A.I. NBA Picks Today – Top Player Props to Bet on Nov. 5

• Wednesday’s NBA schedule has brings a massive 11-game slate
• I have asked our A.I. to earmark its favorite player prop to bet in each game
• See the A.I. NBA picks for November 5th

Even after a rough 1-4 night yesterday, our A.I. is still 29-27 on NBA props this season (+0.22 units). I’m getting it right back in the saddle on Wednesday when the NBA has a massive 11-game slate to bet. Wednesday’s NBA action starts with a trio o 7:00 pm ET tips and ends with a trio of 10:00 pm ET games with another five games sandwiched in between.

I have asked our internal A.I. to generate its top player prop to bet in each of the 11 games. In the table directly below I have set out its pick for each game in chronological order, alongside the best price for the prop at online sportsbooks. After the table, I have set out the A.I.’s justification for each pick for readers to scrutinize plus one-click options to tail any or all of the bets.

A.I. NBA Picks Today (Nov. 5)

Best odds as of 7:01 am ET. Lines are subject to change over the course of the day. MO residents can bookmark SBD’s page on Missouri sports betting apps to see the latest and best offers ahead of December’s launch.

PHI 76ers vs CLE Cavaliers Pick: Maxey Over 3.5 Threes

Explanation: “This bet targets pure volume and efficiency meeting a favorable matchup. Tyrese Maxey has been scorching from deep all season, converting an incredible 48.5% of his 9.4 three-point attempts per game. His recent form remains equally strong, hitting 43.8% over his last five contests. The situational trend that makes this pick compelling is his performance on the road. In his four away games this season, he’s averaging an astronomical 5.05 made threes per game, comfortably clearing this projected line. Cleveland’s defense, while active, still allows opponents to attempt 37.4 threes per game, giving a high-volume marksman like Maxey plenty of chances to cash this over.”

BKN Nets vs IND Pacers Pick: Siakam Over Points

Explanation: “This targets Brooklyn’s historically inept defense that ranks last in defensive rating (126.0) and allows 52.8% opponent shooting. Siakam’s massive 30.7% usage rate and 21 shots per game create optimal conditions against minimal defensive resistance. Siakam thrives on his home floor, averaging 27.2 points per contest in four home games this season. With the offense flowing entirely through him against a defense offering virtually no resistance, he’s positioned for a dominant scoring performance.”

UTA Jazz vs DET Pistons Pick: Markkanen Over 24.5 Points

Explanation: “Markkanen enters this contest riding a torrid 33.0 points per game over his last five outings, a significant spike from his 31.1 season average. The key driver of this surge has been his increased aggression attacking the basket, resulting in 9.4 free throw attempts per game during this stretch compared to his 7.6 season average. This aggressive approach directly exploits Detroit’s biggest flaw – their league-leading 26.3 fouls per game. The Pistons’ inability to defend without fouling creates an ideal environment for a high-usage scorer like Markkanen to accumulate easy points from the charity stripe. His 29.5% usage rate ensures he’ll receive plenty of touches to attack Detroit’s foul-prone defenders.”

WSH Wizards vs BOS Celtics Pick: Queta Over 8.5 Rebounds

Explanation: “This pick directly targets the Celtics’ established identity as an elite offensive rebounding team. Boston’s relentless approach on the glass, combined with their inefficient shooting, creates an abundance of rebounding opportunities on both ends. Queta is perfectly positioned to capitalize as the primary beneficiary of Boston’s volume-shooting approach, averaging a team-high 2.6 offensive rebounds per game. Queta has averaged 8.2 rebounds across his four home games this season, a notable increase from his overall average of 7.6. The Wizards lack the size to keep him off the boards, and his home-court advantage makes this over particularly compelling.”

MIN Timberwolves vs NY Knicks Pick: Towns Over 11.5 Rebounds

Explanation: “Towns enters this revenge game averaging 13.1 rebounds per contest, including 3.3 offensive boards that demonstrate his relentless pursuit of extra possessions. The situational factors align perfectly for a dominant rebounding performance against his former squad. Minnesota’s defensive rebounding weakness (73.5%) creates immediate opportunities on the offensive glass, while Mitchell Robinson’s absence removes the primary obstacle to Towns’ interior dominance. The statistical trend supports this play, as Towns has recorded double-digit rebounds in all four home games this season, averaging 13.0 boards at Madison Square Garden.”

