Texans vs Seahawks Predictions & Closing Lines

• The Seahawks are 3-point favorites over the Texans in the second game of the Monday Night Football doubleheader
• Seattle’s defense ranks fifth in EPA against the pass and adjusted sack rate
• See below for my Texans vs Seahawks predictions, plus the closing lines

We’ve got a traditional doubleheader tonight on Monday Night Football, with the Texans (2-3, 1-2 away) and Seahawks (4-2, 1-2 home) squaring off in the nightcap. This game has fluctuated between Seattle -3 and -3.5 all week per the MNF odds, but I’m looking to make a bet on the total for my Texans vs Seahawks predictions.

Kickoff is scheduled for 7 pm PT / 10 pm ET from Luman Field, in Seattle, WA, and on ESPN.

Texans vs Seahawks Predictions

I’m taking under 41.5 points tonight, expecting both offenses are to struggle to move the ball. Let’s start with Houston, who haven’t fixed anything on offense despite their last two outings. The Texans scored 70 points combined versus Baltimore and Tennessee, but those were two of the worst defenses in football. Against more competent units they’ve been anemic.

In matchups versus the Rams, Jaguars and Bucs, CJ Stroud and Co. averaged 13 points per outing. The offensive line is a mess, ranking bottom-eight in pass blocking per PFF, and Stroud is simply league average in EPA per drop back.

That’s an issue against this fierce Seattle defense that just happens to be getting healthier. Key secondary pieces Riq Woolen, Julian Love and Devon Witherspoon are all expected to return from injury, bolstering the Seahawks back end. Seattle enters play ranked fifth in EPA against the pass and adjusted sack rate, while only four teams allow fewer points per drive.

If you want to beat Stroud you have to pressure him, as his passing grade under duress is half of what it is when he’s kept clean. The Seahawks have the horses for the job, ranking fifth in pressure rate and fourth in QB hurry percentage.

On the other side of the ball, Sam Darnold leads the NFL in EPA per play, success rate and air yards. He’s been a revelation in his first season in Seattle, but before we label the Seahawks a Super Bowl odds contender, let’s see him excel versus a top notch defense.

The Texans are exactly that, leading the NFL in scoring defense and ranking third in yards allowed per game. They own the 10th highest pass rush grade per PFF, and rank seventh against the run. Houston has allowed only one opponent to exceed 10 points all season, while no enemy offense has scored more than 19.

Houston Texans Defense

As for Darnold, he’s been excellent under pressure this season, but he’s yet to face an edge rushing duo like Will Anderson Jr. and Danielle Hunter. The two star Edge’s rank 18th and 13th in pass rush productivity so far, while Darnold is only a year removed from throwing 6 INT and committing 11 turnover worthy plays against the blitz.

With both defenses healthy and playing at the top of their game, I’m predicting a low scoring game. Houston is 1-4 to the under in 2025, with their games falling short of the total by an average of 8 points.

Looking for more Texans vs Seahawks plays? Check out the following:

• Texans vs Seahawks same-game parlay
• Texans vs Seahawks picks and props
• Texans vs Seahawks Anytime Touchdown Scorers

HOU Texans vs SEA Seahawks Closing Odds for MNF

As always, make sure you check out the best football betting apps before placing a wager on tonight’s game. The best spot to bet the under right now is at DraftKings or FanDuel. They’re both offering under 41.5 at -115 odds, while some other books have moved the total to 41 flat.

Spread-wise, DK is also offering the lowest juice on Seahawks -3 at -110 odds, while Bet365 has the longest odds for Houston to pull off the upset at +150.

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Per the NFL public betting trends, sportsbooks will be pulling for the under just like me. As of Monday evening, the over is drawing 72% of the total tickets and 70% of the handle.