Blues vs Golden Knights Prediction, Starting Goalies & Odds for Saturday (Nov. 15)

• The Golden Knights are -154 moneyline favorites over the Blues on Saturday night in St. Louis
• Blues goalie Joel Hofer has a 4.05 GAA while the team ranks dead last with a .860 save percentage
• See my Blues vs Golden Knights predictions, starting goalies comparison, and betting odds below

Missouri sports betting goes live December 1, but pre-registration starts Monday. The Blues could use some home betting support Saturday night when they host Vegas at Enterprise Center.

Puck drops at 8:00 PM ET from St. Louis, with the game streaming on ESPN+. Both teams sit in the bottom half of their divisions after disappointing starts.

Blues vs Golden Knights Prediction

My Blues vs Golden Knights prediction backs Vegas because St. Louis can’t stop a beach ball right now. The Blues rank 32nd in save percentage at .860 and 31st in goals against at 3.83 per game. Joel Hofer gets the start with his ugly 4.05 GAA and .865 save percentage.

The Blues just lost 6-5 in a shootout Friday to Philadelphia after blowing leads of 3-1 and 5-3. Playing back-to-back nights compounds their problems. Jim Montgomery called it frustrating, saying they’re making “repetitive mistakes.” Robert Thomas admitted they can’t close out games.

Vegas controls play better than their 7-4-5 record shows. They’re outshooting opponents 29.6 to 25.4 per game and dominating faceoffs at 54.3% (3rd in NHL). Over their last 10 games, Vegas has a 50.63% Corsi and 54.15% expected goals share. St. Louis sits at 45.35% Corsi despite identical 3-4-3 records in that span.

Advanced Metrics (Last 10)

Vegas dominates shot volume, putting up 227 shots to St. Louis’ 187 over their last 10. The Golden Knights create more high-danger chances (54.88% HDCF%) but St. Louis converts better at 8.59% on scoring chances compared to Vegas at 6.85%. The problem is, you need saves to win hockey games.

Jack Eichel powers Vegas with 23 points (8 goals, 15 assists) in 16 games. Mitchell Marner adds 19 points with 15 helpers. Ivan Barbashev is scorching hot with four goals and six points in his last five games. Mark Stone’ is currently on LTIR, but he has 13 points on the season.

For St. Louis, Jordan Kyrou leads with just 11 points in 17 games. Dylan Holloway has three goals in his last five, while Justin Faulk has contributed four points from the blueline. That’s not enough firepower to overcome horrendous goaltending.

Best Bets

Vegas moneyline at -154 is the play. The Golden Knights are 5-0 in their last five trips to St. Louis. They’re 12-3 against teams with losing records. Blues are 1-5 after scoring five or more goals and 1-4 after allowing five or more. Both apply here after Friday’s 6-5 loss.

Over 5.5 goals at -134 is a secondary play. The over has hit in eight of the last 12 meetings at Enterprise Center. St. Louis games have gone over 11 times in 18 games this season. The Blues have hit the over in four of five after allowing 5+ goals.

Pavel Dorofeyev anytime goal scorer at +180 is my favorite NHL player prop in this game. He leads Vegas with 10 goals and shoots at 40.4% probability according to models. Against Hofer’s 4.05 GAA? Sign me up.

Starting Goalies

Joel Hofer gets the nod for St. Louis with Jordan Binnington playing Friday. Akira Schmid starts for Vegas after two days rest.

Goalie Comparison

Schmid’s been steady with a 6-1-2 record despite some shaky moments. He shut out Detroit on November 4 and bounced back from a rough outing against the Islanders (4 goals on 24 shots). His .894 save percentage beats Hofer by nearly three full points.

Hofer’s struggled badly with just two wins in six starts. His 4.05 GAA ranks among the worst for regular starters. St. Louis’ high-danger save percentage sits at 87.95% over their last 10, but Vegas is worse at 85.14%. The difference is Vegas limits those chances better.

Blues vs Golden Knights Odds

Vegas opened -149 and moved to -154 as money came in on the road favorite. The total’s seen heavy action on the over, moving from 5.5 with juice on the under to -134 on the over. Sportsbooks know these defenses are struggling to stop anyone.

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Odds as of Nov. 15th at BetMGM. Check out the BetMGM promo code for a bonus to bet on the NHL tonight. Missouri residents will want to keep tabs on BetMGM Missouri.

Vegas at -1.5 (+158) tempts me in the Saturday NHL odds. St. Louis has been outscored 34-28 in their last 10 games.

Missouri Betting Launch

Blues fans can finally bet their team legally starting December 1. Pre-registration opens Monday November 17 at midnight, letting you set up accounts at DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, bet365, and Fanatics before launch day.

DraftKings snagged one of two untethered licenses, but right now, non-Missouri bettors can take advantage of Bet $5, Get $300 If Your Bet Wins + 3 Months of NBA League Pass. FanDuel partnered with St. Louis CITY SC while bet365 teamed up with the Cardinals. Expect team-specific promos for Blues games once betting goes live.

Missouri becomes the 39th state with legal sports betting after voters narrowly passed Amendment 2 with 50.1% support last November. Perfect timing for hockey season, though Blues fans might want to bet overs instead of their team winning.