Skip to content

A.I. NFL Picks for Week 5 – ATS and O/U A.I. Predictions for Every Game

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in NFL News

Published:


New England Patriots running back Terrell Jennings scores a TD against the Buffalo Bills
Jan 5, 2025; Foxborough, Massachusetts, USA; New England Patriots running back Terrell Jennings (26) looses control of the ball in the end zone against Buffalo Bills safety Cole Bishop (24) in the second half at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: David Butler II-Imagn Images
  • I have generated A.I. picks for all 14 NFL games on the Week 5 slate
  • Our A.I. model continues to lean towards unders despite a poor O/U record this season
  • Below, see A.I. NFL picks for all Week 5 games, including ATS and O/U predictions

Nearly a quarter of the way through the 2025 NFL regular season, our A.I. continues to struggle with its predictions. It is, however, coming off its most successful week of the season (maybe least unsuccessful would be more accurate). Perhaps with another week of data to work with, Week 5 will set a new benchmark.

In the table below, I have set out our A.I.’s NFL picks for Week 5, including its ATS and O/U prediction for all 14 games (four teams – ATL, CHI, GB, PIT – are on bye).

A.I. NFL Picks for Week 5

GameATS PickO/U Pick
SF 49ers vs LA Rams49ers +4.5Under 46.5
MIN Vikings vs CLE BrownsVikings -3.5Under 36.5
LV Raiders vs IND ColtsColts -6.5Over 48.5
NY Giants vs NO SaintsSaints +1.5Under 41.5
DAL Cowboys vs NY JetsCowboys -2.5Over 47.5
DEN Broncos vs PHI EaglesEagles -4.5Under 44.5
MIA Dolphins vs CAR PanthersPanthers +1.5Over 44.5
HOU Texans vs BAL RavensTexans +4.5Under 43.5
TEN Titans vs ARI CardinalsCardinals -9.5Under 41.5
TB Buccaneers vs SEA SeahawksSeahawks -3.0Under 44.5
DET Lions vs CIN BengalsLions -8.5Over 49.5
WSH Commanders vs LA ChargersCommanders +3.0Under 47.5
NE Patriots vs BUF BillsPatriots +8.5Under 49.5
KC Chiefs vs JAX JaguarsJaguars +3.0Under 45.5

Week 4 was the best of the season so far for our A.I.’s picks, but that’s not saying much. The A.I.’s best bets were 6-8 against the spread and 7-7 over/under in Week 4 heading into the MNF doubleheader, where it has Jets +2.5 and under 45.5 in the first game, and Bengals +7.5 and under 44.5 in the second.

BETMGM SPORTSBOOK
Get Up To $1,500 Paid Back in Bonus Bets

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (Available in the US), Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. This promotional offer is not available in DC, MS, NY, NV, ON, or PR.
LOCK IN PROMO
CODE: SBD1500
CODE: SBD1500
SIGNUP BONUS
GET $1,500
BACK

BET NOW
Claim the BetMGM promo code ahead of Week 5.

Our A.I. remains well below .500 on both its ATS and O/U picks almost a quarter of the way through the season.

A.I. Picks Record 2025 Regular Season:

  • ATS: 20-28
  • O/U: 18-30

Readers can bookmark SBD’s NFL odds page to see up-to-the-minute lines for every game this year, both regular season and playoffs.

NFL Week 5 A.I. Picks Still Love Unders

The NFL Week 5 A.I. picks lean heavily towards unders, which it has every week this season. The Week 5 O/U picks include ten under bets and just four over bets.

The only overs it is betting in Week 5 are: Raiders vs Colts (over 48.5), Cowboys vs Jets (over 47.5), Dolphins vs Panthers (over 44.5), and Lions vs Bengals (over 49.5).

The A.I. had hit just two of its 11 over wagers heading into Week 4, but went 3-1 on over bets on Sunday in Week 4, hitting on:

  • Eagles vs Buccaneers – Over 45.5
  • Ravens vs Chiefs – Over 48.5
  • Packers vs Cowboys – Over 48.5

Click the links below if you want to tail the A.I.’s over bets in Week 5.

A.I. NFL Picks for Week 5 Evenly Split Between Favorites and Underdogs

Our A.I. picks in the first four weeks leaned towards favorites each time. Week 5 marks the first time that it has picked just as many underdogs to cover the spread as chalk.

That perhaps makes some internal sense since the A.I. had its best week picking underdogs in Week 4, going 3-2 ATS. It was just 5-14 ATS picking underdogs in the first three weeks of the season.

The underdogs our A.I. is picking in Week 5 are:

  • 49ers +4.5 (@ Rams)
  • Saints +1.5 (vs Giants)
  • Panthers +1.5 (vs Dolphins)
  • Texans +4.5 (@ Ravens)
  • Commanders +3.0 (@ Chargers)
  • Patriots +8.5 (@ Bills)
  • Jaguars +3.0 (vs Chiefs)

Click on the links below to tail of our A.I.’s Week 5 underdog picks that are still available at their opening lines.

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

NFL NBA MLB NHL NCAAF NCAAB Politics Tennis MMA Sportsbooks Gambling

Recommended Reading