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NFL Anytime Touchdown Bets for Week 11: Expert Picks for TD Props

Chris Amberley

By Chris Amberley in NFL News

Published:


Josh Jacobs rushes for a TD versus Arizona.
Oct 19, 2025; Glendale, Arizona, USA; Green Bay Packers running back Josh Jacobs (8) runs for a touchdown against the Arizona Cardinals during the second half at State Farm Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-Imagn Images
  • Anytime touchdown props have been posted for every NFL Week 11 game
  • Josh Jacobs faces a Giants defense ranked last in EPA/rush and 31st in rush TD allowed
  • See my expert NFL touchdown bets for Week 11

Our punching bags are back this week, as the Bengals, Titans and Cowboys all return from bye. We’re going to avoid picking on the ladder for now, but both Tennessee and Cincinnati are targeted in my NFL anytime touchdown bets for Week 11, along with the woeful Giants defense.

New York is once again big underdogs in Week 11, and the Giants’ defense presents the perfect get-right spot for a struggling Green Bay Packers offense.

Best NFL TD Scorer Picks (Week 11)

PlayerAnytime TD Odds
Josh Jacobs (GB vs NYG)-175 (Bet365)
De’Von Achane (MIA vs WAS)-170 (Fanatics)
Rico Dowdle (CAR vs ATL)-110 (Fanatics)
Trey McBride (SF vs ARI)+125 (Fanatics)
Woody Marks (HOU vs TEN) +150 (ESPN BET)
Tee Higgins (CIN vs PIT)+150 (Fanatics)
Kenneth Gainwell (CIN vs PIT)+350 (Bet365)

The “best odds” in the table are as of 9:00 pm ET, on November 15. Readers can bookmark SBD’s NFL player props page to see up-to-the-minute props for every Week 11 game.

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Josh Jacobs Anytime TD (-200)

It was only a few weeks ago that the Packers were top Super Bowl 60 odds contenders. But things change quickly in the NFL, and Green Bay now owns the third-best record in their division.

Their downfall is not Jacobs’ fault, although he has lacked efficiency in 2025. That’s about to change on Sunday, as the New York run defense can’t stop a nosebleed.

NY Giants Rush Defense Stats

StatRank
EPA/Rush32nd
Rush Yards32nd
Rush TD31st

The Giants rank 32nd in EPA/rush and rushing yards allowed, and have surrendered 14 rush TD, the second most in the league. Despite his lack of efficiency, Jacobs has still been a monster touchdown producer this season, scoring 11 times, more than anyone else not named Jonathan Taylor. Dating back to last season, Jacobs has scored in 16 of 17 regular-season games.

De’Von Achane Anytime TD (-170)

With Tyreek Hill out for the season, the only two Dolphins with any real juice are De’Von Achane and Jaylen Waddle. Both make intriguing anytime touchdown scorer bets this week versus the Commanders, but I’m going to roll with Achane fresh off a multi-touchdown game.

Since Week 6, Washington ranks 31st on defense. They’re 25th in EPA allowed versus the rush, and 31st against the pass. Achane is Miami’s best weapon on the ground and through the air, and he’s going find the end zone at least once in this matchup.

Rico Dowdle Anytime TD (-110)

There’s no more timeshare in Carolina, as the Panthers’ backfield belongs to Rico Dowdle. That’s good news with the Falcons on deck, a team he already scored on back in Week 3.

Carolina is a run-first offense and excels on inside runs, ranking fifth. The Falcons grade out 31st versus inside runs, and only the Bengals allow more adjusted line yards than the Atlanta defense.

Trey McBride Anytime TD (+125)

Since Jacoby Brissett took over QB duties in Arizona, Trey McBride has 32 catches and 5 TD. If you extrapolate his numbers playing with Brissett over a full 17-game season, he’s on pace 136 receptions, 1,394 yards and 21 TD.

The duo will face a banged-up 49ers team on Sunday, which just surrendered four touchdown passes to Matthew Stafford, two of which went to tight ends.

Woody Marks Anytime TD (+150)

Are the Titans playing on Sunday? Check. Does their opponent have a lead running back with a pulse? Check. Then bet said running back to score a touchdown.

No more real analysis is needed. Tennessee has allowed the most rushing TDs in the league, and Marks has taken over the Texans’ backfield. He’s got a pair of touchdowns on the ground and through the air this season, and he’ll add to that total on Sunday.

Tee Higgins Anytime TD (+150)

The Steelers have allowed the third-most yards after catch this season, and the second-most since Week 5. This week, they face the Bengals, and while JaMarr Chase is going to get plenty of anytime touchdown love, we shouldn’t forget about Tee Higgins.

He’s scored in three straight games and has seen 29 targets in four games with Joe Flacco. That includes a 10-target game last month versus Pittsburgh, which he turned into 96 yards and a score.

Kenneth Gainwell Anytime TD (+350)

The Bengals’ defense is 31st in EPA/rush, but I’m not running to the window to bet Pittsburgh’s Jaylen Warren to score at -150 odds. He’s scored in only two games all season, and has fewer rushing TD than teammate Kenneth Gainwell.

Online sportsbooks aren’t pricing them anywhere near each other, and while Warren projects for much more volume, Gainwell’s always had a nose for the end zone. He has 16 career touchdowns and should be priced much shorter than +350 to score versus this dreadful Cincy defense.

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Chris Amberley
Chris Amberley

Sports Writer

As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.

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