Cowboys vs Raiders Picks & Closing Odds for MNF

• The Dallas Cowboys are slight road favorites against the Las Vegas Raiders on MNF
• The spread has moved half a point towards Dallas over the course of the week
• See my favorite Cowboys vs Raiders picks plus the closing odds for Monday Night Football

Two hours from kickoff on the Monday Night Football clash between the Dallas Cowboys (3-5-1) and Las Vegas Raiders (3-7), the line is subtly shifting towards the favored visitors. Cowboys/Raiders is scheduled to start at 8:15 pm ET/5:15 pm PT at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas.

Below, I have set out the closing Cowboys/Raiders odds, followed by my favorite picks based on the latest MNF odds.

Cowboys vs Raiders Closing Odds

As of 6:15 pm ET, the best Dallas moneyline have shortened to -188 (at FanDuel) after opening at -170 last Sunday. The longest odds on a Raider win are now +165 (at bet365) after opening at just +145.

The spread, which opened at DAL -3.0, is now Dallas -3.5 across the board with only minor discrepancies in price. BetMGM is offering a market-best -102 on the Cowboys to cover, while DraftKings is offering a market-best -112 on the Raiders to cover.

The total shows a half-point range. Over bettors should take 49.0 (O -110) at bet365. Under bettors should take 49.5 (U -110) at DraftKings. The total opened at 49.5.

Odds commentary as 6:15 pm ET. The lines in the table will update with the best-available price for each market if the NFL betting odds shift before kickoff.

Dallas Cowboys vs Las Vegas Raiders Picks

Altogether, I have three picks for Cowboys/Raiders: an ATS bet, a bet on the total, and one player prop to target.

ATS Pick: Cowboys -3.5 (-102) at BetMGM

The efficiency gap between these offenses is massive. Dallas operates as a well-oiled scoring machine, while Las Vegas ranks among the league’s most anemic offensive units.

Key performance metrics highlight why the Cowboys opened as road favorites and have seen the line grow over the course of the week.

Las Vegas’ red zone struggles (47.8% TD rate) is their Achilles heel against a Cowboys team that capitalizes ruthlessly on scoring opportunities. Dallas averages nearly two additional touchdowns per game compared to the Raiders. The Cowboys possess sufficient offensive weaponry to cover this expanded spread comfortably.

Game Total Pick: Under 49.5 (-110) at Underdog

While Dallas boasts elite offensive capabilities, the Raiders simply lack the scoring punch to contribute meaningfully toward this elevated total. The combined scoring average between these teams sits at 44.0 points – a full 5.5 points below the current line. The initial total has been trending downward for legitimate reasons.

Dallas’ defense has generated 20 sacks and forced seven turnovers (four interceptions, three fumble recoveries), creating significant problems for a turnover-prone Raiders offense that has coughed up the ball 14 times. Expect the Cowboys to control game flow while Las Vegas’ offensive limitations keep the final score beneath the inflated point total.

Best Player Prop: Maxx Crosby Over 0.25 Sacks (-137) at DraftKings

This represents exceptional value on one of the NFL’s premier edge rushers. Crosby serves as the defensive heartbeat for Las Vegas, and securing plus-money odds for at least one sack creates tremendous betting value. The Raiders have accumulated 18 team sacks, with Crosby serving as their primary pass-rush catalyst.

Dallas will be forced into obvious passing situations to maintain their offensive tempo, providing Crosby ample opportunities to reach Prescott. Even in a game where the Raiders face significant challenges, Crosby’s relentless motor and elite pass-rush skills make him capable of single-handedly disrupting game plans.

Crosby is listed at -137 to record just half a sack at DraftKings. At other sportsbooks (see Underdog, Sleeper), he is listed at basically the same price to push on 0.5 sacks.