Thunder vs Pacers Picks, Predictions, Trends & Betting Lines for Game 3

• The OKC Thunder and Indiana Pacers are set to meet in Game 3 of the NBA Finals on Wednesday, June 11
• The Thunder are heavy road favorites after squaring the series with a dominant win in Game 2
• See the Thunder vs Pacers picks, predictions, and best betting lines for Game 3

Tied at one game apiece in the 2025 NBA Finals, the OKC Thunder (81-19, 36-11 away, 60-36-4 ATS) and Indiana Pacers (63-37, 35-14 home, 48-50-2 ATS) meet in a massive Game 3 on Wednesday night in Indianapolis. Teams that take a 2-1 lead in the NBA Finals have an 80.5% win rate. The Pacers have been excellent at home all season but the NBA-best Thunder are sizable road favorites in Wednesday’s NBA odds.

Tip-off for Game 3 is scheduled for 7:35 pm CT/8:35 pm ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. ABC has coverage of all games in the 2025 NBA Finals.

OKC Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Betting Lines

The Thunder/Pacers point spread is currently OKC -5.5 across the board, but there are minor variations in price from book to book. OKC bettors can get -105 at ESPN Bet, while Indiana bettors are relegated to -110 odds at any of BetMGM, bet365, or Caesars. Logically, ESPN also has the best moneyline price on the Thunder at -210; OKC is -216 or longer at other books. The best moneyline price on the Pacers is +184 at FanDuel. Like the spread, the total is the same across the board (228.5), and almost all books have -110 odds each way, though under bettors can get -105 at Caesars and over bettors can get -105 at ESPN.

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Wednesday will mark the third time this postseason that Indiana has been a home underdog; the Pacers went 1-1 SU in Games 3 and 4 against Cleveland in the second round, both as five-point home underdogs (and roughly +180 on the moneyline). They were run out of the building in a 126-104 loss in Game 3 but bounced back with a runaway 129-109 win in Game 4, a contest they dominated from the opening tip and led by 41 at halftime.

OKC has been favored in every playoff game to date (and 35 straight games, overall, dating back to the regular season). Stunningly, they have yet to cover the spread on the road in the postseason (0-7 ATS), despite a 4-3 straight-up record.

OKC ATS Results in Road Playoff Games

The closest OKC has come to covering the spread on the road was their most-recent away game. The Thunder won by two points in Game 4 against Minnesota as three-point road favorites.

If a bettor had put one unit on the opponent’s moneyline in all seven OKC road games so far, they’d be up 1.89 units, despite winning just three of seven bets.

Thunder vs Pacers Picks & Prediction

• Pacers moneyline (+184) at FanDuel

There’s a fairly large body of evidence by this point that the “Regular Season Thunder” and the “Playoff Thunder” are different beasts. This dates back to last year when they were bounced by Dallas in the second round as the West #1 seed. Sportsbooks are still pricing OKC as if they’re the team that absolutely demolished the league in the regular season, going an NBA best 53-26-4 ATS despite staring down double-digit spreads on a quasi-nightly basis.

Indiana’s +184 moneyline price at FanDuel gives the Pacers just a 35.21% implied win probability. Not only is Indiana 6-2 at home straight-up in the postseason, they’re also 5-3 against the number at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.