Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Odds, Picks & Player Props for Game 2

• The New York Yankees send Carlos Rodón to the mound in a must-win Game 2 against the Boston Red Sox
• Boston counters with Brayan Bello, who has been mostly effective against the Yankees this season
• See the Red Sox vs Yankees Game 2 picks, predictions, and props, plus the latest BOS vs NYY odds and betting trends

The New York Yankees (94-69, 50-32 home) will try to even their best-of-three ALWC series against the Boston Red Sox (90-73, 42-40 away) on Wednesday, October 1st. First pitch for this potential elimination game is scheduled for 6:08 pm ET at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx.

The pitching matchup features veteran Carlos Rodón for the home team against young Brayan Bello for the visitors, who will be making his first postseason appearance.

Below, I have set out my expert Red Sox vs Yankees picks, the best player props to bet, comprehensive pitcher-vs-batter history, and up-to-the-minute BOS/NYY Game 2 odds.

Jump to: Game Picks || Pitcher-vs-Batter Stats || Player Props || Current Odds

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Picks & Prediction (Game 2)

• Boston Red Sox Moneyline (+160)
• Under 7.5 runs (-115)

Sentiment and desperation may be with the New York Yankees in Game 2, but the underlying matchups and trends point toward a disappointing end in the Bronx. The most glaring factor is the starting pitching duel. Brayan Bello has been a Yankees killer this season, posting a sparkling 1.89 ERA against them. His most-recent start against NYY was his worst of three this season (four runs on five hits over 5.0 innings), but he has shockingly good numbers against New York’s biggest threat, Aaron Judge, holding him to a paltry .0.95 average over 21 at-bats.

On the other side, Carlos Rodón has been mediocre against the Red Sox lineup (.749 OPS), in particular struggling against Rob Refsnyder (1.792 OPS in 17 at-bats) and Connor Wong (1.255 OPS in 10 at-bats). He also has a history of postseason struggles that date back to his days with the White Sox (6.64 ERA, 1.48 WHIP in 20.1 IP).

While the Yankees have been dominant at home this year, their Red Sox are 7-3 in their last 10 games and an impressive 4-1 in their last five road games against opponents with winning records. They’re also 10-4 straight-up against the Yankees this season after their 3-1 victory on Tuesday night.

I’m also betting the under in Game 2, which has cashed in each of the Red Sox’s last four games as an underdog. With Bello on the mound and the tension of an elimination game likely suppressing offense, all signs point to a tight, low-scoring affair where the team with the superior starting pitcher has the clear advantage. At +150, the Red Sox moneyline offers tremendous value to close out the series.

Starting Pitcher-vs-Batter History: Bello vs Rodón

Both pitchers are intimately familiar with the opposing lineup. The Red Sox batters have amassed 114 career at-bats against Rodón. The Yankee batters have even more (134) against Bello.

Boston Red Sox Career Statistics vs Carlos Rodón

The Boston lineup has had a modicum of success against the veteran Rodón, generating a .749 OPS in 114 total at-bats. Four different players have one home run off the 32-year-old lefty: Carlos Narvaez, Ceddanne Rafaela, Rob Refsnyder, and Connor Wong. Refsnyder has the most encouraging history, overall, batting 3.53 with four extra-base hits in 17 at-bats.

Rodón made three starts against the Red Sox in the 2025 regular season and none were particularly good. He gave up 11 runs (10 earned) over 15.2 innings, allowing 11 hits and a massively concerning 10 walks. Five of those free passes came in his most-recent start against Boston on August 24. But the Yankees still went onto win 7-2.

New York Yankees Career Statistics vs Brayan Bello

Bello has largely shutdown the powerful Yankee lineup, holding them to a .669 OPS in a large 134 at-bat sample size. Cody Bellinger (.400 avg, 1.417 OPS in 10 ABs) and Trent Grisham (.333 avg, 1.010 OPS in 9 ABs) have the best history. Aaron Judge is a woeful 2-for-21 with a double and eight strikeouts. Giancarlo Stanton has been just as bad, going 2-for-10 with a pair of singles and seven Ks.

Bello also made three starts against NYY in the regular season. The first two were light-out performances: six hits, four walks, zero earned runs with 13 strikeouts over 14.0 IP in a pair of shutout wins for the Red Sox. But the most-recent (Sep 13) was subpar, allowing four runs on five hits and three walks over 5.0 innings with just four Ks in a 5-3 loss. Jazz Chisholm has the long home run for New York off of Bello this year.

BOS vs NYY Game 2 Player Props

MLB player props as of October 1, 2025 from MGM & Consensus. Innings pitched based on 3 outs per inning.

The prop market appears to be bracing for short leashes on both starters. Bello’s innings prop is set at just 4.2 (14.5 outs), and Rodón’s is only slightly higher at 5.1 innings (15.5 outs). This points toward a game that could quickly become a battle of the bullpens.

Aaron Judge’s hits prop is heavily juiced to over 0.5 (-238) despite his career .095 average against Bello. This is one of the rare games where bettors can get plus-money on over 1.5 total bases for the two-time AL MVP.

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Game 2 Odds

The Yankees are big home favorites to extend the series, sitting at -178 or shorter. The Red Sox are as long as +158. Bettors can get the Red Sox runline (+1.5) at just -144 at FanDuel. The Yankees are priced at +125 or shorter to win by multiple runs. The game total is sitting at 7.5 with all sites juicing the under.

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Odds commentary as of 2:08 pm ET. The lines in the table will update automatically with the best price for each market as sportsbooks move the odds before first pitch.

BOS vs NYY Odds Movement

The opening Red Sox vs Yankees Game 2 lines, New York was priced as a -169 moneyline favorite. Now they’re -178 or shorter. The Boston moneyline has increased from +138 to as long as +158, a significant 20-cent increase. The moneyline movement is supported by MLB public betting data, which shows an overwhelming percentage of both bets (69%) and money (99%)on New York to win.

Conversely, the total has seen a sharp move in the opposite direction. After opening at a standard -110 on both sides of 7.5 runs, the juice has swung heavily toward the under, now as heavy as -125 despite 75% of money going to the over so far. This suggests that, while the public might be expecting a Yankees offensive rebound, sharper money is anticipating a tense, lower-scoring playoff game, respecting Bello’s recent success and the pressures of postseason baseball.