Celtics vs Knicks Game 4 Odds, Predictions, Picks & Player Props (May 12)

• The Boston Celtics can even their series with the New York Knicks in Game 4 on Monday
• The Celtics dominated Game 3 after dropping two home games to start the best-of-seven
• See the Celtics vs Knicks Game 4 odds, predictions, and player-prop picks on May 12

The Boston Celtics (66-24, 34-9 away, 42-47-1 ATS) and New York Knicks (57-34, 28-17 home, 46-44-1 ATS) meet in an absolutely massive Game 4 at Madison Square Garden on Monday night (7:40 pm ET). With a win, the Knicks would take a 3-1 lead and put the defending-champs on the brink of elimination. A Boston victory would knot the series at 2-2 and give the Celtics all the momentum as the series shifts back to Beantown for Game 5 on Wednesday.

Unfortunately for Knicks fans, Monday’s NBA odds heavily favor Boston earning a second straight road win.

Jump to: BOS vs NYK Odds | BOS vs NYK Props | BOS vs NYK Game 4 Picks

Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks Odds (Game 4)

The Celtics are currently six-point favorites and -250 road chalk on the moneyline, which gives Boston a 71.43% implied win probability. The Knicks come back as +205 home underdogs (32.79% implied win probability). The game total is sitting at 208.5 with -110 odds each way. That’s a 3.5-point increase from Game 3, when the teams combined for 208 points in a 115-93 Boston victory.

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The series price has shifted from -115/-105 in favor of the Knicks to -300/+245 in favor of the Celtics. Boston’s NBA championship odds went from around +300 back to +200 after their Game 3 victory. New York is a +2500 longshot, second-worst odds of the eight remaining teams. Only the Steph Curry-less Warriors are longer at +6600.

After dropping Game 3 on Saturday, the Knicks are now just 1-3 at home in the postseason. They went 1-2 at MSG in round one against Detroit.

The Celtics shot the lights out from three in Game 3, going 20-of-40 from beyond the arc. They combined to go 25-of-100 from three in Games 1 and 2. Sixth-man Payton Pritchard (11.4 PPG, 2.3 RPG, 1.3 APG postseason) had a team-high 23 points off the bench in Saturday’s victory, going 5-of-10 from beyond the arc.

The Knicks, on the other hand, shot just 5-of-25 (20%) from three on Saturday and a scant 40% from the floor (32-of-80). Jalen Brunson (29.1 PPG, 3.9 RPG, 7.6 APG postseason) had a game-high 27 points, going 9-of-21 from the field, but the rest of the New York roster was 23-of-59 (38.9%).

Game 4 NYK vs BOS Player Props

NBA player props as of May 12 at DraftKings.

Jayson Tatum (26.1 PPG, 12.0 RPG, 5.6 APG postseason) once again has a point total of 27.5 in Game 4, the same number he’s had for each of the first three games of the series. Tatum has yet to exceed 23 points against the Knicks and is averaging just 19.3 PPG over his last three. He averaged 31.7 PPG against Orlando in the first round and exceeded 30 points in three of the four games he suited up for.

Brunson’s point total has increased from 26.5 in Game 3 to 27.5 ahead of Game 4. As mentioned, he had a game-high 27 on Saturday and 29 in Game 1, but just 17 points New York’s 91-90 Game 2 victory.

Celtics vs Knicks Prediction & Picks for Game 4

• Knicks moneyline (+210) at bet365
• Tatum under 27.5 points (-115) at BetMGM
• Porzingis under 8.5 points (-110) at Caesars

Just as I did with the Pacers last night in Game 4 against Cleveland – a game Indiana dominated from the opening tip – I am going to back New York to have a big bounce-back effort in a de facto must-win at home on Monday night.

While Boston routed the Knicks in Game 3, it’s easy to point to areas where the Celtics are likely to regress and the Knicks are likely to perform better, namely three-point shooting.

The Knicks shot a hair better than the Celtics from beyond the arc in the regular season (36.9% vs 36.8%) and have maintained that advantage in the playoffs as a whole (35.4% vs 35.1%).

I’m also backing two Celtics to stay under their totals: Tatum under 27.5, which is priced at -115 at BetMGM, and Porzingis under 8.5, which is -110 at Caesars. Porzingis had a total of 17.5 ahead of Game 1 and nearly ten points have been knocked off that number as of Monday morning. The 7’3 center hasn’t played more than 19 minutes in any game this series; he’s averaging just 15.3 minutes per game (compared to 27.4 against Orlando and 28.8 in the regular season). He was bageled in Game 1, had eight points in Game 2, and put up just five in Game 3, all from the free-throw line. A 48.3% shooting during the regular season, he’s hit just three of 12 shots against New York (25%).

Whether he’s sick or injured or just playing poorly, Joe Mazzulla has other,better options at the moment. I expect the Latvian to be under 20 minutes again in Game 4 and to stay under 8.5 points for the fourth straight game.