Spurs vs Warriors Odds & Predictions (Nov. 14)

• The Golden State Warriors host the San Antonio Spurs in the second of a back-to-back
• The two teams surrender the most points per game in the NBA this season
• Read below for the Spurs vs Warriors preview, with odds and predictions

After another L on the road, the Golden State Warriors (5-8, 5-1 home) hope a return to Chase Center is the remedy to get back to winning.

They’ll be on the second night of a back-to-back as they host the San Antonio Spurs. They’re coming off a win over the Milwaukee Bucks, snapping a five-game losing skid.

San Antonio (6-7, 3-2 away) also won both games on the road against the Dubs last year, and they’ll be well rested, having not played since Friday.

It all gets underway Monday (Nov 14) at 10pm ET, in a game that can be seen live on NBA League Pass.

Spurs vs Warriors Odds

Odds as of Nov 14 at DraftKings. Claim the Draftkings Sportsbook promo code to bet on the Spurs vs Warriors game.

Oddsmakers are really counting on home court advantage here, as the NBA odds have the Warriors as hefty 8.5-point favorites, in a game that features a total of 232. This despite GState playing on zero days rest, and San Antonio a respectable 3-2 on the road this season.

San Antonio Betting Outlook

Sure, the Milwaukee Bucks were heavily depleted, but San Antonio showed no mercy in a 111-93 win. Keldon Johnson was the leading scorer for the Spurs, pouring in 29 points, including a 5-for-8 mark from downtown.

Devin Vassell added 22 points and five rebounds, while Jackob Poeltl had 15 points, 10 rebounds and four blocks. As a team, they shot 50.6% from the field, and 12-for-31 from deep, a sharp 38.7% mark.

Keldon Johnson bringing passion and energy to tonight’s game 😤pic.twitter.com/blS2axx1ig

— Spurs Nation (@SpursNationCP) November 8, 2022

For the season, the Spurs are 14th in scoring, putting up 113.5 points per game. They shoot 47.2% from the field (10th in the NBA) and hit at a 37.9% clip from three-point range, which ranks sixth.

During their five-game losing skid, the Spurs failed to score more than 110 points five times. They’re 5-2 on the year when they hit that mark.

San Antonio also finally found success on the defensive side of the court. It was just the second time all season they’ve held a team under 100 points. They held Milwaukee to 32.7% shooting, and 12-for-43 from downtown (27.9%).

Golden State Betting Analysis

Part of Golden State’s 0-6 start on the road has been poor play and bad luck. On Sunday night, they dropped to 0-7 as they ran into a hot opponent.

The Sacramento Kings beat the Warriors 122-115, outscoring them 13-4 to close out the win — their sixth in eight games.

Golden State was in it for much of the game, and actually led 111-105 with just over five minutes to play, but couldn’t seal the deal.

Stephen Curry, who had scored 40+ on each of his last two games, finished with 27 points, six rebounds and four dimes. He shot 9-for-17 from the field.

Steph Curry with the FILTH on Davion Mitchell pic.twitter.com/D2mhUHOxjQ

— Joe Viray (@JoeVirayNBA) November 14, 2022

Andrew Wiggins finished with 26, adding four rebounds, two assists and two steals. Klay Thompson had 17 points, seven rebounds and three assists, drilling 5-for-13 from distance. He’s only scored 20+ points in a game once in 11 appearances on the year.

There may be some roster shuffling Monday, as head coach Steve Kerr had said earlier in the season that both Thompson and Draymond Green would not play on consecutive days because of their past injury history.

He’s held true to his word thus far for the Dubs’ two back-to-backs this season. Thompson has sat out both of the second games in the scenario, while Green has played one front end and one back end game.

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Spurs vs Warriors Prediction

I don’t blame you for wanting to take the over. Golden State is last in points allowed in the NBA, giving up 119.2 points per game, while San Antonio is 2nd-last, giving up 118.8 points per game. The Dubs rank first in pace, with the Spurs rounding out the top five.

The rest factor alters the equation, though, in terms of GState’s available players and the fatigue factor. In fact, they have a negative point differential this season and have only won by nine points or more twice in 13 games. And the under has gone 5-1-1 in the last seven head-to-heads.

San Antonio is 5-0 against the spread in their last five games after winning by double digits, and they’re 13-3 ATS in their last 16 following a win and cover.

I think Golden State wins — despite an 0-2 record this season on zero days rest — but it will be close.

Pick:

• Spurs +8.5 (-110); 1 unit to win 0.91 units
• NBA Betting Record: 6-5 ATS, 1-0 ML, 2-1 o/u; +1.80 units