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F1 Picks & Odds: 2025 Spanish Grand Prix Predictions & Start Time

Chris Wassel

By Chris Wassel in Racing

Published:


2025 Spanish Grand Prix predictions take a look at the race on Sunday and if McLaren can repeat their performance from Monaco.
[US, Mexico & Canada customers only] May 25, 2025; MONACO; McLaren's Lando Norris celebrates with a trophy on the podium after winning the Monaco Grand Prix alongside third placed McLaren's Oscar Piastri and McLaren chief executive Zak Brown at Circuit de Monaco. Mandatory Credit: Stephanie Lecocq/Reuters via Imagn Images
  • Formula 1 Spanish Grand Prix takes place this Sunday from the Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya in Spain.
  • Oscar Piastri won the pole with Lando Norris not too far behind for a McLaren front row sweep.
  • Below, see my Formula 1 Spanish Grand Prix expert predictions, start time, and always some more.

Formula 1 rolls into Barcelona this Sunday, June 1st, with the Spanish Grand Prix.

The green flag drops just after 9:00 am ET, with live coverage via ESPN. The Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya is a 2.894-mile race track. This course has 14 turns and honestly is built for serious speed on the long straightaway. It is a course that McLaren has the potential to dominate at. Still, expect drivers like Max Verstappen and even Lewis Hamilton to try and get creative in the ninth round of the 2025 championship.

Let us get this Spanish Grand Prix started with some odds.

2025 Spanish Grand Prix Odds

DriverWinTop 2Top 4
Oscar Piastri (McLaren)-160-650-1200
Lando Norris (McLaren)+150-450-1100
Max Verstappen (Red Bull)+750+125-1000
George Russell (Mercedes)+4000+900-120
Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari)+5500+1000-105
Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)+8000+1100+165
Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)+13000+7000+550
Pierre Gasly (Alpine)+30000+13000+750
Isack Hadjar (RB)+30000+13000+2800
Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin)+60000+20000+2800

Behind the pole run, Piastri is now at -160 odds, the implied probability for Lando Norris comes in at 40%, with Max Verstappen now at 11.76%. Finally, Piastri’s win chances are now at 61.54%. Does McLaren have the edge again in this 68-lap race?

Odds updated June 1 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Register with the DraftKings promo code to wager on the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix. See the updated F1 Drivers’ Championship odds.

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Spanish Grand Prix Predictions

People should expect partly sunny weather during the race. Temperatures close to 80 degrees should greet racers early in the afternoon. This is one of the faster courses on the F1 circuit, and that should help the McLaren cars again.

One major flag with Max Verstappen is again the lack of speed when it counts. Then again, the Verstappen run seems to be at an end. Unless Red Bull can turn things around quickly, the McLaren’s are likely to finish 1-2 in the final standings while easily winning the Constructor’s Championship.

The question becomes can Verstappen get to the first turn or first lap in a position to pull off taking the lead? Normally, this would be a far greater possibility. However, that has been more hit-and-miss. Other than the Oscar Piastri lapse, the McLaren cars have been able to fend off the four-time defending champion. Verstappen has won the Spanish Grand Prix three times in a row though.

Last week, Charles Leclerc just never recovered after some early mistakes. He did finish second but did not truly come close to a win. The difference this week is McLaren is that extra tenths faster per lap compared to the Red Bull. On a faster track like Barcelona, that translates into late-run runaways. Unless there is a mishap, this race feels like a battle between Norris and Piastri.

With Spain, Verstappen is a relative long shot by his standards at +750. Never say never when it comes to Formula 1. Norris and Piastri can hold off Verstappen and even Russell or Hamilton if there are no mental mistakes. Take Norris to overtake Piastri at some point on Sunday.

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  • 2025 Spanish Grand Prix Prediction to Win: Lando Norris (+150 at DraftKings)

2025 Spanish Grand Prix Leader After 5 Laps

DriverODDS
Oscar Piastri-225
Lando Norris+225
Max Verstappen+370
George Russell+1600
Lewis Hamilton+3500

I still think Piastri gets passed early and it may be by Norris, not Verstappen. For those wondering, the number is the same whether it is one or five laps. Verstappen’s number actually drops from +400 after one lap to +370. That could be something to keep an eye on. However, Norris may have a little more to hold off the Red Bull.

Spanish GP: Retirements?

TeamOdds
No retirements+250
Alpine+500
Racing Bulls+550
Haas+600
Williams+650

With 68 laps and the lack of a retirement over the past two years, at least one feels like it is due. Alpine and Racing Bulls are the most likely bets here. Ferrari is tempting due to previous engine issues but that seems less likely this time around.

Chris Wassel
Chris Wassel

Sports Writer

A journalist veteran for over two decades, Chris has taught the gamut of fantasy hockey sports online from injuries to news to prospects, and more. He has bet on several sports and written sports betting articles about the NBA, MLB, NCAA football, the NFL, and NHL for USA Today.

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