
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
