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NBA Player Props to Bet Today – Top A.I. Picks for Monday, Nov. 3

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in NBA Basketball

Published:


Utah Jazz forward Lauri Markkanen dribbles around a screen
Nov 2, 2025; Charlotte, North Carolina, USA; Utah Jazz forward Lauri Markkanen (23) handles the ball against the Charlotte Hornets during the second half at Spectrum Center. Mandatory Credit: Jim Dedmon-Imagn Images
  • A packed nine-game slate is on tap in the NBA on Monday, Nov. 3
  • I have asked our A.I. to provide its top player prop to bet in all nine games
  • Below, see the A.I. NBA picks today plus where to find the best odds

Monday, November 3rd, brings another nine games in the NBA, starting with Timberwolves/Nets and Bucks/Pacers at 7:00 pm ET and culminating with Heat/Clippers at 10:30 pm ET.

I have asked our internal A.I. to provide its best player prop to bet in each of the nine games. The table below sets out its picks for each game, plus the sportsbook currently offering the best price. Under the table, I have provided the A.I.’s explanation for each bet and one-click options to tail the bets.

Best A.I. NBA Prop Picks Today

GamePropBest Odds
Timberwolves vs NetsRandle Over 1.5 Threes-157 at BetRivers
Bucks vs PacersGiannis Over 6.5 Assists-142 at DraftKings
Wizards vs KnicksGeorge Over 2.5 Threes+162 at FanDuel
Jazz vs CelticsMarkkanen Over 7.5 Rebounds-132 at FanDuel
Mavericks vs RocketsSengun Over 9.5 Rebounds+110 at BetMGM
Pistons vs GrizzliesCunningham Over 9.5 Assists+116 at FanDuel
Kings vs NuggetsJokić Over 9.5 Assists-114 at Underdog
Lakers vs Trail BlazersReaves Over 24.5 Points+100 at ESPN Bet
Heat vs ClippersAdebayo Over 9.5 Rebounds+110 at FanDuel

Heading into Monday, the A.I. is 23-20 on NBA prop picks this season, narrowly in the black at +0.91 units (assuming a one-unit bet on each pick).

Best odds as of 11:41 am ET. Bookmark SBD’s guide to online casino apps if you’re interested in iGaming.

Timberwolves vs Nets Player-Prop Pick: Randle Over 2.5 Three

Justification: “The confluence of factors surrounding Randle creates an exceptional betting opportunity. Without Edwards monopolizing possessions, Randle steps into an alpha role against the league’s most generous perimeter defense. Brooklyn surrenders a league-worst 43.3% shooting from three-point range, creating an ideal environment for Randle’s expanded volume. He’s currently converting 2.7 three-pointers per game on an elite 47.1% clip, with Edwards’ absent 6.3 attempts per game needing redistribution throughout the lineup.”

Bucks vs Pacers Player-Prop Pick: Giannis Over 6.5 Assists

Justification: “The Greek Freak’s playmaking represents the strongest edge in this contest. Over his last four games, Antetokounmpo has elevated his facilitation, averaging 7.8 assists per contest with his massive 35.2% usage rate creating constant double-team scenarios.

The situational angle is compelling: Giannis has cleared 6.5 assists in his last four games, benefiting from elite shooting around him as AJ Green connects on 51.3% from deep. Indiana’s depleted defense lacks the personnel to contain Antetokounmpo without sending help, creating consistent kickout opportunities for open looks.”

Wizards vs Knicks Player-Prop Pick: George Over 2.5 Made Threes

Justification: “This represents a direct attack on New York’s primary defensive weakness while backing a shooter performing at an unsustainable but currently real level of efficiency. George is connecting on 54.5% of his three-point attempts this season on 5.5 attempts per game, maintaining that elite 55.6% clip over his last five contests on 5.4 attempts. This isn’t just variance – it’s sustained high-level shooting against legitimate NBA competition.

The Knicks’ three-point defense is bad. George will have a green light to attack this weakness, and at plus-money odds, the prop offers outstanding value given the statistical foundation and favorable matchup dynamics.”

