Kansas City Chiefs vs New York Giants Closing Odds & Predictions for Sunday Night Football

• The winless Chiefs visit the winless Giants on Sunday Night Football in Week 3
• Kansas City is a big road favorite, and the line may still grow
• See the Chiefs vs Giants predictions and closing odds for SNF on Sep. 21

It’s already desperation time for Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs (0-2, 0-2 ATS, 0-0 away), who are an unfamiliar 0-2 they head to East Rutherford to face the New York Giants (0-2, 1-1 ATS, 0-0 home) at MetLife Stadium on Sunday Night Football in Week 3 (8:20 pm ET).

Only one team in the last 30 years has made the playoffs after an 0-3 start (2018 Houston Texans). The good news for the Chiefs is that they’re heavily favored to avoid that fate when the visit the also-winless Giants, who’s NFL win total has dropped to 5.5 with the under heavily favored.

Chiefs vs Giants Closing Odds

The Chiefs opened as 5.5-point ATS favorites and -250 moneyline chalk last Sunday. Roughly 2.5 hours before kickoff, the spread is as high as six, and the longest KC moneyline is now -295. The Giants, who opened as +210 home underdogs, are now as long as +260. The game total ranges from 44.5 to 45.0, which is a sizeable increase from the opening O/U of 42.5.

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There isn’t a long history between these teams but the Giants have an improbable streak on the line. New York is 7-0 all-time against the Chiefs at home.

The weather forecast calls for clear skies with a temperature around 63°F and light winds, creating ideal conditions for football.

KC vs NYG Public Betting Splits

The NFL public betting percentages show the Chiefs getting basically all of the moneyline action. Kansas City is sitting at 97% of moneyline handle on 94% of the ML wagers. The ATS splits are narrow but still lean to the Chiefs. KC is getting 64% of ATS handle on 55% of the ATS tickets.

The over/under splits show an intriguing divide: 59% of handle is on the over, but only 67% of wagers are on the under, a strong indication that sharps like the total to go over.

Kansas City Chiefs vs New York Giants Prediction & Picks

• New York Giants +6 (-110)
• Over 44.5 (-110)
• Player Prop: Travis Kelce Anytime Touchdown (+150)

This Sunday night showdown is a quintessential “get-right” spot for the Kansas City Chiefs, but laying nearly a touchdown on the road with an 0-2 team is a risky proposition. Historical betting trends show the Chiefs have been abysmal against the spread, failing to cover in their last five games dating back to last season. More alarmingly, they are 0-7 all-time on the road against the New York Giants (though much of that history is ancient and not terribly meaningful).

There are plenty of reasons to like Kansas City to snap its winless skid on the road against the Giants: Patrick Mahomes will is poised for a big night against a defense giving up over 450 yards per game; and the Chiefs are 14-2 straight up following a loss in their last 16 instances, showcasing their ability to bounce back.

However, the Giants’ offense is not to be underestimated. Russell Wilson is playing with confidence, and the connection with his receivers, particularly Wan’Dale Robinson and Malik Nabers, has made their passing attack one of the most productive in the league through two weeks. They will test a Chiefs secondary that has been good, but not elite.

The key will be whether the Giants’ offensive line can give Wilson enough time. The Chiefs’ pass rush, led by a quiet Chris Jones, has been underwhelming, which could give New York’s offense a fighting chance to keep pace.

Ultimately, the Giants’ defensive liabilities are too significant to trust them to win outright. They are 1-13 in their last 14 games and have lost their last 11 as an underdog of fewer than seven points. The Chiefs should win this game, but the Giants have enough firepower to score and keep it inside the number.

The total has climbed for a reason; expect points. The best value lies with the home underdog covering and the game soaring over the total.