Pacers vs Thunder Predictions, Picks, Player Props & Odds for Game 2
By Sascha Paruk in NBA Basketball
Published:
- The Indiana Pacers can take an improbable 2-0 lead against the heavily favored OKC Thunder on Sunday night
- The Thunder are big home favorites to even the best-of-seven series in Game 2 tonight
- See my Pacers vs Thunder prediction and picks, plus the Game 2 odds and player props on June 8
The Indiana Pacers (63-36, 27-22 away, 48-49-2 ATS) continued their near-perfect road play in the postseason with a thrilling 111-110 upset of the Oklahoma City Thunder (80-19, 43-8 home, 59-36-4 ATS) as 10-point road underdogs on Thursday. In Sunday’s Game 2, the Pacers can take a commanding 2-0 lead in the best-of-seven series, but the Pacers vs Thunder odds heavily favor OKC pulling even.
Game 2 tips off at 8:05 pm ET at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. ABC will carry the broadcast in the US and TSN in Canada.
Indiana Pacers vs OKC Thunder Odds – Game 2
Sunday’s NBA odds list the Thunder as 11-point home favorites and -600 on the moneyline, giving OKC an 85.71% implied win probability. The Pacers come back as +430 road underdogs, an 18.87% implied win probability. Taking out the juice, the true win probability based on the odds gives OKC an 81.96% chance and Indiana an 18.04% chance.
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The game total has come down from 230.5 in Game 1 to 228.5 ahead of Game 2. The teams stayed well under in the series-opener, landing on 221 points. Indiana is now 8-9 O/U in the postseason, while OKC is 9-8.
Indiana’s NBA championship odds improved from +500 to +258 after Game 1. OKC faded from -700 to -320.
The Pacers absolutely dominated the glass in Game 1, the only real weak spot for this Thunder team. Indiana wound up +17 on the boards (56-39) with three different players finishing in double-digits in rebounding: Aaron Nesmith (12), Pascal Siakam (10), and Tyrese Haliburton (10). Myles Turner added another nine.
The Pacers got another absurdly balanced offensive performance from its eight-man rotation. Every starter scored between 10 and 19 points led by Pascal Siakam (20.9 PPG 6.0 RPG, 3.2 APG postseason), while Obi Toppin (17.6 MPG, 9.2 PPG, 3.4 RPG postseason) added 17 off the bench.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (30.2 PPG, 5.6 RPG, 6.7 APG postseason) had a team-high 36 for OKC in a losing effort, going 14-of-30 from the field (46.7%) but the rest of his Thunder teammates shot just 36.8% from the field.
IND vs OKC Player Props for Game 2
NBA player props from bet365 on June 8. Check out SBD’s list of the best betting sites for the NBA Finals.
SGA’s point total has been bumped up two point from Game 1 to Game 2, now sitting at a massive 34.5 O/U with the under only slightly favored at -120. On the Indiana side, both Pascal Siakam and Tyrese Haliburton have seen their point totals drop a point, to 18.5 and 16.5, respectively.
Despite only dishing out six assists in Game 1, Haliburton’s assist total remains at 8.5.
Chet Holmgren (15.8 PPG, 8.4 RPG postseason), who had just six boards in Game 1, continues to have the highest rebound total on the board at 8.5.
Pacers vs Thunder Picks & Predictions
Aaron Nesmith is averaging four more minutes per game in the postseason (28.9 MPG) than he did during the regular season (24.9), and his rebounding average has shot up from 4.0 RPG to 5.9 RPG. In his last 15 games, the former Celtics has grabbed at least seven rebounds on eight occasions and stayed under that number seven times.
In Game 1, as mentioned, he dominated the glass with a game-high 12. While OKC might make a few more shots on Sunday, they’re not suddenly going to turn into a top-tier rebounding team. OKC finished the regular season 19th in REB% (49.6%) and have been considerably worse in the playoffs (47.7%). As long as Rick Carlyle keeps Nesmith on the floor, he should near double-digit rebounds again on Sunday, and I love getting 7+ at significant plus-money.
I’m also going to target the Pacers +11.0 in Game 2. They haven’t been immune from letdowns in the postseason; three of their four losses have come by 16 points or more. But none of those have come in the first two games of a series. Indeed, they’re now a perfect 7-0 straight-up in Games 1 and 2 during the 2025 playoffs.
Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
