Yankees vs Red Sox Picks, Odds & Best Bet (June 17)
By Robert Duff in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Boston Red Sox are -125 home favorites over the New York Yankees in the Saturday, June 17 clash between these American League East rivals
- The Yankees are 3-2 straight up in their last five games at Fenway Park
- See the Yankees vs Red Sox odds, picks and predictions
Already this season, the Boston Red Sox (35-35, 35-35 ATS) have won more games against the New York Yankees (39-31, 38-32 ATS) than they did in the previous eight meetings between these longtime American League East rivals.
Boston took two of three games last weekend at Yankee Stadium and beat New York again on Friday at Fenway Park. The Red Sox were 1-7 straight up in their previous eight clashes with the Bronx Bombers.
Oddsmakers are expecting that Boston success story to be continuing. It’s the Red Sox who are set as -125 home favorites as this three-game weekend series continues. Boston is 8-13 against the run line this season as the home chalk.
Yankees vs Red Sox Odds
| Team | Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees | +1.5 (-190) | O 9.5 (+100) | +105 |
| Boston Red Sox | -1.5 (+158) | U 9.5 (-120) | -125 |
First pitch on Saturday, June 17 at Fenway Park is set for 7:15pm ET. New York is 13-5 ATR as an away underdog this season.
The MLB public betting trends are a real mixed bag on this game. Run line handle is split 50-50, while bets are leaning 69% in favor of the Yankees. New York is 3-6 ATR over the past nine games. Moneyline splits are going both ways. Handle is heavily with the Yankees at 73%. The Yanks are 7-3 SU in the last 10 games against the Red Sox. However, it’s Boston drawing 59% of moneyline bets. The Red Sox are just 5-8 SU over their past 13 games.
There’s also indecision on the total of 9.5 runs. The over is getting 71% of handle, while the under is pulling 56% of bets. Four of the last six Yankees vs Red Sox games at Fenway Park have gone under.
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Bello Is 1-0 vs Schmidt This Season
There’s very recent history to draw upon in the pitching matchup for this game. Only six days ago at Yankee Stadium, the Red Sox beat the Yankees and right-hander Clarke Schmidt 3-2 behind the pitching of Boston righty Brayan Bello. However, neither starter figured in the decision.
Another solid night for Clarke Schmidt. 👏 pic.twitter.com/ZxtzmifDqA
— Yankees Videos (@snyyankees) June 12, 2023
Bello checked New York on three hits and two earned runs over seven innings of work. Schmidt was also solid, allowing just four hits and one earned run, a solo homer by Justin Turner, through 5.1 innings on the bump.
Schmidt vs Bello
| 2-6 | Record | 3-4 |
| 4.70 | ERA | 3.78 |
| 4.41 | xERA | 4.38 |
| 1.40 | WHIP | 1.34 |
| 3.68 | SO/W | 2.88 |
The outcome halted a three-game losing skid for Bello. Prior to that, he’d won his previous three starts. Bello is 0-2 in three career starts against the Yankees. It should be noted, though, that his ERA in those games is 1.50 and his WHIP is 1.11.
Brayan Bello’s numbers excluding his first two starts:
45 IP – 8 Starts
2.80 ERA/3.89 FIP
8.2 K/9
2.8 BB/9
1.0 HR/9
56.7% GB%
.229 BAAJust like last season, he’s getting better with every start. No homers over his last 3 outings.https://t.co/fOZerQDREJ
— Tyler Milliken ⚾️ (@tylermilliken_) June 12, 2023
New York has lost Schmidt’s last four starts, although he’s just 0-2 over that span of games. His last win came on May 19. Overall this season, the Yankees are 4-10 SU when Schmidt is their starting pitcher.
Schmidt has made five career appearances facing the Red Sox, including one start. He’s 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA. In 12 innings of work, he’s given up four home runs to Boston batters. However, in Schmidt’s only previous appearance at Fenway Park, he worked two innings of shutout, hitless ball, striking out three.
Trio of Red Sox Batters Took Schmidt Deep
Red Sox outfielder Jarren Duran is 2-for-3 (.667) when facing Schmidt. Catcher Reese McGuire is 1-for-3 (.333) with a homer and three RBI. Outfielder Alex Verdugo is also 1-for-3. DH Turner is 1-for-2 (.500) with that solo homer.
Yankees vs Red Sox Recent Results
| Date | Home-Away | Moneyline | Run Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/14/2022 | BOS 3 NYY 0 | BOS | BOS | Under |
| 09/13/2022 | BOS 6 NYY 7 | NYY | BOS | Over |
| 09/14/2022 | BOS 3 NYY 5 | NYY | NYY | Under |
| 09/22/2022 | NYY 5 BOS 4 | NYY | BOS | Over |
| 09/23/2022 | NYY 5 BOS 4 | NYY | BOS | Over |
| 09/24/2022 | NYY 7 BOS 5 | NYY | NYY | Over |
| 09/25/2022 | NYY 2 BOS 0 | NYY | NYY | Under |
| 06/09/2023 | NYY 2 BOS 3 | BOS | BOS | Under |
| 06/10/2023 | NYY 3 BOS 1 | NYY | NYY | Under |
| 06/11/2023 | NYY 2 BOS 3 | BOS | BOS | Under |
Yankees second baseman Gleyber Torres is 3-for-8 (.375) with an RBI against Bello. Both third baseman DJ LeMahieu and outfielder Billy McKinney are 1-for-3 (.333). Catcher Jose Trevino is only hitting .250 off of Bello, but he’s driven in three runs.
Yankees vs Red Sox Picks: Boston Red Sox ML (-125)
Sports Writer
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
