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A.I. NFL Player Prop Picks for Week 8 – The Best A.I. Prop Bet from Each Game

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in NFL News

Published:


Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield throwing a pass
Oct 20, 2025; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield (6) drops back to pass against the Detroit Lions during the first half at Ford Field. Mandatory Credit: Lon Horwedel-Imagn Images
  • I have asked our A.I. to provide its best NFL player prop from each Week 8 game
  • Our A.I. is 32-29 on NFL player-prop picks this season (+0.50 units)
  • See the A.I,’s NFL player-prop picks for all Week 8 games, below, plus the best available odds

Just hours before Thursday Night Football kicks off the week, I have asked our internal A.I. to provide its best player prop bet from each of the 13 games on the Week 8 schedule, starting with Vikings vs Chargers on TNF.

The table below sets out the A.I.’s NFL prop pick from each game, along with the book currently offering the best odds. Under the table, find the A.I.’s justification for each pick.

A.I. NFL Player Prop Picks for Week 8

GameProp PickBest Odds
MIN vs LACT.J. Hockenson Over 3.5 Receptions-126 (FanDuel)
NYJ vs CINC. Brown Anytime TD-125 (Underdog)
BUF vs CARJ. Allen Under 228.5 Pass Yards-115 (BetRivers)
SF vs HOUC. McCaffrey Anytime TD-140 (FanDuel)
NYG vs PHIJ. Hurts Under 1.5 Passing TDs-145 (DraftKings)
CLE vs NED. Maye Over 1.5 Passing TDs-110 (BetMGM)
CHI vs BALD. Swift Over 52.5 Rushing Yards-114 (FanDuel)
MIA vs ATLD. London Over 60.5 Receiving Yards-125 (Fanatics)
TB vs NOB. Mayfield Over 1.5 Pass TDs-160 (BetMGM)
DAL vs DENJ.K. Dobbins Anytime TD-110 (Underdog)
TEN vs INDJ. Taylor Longest Rush Over 19.5 Yards-118 (BetMGM)
GB vs PITA. Rodgers Over 21.5 Completions-115 (Underdog)
WSH vs KCR. Rice Anytime TD+100 (ESPN)

Below, readers can find a one-click option to tail each of the A.I. prop picks for Week 8, plus the A.I.’s justification for each of its picks.

  • A.I. NFL player prop record: 32-29 (+0.50 units on one-unit bets)

Readers in Missouri can find the latest news from DraftKings Missouri and FanDuel Missouri ahead of their imminent launch this winter.

Vikings vs Chargers Prop Pick: T.J. Hockenson Over 3.5 Receptions

A.I. explanation: “This prop represents exceptional value based on anticipated game script and Minnesota’s offensive tendencies under pressure. The reasoning extends beyond Hockenson’s individual ability to his quarterback’s projected struggles. With Wentz’s interception prop priced at -140, expect conservative play-calling that favors high-percentage targets.”

Jets vs Bengals Prop Pick: Chase Brown Anytime Touchdown

A.I. explanation: “The Bengals are highly effective inside the 20, scoring touchdowns on 66.7% of their red zone trips. As the lead back, Brown is the primary beneficiary of these opportunities. As heavy moneyline favorites (consensus -299), the Bengals are expected to control the game. This should lead to a run-heavy approach in the second half and multiple scoring chances, positioning Brown as the most likely player to score.”

Bills vs Panther Prop Pick: Josh Allen Under 228.5 Pass Yards

A.I. explanation: “While Allen possesses elite talent capable of explosive performances, multiple situational factors align against his passing volume in this spot. The combination of Buffalo’s post-loss tendencies and road struggles creates a compelling case for reduced aerial production..”

49ers vs Texans Prop Pick:Christian McCaffrey Anytime TD

A.I. explanation: “McCaffrey’s red zone involvement remains consistent regardless of game flow, coming off a touchdown performance that demonstrates his goal-line reliability. San Francisco’s 47.5% third-down conversion rate creates extended drives that increase scoring opportunities, while their positive turnover differential suggests potential short-field situations..”

Giants vs Eagles Prop Pick: Jalen Hurts Under 1.5 Pass TDs

A.I. explanation: “The statistical foundation supporting this play is overwhelming. Philadelphia doesn’t just succeed in the red zone – they dominate through ground-based execution. Their league-leading 82.4% red zone efficiency operates primarily through rushing touchdowns, evidenced by the market pricing. With both primary rushing threats carrying heavily juiced touchdown props, the market signals that ground scores are more probable than aerial touchdowns near the goal line. Philadelphia’s track record as heavy favorites (17-3 in their last 20) supports a ball-control philosophy that limits Hurts’ passing volume while maximizing Barkley’s touches and designed quarterback runs.”

Browns vs Patriots Prop Pick: Drake Maye Over 1.5 Pass TDs

A.I. explanation: “Maye’s connection with his receivers has clearly solidified following his breakout performance against Carolina. With the Browns’ offense struggling to maintain possession, New England should see plenty of scoring opportunities that favor their aerial attack.”

Bears vs Ravens Prop Pick: D’Andre Swift Over 52.5 Rushing Yards

A.I. explanation: “D’Andre Swift has been a workhorse, and he faces a Baltimore Ravens run defense that is among the league’s worst, surrendering 134.3 yards per game and 4.5 yards per carry..”

Dolphins vs Falcons Prop Pick: Drake London Over 60.5 Receiving Yards

A.I. explanation: “London commands a 27% target share and faces a Miami secondary that is both injured and ineffective. Miami has struggled against big, physical receivers, and London fits that mold perfectly. He is the clear top option in a passing attack that should move the ball with ease.”

Buccaneers vs Saints Prop Pick: Baker Mayfield Over 1.5 Pass TDs

A.I. explanation: “The most significant mismatch in this game is the Buccaneers’ air raid against the Saints’ secondary. Tampa Bay’s quarterback boasts a 108.5 rating, averaging 244.2 yards per game with a phenomenal 12:1 TD-to-INT ratio. Mayfield will face a New Orleans pass defense that has been hemorrhaging points, allowing 14 passing touchdowns and a dismal 104.7 opposing QB rating. The Saints generate pressure at a decent clip with 14 sacks, but if they can’t get home, the Buccaneers’ passing attack is poised to exploit a vulnerable defensive backfield..”

Cowboys vs Broncos Prop Pick: JK Dobbins Anytime TD

A.I. explanation: “The Broncos convert 68.2% of red zone opportunities into touchdowns, with Dobbins serving as their primary goal-line weapon. Dallas’s declining defensive metrics indicate vulnerability against established rushing attacks.”

Titans vs Colts Prop Pick: Jonathan Taylor Longest Rush Over 19.5 Yards

A.I. explanation: “.”

Packers vs Steelers Prop Pick: Aaron Rodgers Over 21.5 Completions

A.I. explanation: “The most compelling evidence supporting this play lies in the dramatic line reversal. Opening as a +102 underdog, this prop has been hammered to -118 favorite status, indicating substantial sharp money backing a high-completion performance.”

Commanders vs Chiefs Prop Pick: Rashee Rice Anytime TD

A.I. explanation: “Rice’s emergence as a red zone weapon makes his touchdown prop the strongest play among Kansas City skill players. The second-year receiver has scored in three of his last four games, including the recent two-touchdown explosion against Las Vegas that demonstrated his chemistry with Mahomes in crucial situations.”

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Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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