Andrey Rublev vs Taylor Fritz Odds & Prediction – Monte Carlo Masters Semifinals

• Andrey Rublev is the -130 favorite to defeat Taylor Fritz in their ATP Monte Carlo Masters 1000 semifinal on Saturday, April 15
• Fritz has won four of six previous meetings between the two players
• This will be their first match on a clay court surface. Read on for our Rublev vs Fritz prediction

It’s a clash of two of the world’s top-10 players as #6 Andrey Rublev and #10 Taylor Fritz are squaring off in the ATP Monte Carlo Masters 1000 semifinals with the Russian favored in the Rublev vs Fritz odds.

Even though he’s lower in the rankings, American Fritz is holding the edge when it comes to head-to-head showdowns with Russian opponent Rublev. Fritz has won four of six previous meetings. However, this will be the first match between the two players on a clay court surface.

Despite Fritz’s success against Rublev, oddsmakers are going with the Russian to overcome the American in this matchup. Rublev been established as the -130 betting pick in the Rublev vs Fritz odds to win their semifinal match set for Saturday, April 15 with a 7:30 am ET scheduled start.

Andre Rublev vs Taylor Fritz Odds

You can play underdog Fritz at a +100 betting line in the Monte Carlo Masters odds. The spread is +1.5 for Fritz and -1.5 for Rublev. The over/under on the match total is set at 22.5 games.

Fritz vs Rublev odds as of April 14 are at Caesars Sportsbook.

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Fritz Makes History Against Tsitsipas

Not only did Fritz upend second-seeded Stefanos Tsitsipas in the quarterfinals, he beat the world’s #3 player for the first time in four matches. And he did so impressively, winning 6-2, 6-4 in straight sets over the two-time defending Monte Carlo champion.

Clay 🤖 https://t.co/PL1rZcWwgJ

— Taylor Fritz (@Taylor_Fritz97) April 14, 2023

Fritz served three aces and won four of five break points. He held a 21-11 edge in receiving points won. Fritz also took advantage of 18 unforced errors committed by Tsitsipas. He won 70% of points (14 of 20) on his second serve and hit 17 winners.

He’s seeking his second ATP Masters 1000 title of the season. Fritz already was a winner at Indian Wells.

Rublev Holds Off Rally By Struff

Rublev’s quarterfinal match against qualifier Jan-Lennard Struff was also in straight sets, but the two sets couldn’t have turned out more differently in terms of his manner of victory.

The #5 seed cruised to a 6-1 rout in the opening set. Rublev hammered nine winners. In the second set, Stuff came at Rublev with a more aggressive approach, attacking the net effectively. In a back and forth set, the Russian broke Struff to go up 4-3, only to have Struff break him back to lead 5-4. Ultimately they required a tiebreaker to settle the match.

Rublev vs Fritz Match History

Rublev won just four of 14 break points in the match and committed five double faults. But he improved to 9-1 in tiebreakers and 7-2 in ATP Masters 1000 matches this year.

The Russian has never won an ATP Masters 1000 title. However, he’s seeking his third final appearance in one and his second at Monte Carlo. Rublev dropped the 2021 final to Tsitsipas.

Rublev vs Fritz Prediction

Rublev is showing a much stronger history than Fritz when it comes to their respective track records on clay surfaces. Rublev is a solid 51-29 on clay, whereas Fritz is barely an above .500 player at 28-24.

Rublev keeps rising in Monte-Carlo 🙌@AndreyRublev97 secures the first semi-final spot in @ROLEXMCMASTERS defeating Struff 6-1 7-6(5).#RolexMonteCarloMasters pic.twitter.com/RGldRZSS2O

— ATP Tour (@atptour) April 14, 2023

While they’ve never previously faced each other on a clay court, overall, Fritz has taken the last three matches from Rublev while dropping only one set. And that was via tiebreaker.

Rublev vs Fritz Head-to-Head

Last year, Fritz was 5-3 on clay, including a run to the quarterfinals at Monte Carlo. His win over Tsitsipas was Fritz’s first ever against a top-10 player. Can he pull off that feat in successive matches?

Rublev has won three of his 12 ATP titles on clay surfaces. His focus tends to come and go during matches, and this is where the in-form Fritz, who has the more potent service game of the two players, can take advantage to pull off the upset.

Rublev vs Fritz Pick: Taylor Fritz (+100); Fritz 2-1 (+360).