HOU Rockets vs MEM Grizzlies Pick: Sengun Over 9.5 Rebounds

Explanation: “The most exploitable mismatch in this contest centers on rebounding, with Alperen Sengun positioned as the primary beneficiary. The statistical foundation is overwhelming: Houston leads the league with a 57.3% Total Rebound Percentage, while Memphis manages just 48.7% – a massive 8.6 percentage point gap.

Memphis’s frontcourt lacks the physicality to match Houston’s intensity, a problem compounded by key absences like Brandon Clarke and Zach Edey. This places immense pressure on Jaren Jackson Jr and leaves the Grizzlies vulnerable on the boards. Against undersized opponents averaging fewer than 42 total rebounds per game, centers have exceeded their rebounding props at a 68% rate this season.”

NO Pelicans vs DAL Mavericks Pick: Russell Over 5.5 Assists

Explanation: “With Irving and Davis sidelined, Russell becomes the primary offensive catalyst in a matchup that favors his facilitating skills. The statistical case is compelling as Russell has averaged 7.2 assists over his last five games, a significant uptick from his 6.0 season average. Russell operates with a 28.5% usage rate and faces a Pelicans defense that allows 30.2 assists per game to opponents on the road. New Orleans ranks among the worst in defensive rotations, creating numerous opportunities for Russell to find open teammates. The Pelicans’ tendency to help aggressively on drives leaves shooters available for kickout passes. Russell has exceeded his assists prop in four of his last five games when serving as the primary ball-handler, a role he’ll occupy throughout this contest given the depleted backcourt.”

MIA Heat vs DEN Nuggets Pick: Jokić Over 9.5 Assists

Explanation: “There is a stark and profitable split in Nikola Jokić’s performance at home versus on the road, particularly in his role as a distributor. While his season average is an already elite 11.3 assists per game, that number skyrockets at home. In his three home games this season, Jokić is averaging an astounding 13.0 APG. The Nuggets offense, which leads the league in assists, runs entirely through Jokić. His assist-to-turnover ratio is a remarkable 4.25 to 1, underscoring his precise and efficient decision-making. Betting the over on his assists is a direct wager on Denver’s system executing at its peak, something it consistently does at home.”

SA Spurs vs LA Lakers Pick: Wembanyama Over 12.5 Rebounds

Explanation: “Wembanyama has been a rebounding machine, averaging 13.7 boards per game through six contests with remarkable consistency. This production stems from his unique combination of size, positioning, and motor that allows him to dominate both ends of the glass.
The Lakers present an ideal opponent for Wembanyama’s rebounding prowess. Los Angeles allows 12.8 offensive rebounds per game – the third-worst mark in the NBA – while the Spurs rank first in defensive rebounding percentage at 81.9%. This creates a perfect storm where Wembanyama will have numerous opportunities on both ends of the court.”

OKC Thunder vs POR Trail Blazers Pick: Jrue Holiday Under 6.5 Assists

Explanation: “Portland’s primary facilitator faces an impossible task against the NBA’s premier defense. With Damian Lillard and Scoot Henderson sidelined, Holiday must orchestrate the entire offense against a Thunder defense that leads the league in multiple disruptive categories. OKC’s defensive pressure specifically targets opposing playmakers through constant ball pressure and help rotations. They allow just 23.0 assists per game to opponents, ranking second-best league-wide, while forcing 17.6 turnovers per game through relentless pressure from defenders like Luguentz Dort and Cason Wallace.

Holiday has recorded fewer than six assists in three of four road games against top-10 defenses this season, averaging just 4.8 assists in those contests compared to his 6.2 season average.”

GS Warriors vs SAC Kings Pick: Kuminga Over 21.5 Points

Explanation: “Kuminga enters this matchup positioned to exploit Sacramento’s porous defense that surrenders 121.0 points per contest. The athletic forward has developed into a reliable scorer, averaging 16.4 points on efficient 53.4% shooting from the field. The situational edge favors Kuminga significantly. His road performance typically exceeds his home production, with his 14.2 points per game at home suggesting elevated play in away environments. Sacramento allows opponents to shoot 50.1% from the field, lacking elite wing defenders to contain Kuminga’s diverse offensive skill set.

The Warriors will be without both Steph Curry and Jimmy Butler on the second night of a back-to-back. Kumings is the only other player on the team averaging more than 12.3 PPG, and he should be the number-one option on most trips down the floor.”