Wild vs Stars Prediction, Pick & Trends for Tuesday Night Hockey on ESPN

• The Stars are -190 moneyline favorites over the Wild on Tuesday night at American Airlines Center
• Dallas opens at home after winning its first two games on the road, while Minnesota plays on zero days rest
• See my Wild vs Stars prediction below, plus pick and trends for Tuesday night hockey

The Stars host the Wild on Tuesday night in what should be a solid test for both Central Division clubs. Dallas returns home after winning its first two on the road, while Minnesota comes to town on the second half of a back-to-back.

Puck drop is set for 9:30 pm ET from American Airlines Center in Dallas, with ESPN handling the broadcast.

Wild vs Stars Prediction

My Wild vs Stars prediction centers on the schedule advantage Dallas holds in this spot. Minnesota just wrapped up a 4-3 shootout win over Los Angeles on Monday night, and now has to travel to Dallas on zero days rest. That’s a tough ask against a Stars team that’s been off since Saturday.

The Wild blew a 3-0 lead against the Kings before salvaging two points in the shootout. Marco Rossi was the only player to score in the shootout after LA stormed back with three third-period goals. Minnesota has relied heavily on its power play early, scoring all seven goals during a 1-1-0 homestand with the man advantage.

Dallas, meanwhile, has been lights out offensively to start the year. The Stars are averaging 4.5 goals per game and rank second in the league in that department through two contests. Jason Robertson and Wyatt Johnson have each scored twice, while Mikko Rantanen and Thomas Harley lead the team with four points apiece.

The goalie matchup heavily favors the home side as well. Filip Gustavsson gets the nod for Minnesota after Jesper Wallstedt made his season debut Monday. Gustavsson is 1-1-0 with a 3.03 GAA and an .895 save percentage, and he allowed six goals on 31 shots in his last outing against Columbus.

Jake Oettinger counters for Dallas in what will be the Stars’ home opener. Oettinger has been nearly perfect against Minnesota throughout his career, posting a 7-0-3 record with a .922 save percentage and a 2.21 GAA in 12 games. Last season, he went 2-0-2 in four meetings against the Wild with a .939 save percentage and a 1.74 GAA.

Wild vs Stars 2025-26 Stats

Minnesota’s power play has been ridiculous to start the season, converting at a 47.1% clip. That’s the best mark in the league by a wide margin. But the Wild will have tired legs in this spot, and Dallas ranks 10th in penalty kill percentage at 88.9%.

The Stars should get plenty of rest and home-ice energy for their first game at American Airlines Center. Glen Gulutzan is coaching his first home game in his second stint with the organization, and Dallas has the horses to take advantage of a fatigued opponent.

Wild vs Stars Best Bets

• Pick: Stars Regulation Line (-115 at Caesars)

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This is a clear schedule spot in Dallas’ favor. The Stars are fresh off a day of rest and playing their home opener, while Minnesota is on the second night of a back-to-back after a grueling shootout win. That’s a recipe for tired legs and mental fatigue.

Dallas has the offensive firepower to exploit that advantage. Robertson has been generating quality chances all season, and he’s actually underperformed his expected goals (0.8 goals below expected). Rantanen picked up where he left off in last year’s playoffs, notching four points through two games.

Oettinger’s dominance over Minnesota can’t be overlooked either. He’s never lost to the Wild in regulation, and he’s been especially stingy over his last five meetings with them, allowing just 1.99 goals per game. Gustavsson, on the other hand, got lit up for six goals in his last start and is working on no rest.

The Wild have leaned hard on their power play early, but that well will eventually run dry. At some point, they need to generate more 5-on-5 offense, and that’s going to be tough against a rested Stars team that ranks ninth in faceoff win percentage.

My Wild vs Stars best bet is Dallas in regulation at -115. The Stars should get out to an early lead and never look back.

Wild vs Stars Trends

• Stars are 5-1 in their last 6 vs Central Division
• Stars are 22-8 in their last 30 on 2 days rest
• Wild are 2-8 in their last 10 vs team after scoring 5+ goals
• Wild are 3-8 in their last 11 road games
• Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams

The head-to-head history tells a pretty clear story here. Minnesota has been awful in Dallas, going 15-37-1 in its last 53 trips to American Airlines Center. The Wild are also just 2-8 in their last 10 meetings overall with the Stars, regardless of location.

Last season’s series was split 2-2, but three of those four games were decided by one goal. In the last meeting played at American Airlines (Mar. 24), Dallas posted a dominant 3-0 shutout, as Oettinger turned aside all 32 shots. The most recent meeting in April saw the Wild edge out a 3-2 overtime victory in Minnesota.

The under has been money in this matchup lately, hitting in four straight meetings. That tracks with how both teams have played defensively, even if the current totals suggest a higher-scoring affair. Worth noting that when these teams do play in Dallas, the under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings at American Airlines Center.

Wild vs Stars Odds

Dallas is currently a -190 moneyline favorite and is laying 1.5 goals on the puck line at +125 odds. Minnesota comes back as a +155 underdog, while the total sits at 6.

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