DEN Nuggets vs OKC Thunder Odds, Picks, Player Props & Prediction (Game 5)

• Tied at two games apiece, the Denver Nuggets visit the OKC Thunder in a massive Game 5 ‘
• The Thunder are big favorites to take a 3-2 lead at home on Tuesday night
• See the Nuggets vs Thunder odds, picks, predictions, and player props to bet on May 13

The OKC Thunder (74-16, 38-7 home, 56-31-4 ATS) levelled their best-of-seven Western Conference semifinal with the Denver Nuggets (56-37, 26-20 away, 44-47-2 ATS) on Sunday and now look to put the Nuggets on the brink of elimination when the series returns to OKC for Game 5 on Tuesday night (8:40 pm CT/9:40 pm ET at the Paycom Center).

The Thunder only managed a split at home in Games 1 and 2, but were +41 in total over the two games, and oddsmakers have set OKC as a big home favorite in Tuesday’s NBA odds.

Nuggets vs Thunder Game 5 Odds & Betting Lines

OKC is currently a 10-point favorite against the spread and -455 chalk on the moneyline, giving the Thunder an 81.98% implied win probability. The Nuggets come back as +345 road underdogs (22.47%). The game total is sitting at 221.5 with the over slightly favored at -115. Odds as of May 13 at Caesars. Get the best promos and bonuses at US betting sites.

The 221.5 total is by far the lowest of the series so far. The O/U in the first four games of the series was 228 or higher. The teams went over the total in the first two but stayed well under in Games 3 and 4.

DEN vs OKC Betting Results (Games 1 to 4)

Sunday’s defensive sluggest didn’t even crack 180 points. The Thunder managed to win despite shooting an abhorrent 35.6% from the field and just 24.4% from three. Denver connected at an even-worse 31.3% from the floor and an identical 24.4% from beyond the arc.

Unlike in Game 1 – Denver’s stunning road upset – the Thunder were able to win the battle on the glass, finishing +6 in rebounding. The Nuggets were +20 on the glass in Game 1 but have lost the rebounding battle in each of the last three.

Nikola Jokic (24.9 PPG, 12.7 RPG, 8.4 APG postseason) had a game-high 27 for Denver in a losing effort but was an inefficient 7-of-22 from the field.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (27.6 PPG, 6.6 RPG, 6.6 APG postseason) was about the only player who had a respectable night offensively, scoring 25 points on 8-of-19 shooting and a 9-of-12 performance from the stripe.

Denver vs OKC Player Props for Game 5

NBA player props from bet365on May 7.

SGA has the highest point total for the fifth straight game at 31.5. After scoring 30-plus in Games 1 and 2, Gilgeous-Alexander was held to just 18 in Game 3 and 25 in Game 4.

Jokic is of course the highest on the Denver side at 27.5. Since a 42-point outburst in Game 1, Jokic has stayed under 27.5 in three straight, averaging 21.3 PPG in that span. He’s continued to dominate the glass, though, pulling down at least 13 boards in three of four games in the series and averaging 14.8 RPG against OKC.

Denver Nuggets vs OKC Thunder Predictions & Picks (Game 5)

• OKC -10.0 (-110) at Caesars
• Jokic under 27.5 (-100) at bet365

The Thunder absolutely put the boots to Denver in Game 2, continuing a torrid recent history at the Paycom Center. Yes, the Nuggets managed to steal a Game 1 road victory, but you can almost count on one hand the number of OKC home losses this season (seven including playoffs) and, despite facing big spreads on a nightly basis, they went an NBA-best 30-13-2 ATS at home this season.

We saw the NBA-champion Celtics have a couple blips at home on their way to the title last season and I expect that’s who we’ll look back at Game 1 of this series when it’s all said and done. OKC is an absolute juggernaut and Game 5 will be a no-doubter as they push the Nuggets to the brink of elimination.

OKC has done a much better job of containing Jokic since Game 1, and that’s been the biggest turning point in the series. Look for OKC head coach Mark Daigneault to do everything he can to force anyone but Jokic to beat them.