Jazz vs Celtics Player-Prop Pick: White Over 2.5 Threes

Justification: “Everything aligns for a dominant rebounding performance from Markkanen. Boston’s league-leading three-point volume (47.3 per game) at poor efficiency (32.6%) creates an abundance of long rebounds – exactly where Markkanen excels with his mobility and positioning.

Markkanen’s home splits tell the story: 8.3 rebounds per game at Vivint Arena compared to 6.7 overall, including 2.7 offensive boards per home contest. Boston ranks just 27th in defensive rebounding rate (69.4%), providing minimal resistance to Utah’s glass-crashing approach. If Walker Kessler sits with his shoulder injury, Markkanen becomes Utah’s undisputed rebounding focal point with virtually no frontcourt competition. His season-high 12 rebounds came in similar circumstances against another high-volume shooting team.”

Mavericks vs Rockets Player-Prop Pick: Sengun Over 9.5 Rebounds

Justification: “The Mavericks have lost over 15 rebounds per game from their frontcourt with Davis and Lively sidelined, creating a massive void against the league’s most dominant rebounding team. Sengun has exceeded 9.5 rebounds in 7 of his last 10 games. Against Dallas’s remaining big men – Daniel Gafford and P.J. Washington Jr. – Sengun enjoys significant size and positioning advantages. Houston’s system generates 14.2 offensive rebounds per game, and Sengun figures to collect a disproportionate share against minimal resistance. The plus-money payout makes this an outstanding value play.”

Pistons vs Grizzlies Player-Prop Pick: Cunningham Over 9.5 Assists

Justification: “With Jaden Ivey sidelined, Cunningham operates as the undisputed floor general for Detroit’s offense.

Cunningham averages 9.8 assists per game for the season while facing a Memphis defense allowing 28.0 opponent assists per contest. His 28.6% usage rate and 2.57 assist-to-turnover ratio demonstrate complete offensive control without excessive ball-security issues. The key angle lies in his road performance: Cunningham has averaged just 7.3 assists in three home games this season, but that number skyrockets to 12.3 assists per game in three road contests. Against Memphis’s permissive defense, this trend positions him perfectly to exceed 9.5 assists.”

Kings vs Nuggets Player-Prop Pick: Jokić Over 10.5 Assists

Justification: “Jokić’s assist numbers at home create an exceptional betting opportunity against Sacramento’s porous defense. The three-time MVP averages an outstanding 12.5 assists per game in home contests this season, significantly exceeding his 10.8 season average. His elite 3.57 assist-to-turnover ratio at Ball Arena demonstrates remarkable ball security while creating for teammates.

Sacramento’s defensive vulnerabilities make this prop particularly attractive. The Kings surrender 27.3 assists per game to opponents, providing ample opportunities for Jokić’s elite court vision. Denver’s 120.1 Offensive Rating ensures consistent scoring opportunities that translate directly into assist chances for their primary facilitator.”

Lakers vs Trail Blazers Player-Prop Pick: Reaves Over 24.5 Points

Justification: “This wager targets one of the league’s most vulnerable defenses against a player operating at peak efficiency. Portland allows 116.7 points per game while permitting opponents to shoot 48.5% from the field, creating an ideal environment for Reaves to continue his scoring surge.

Reaves has elevated his game to new heights, averaging 31.1 points per game on the season before exploding for 33.4 points per game over his last five contests. His massive 30.8% usage rate ensures he’ll have ample opportunities to attack Portland’s porous defense. In the previous meeting between these teams, Reaves torched the Trail Blazers for 41 points, demonstrating his ability to exploit their defensive weaknesses. With Dončić drawing primary attention, Reaves should find favorable matchups throughout the game.”

Heat vs Clippers Player-Prop Pick: Adebayo Over 9.5 Rebounds

Justification: “This represents the most compelling statistical mismatch in the entire contest. Adebayo averages 9.0 rebounds per game this season, but the focus centers on his opponent’s weakness rather than his individual prowess. The Clippers’ 69.9% defensive rebound percentage ranks among the league’s worst, allowing 13.6 offensive rebounds per game to opponents.

The Clippers’ inability to finish defensive possessions creates multiple second-chance opportunities, and Adebayo’s motor and positioning make him the primary beneficiary. With Miami’s limited offensive rebounding support, he faces minimal competition for available boards.”

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Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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