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  • The Heisman Trophy is college football’s most prestigious individual award
  • Florida’s Kyle Trask has gone from a +3167 longshot to a -147 favorite since the beginning of November
  • See the odds for the favorites and longshots, starting from last year’s title game right up to award week 

Every season, this page tracks the favorites for college football’s most prestigious award, the Heisman Trophy, by averaging out the futures available at major online sportsbooks.

Predicting who will win is a difficult exercise, especially in the preseason. In 2018, eventual winner Kyler Murray wasn’t even on the board at the outset, and he was a +2300 longshot when he first popped up in late July. Fellow finalist Dwayne Haskins started out at +3500. The 2019 season produced an even more unlikely winner: Joe Burrow was as long as +15000 in the preseason.

Heisman Trophy Favorites

  • Nov. 25: Kyle Trask (-147) is now a huge favorite, with Mac Jones (+300) a distant second.
  • Nov. 16: UF’s Trask is now the chalk at +220, but the top four (including Fields, Jones, and Lawrence) are all +263 or shorter.
  • Nov. 9: Kyle Trask (+675) is back within striking distance of Fields, Jones, and Lawrence thanks to a huge game against Georgia (474 passing yards, 4 TD, 1 INT en route to a 44-28 upset victory).
  • Nov. 1: Lawrence faded from -132 to +275. Both Justin Fields (+142) and Mac Jones (+150) have shorter odds after Week 9.
  • Oct. 29: Trevor Lawrence was diagnosed with COVID today. The Heisman odds are off the board everywhere. Lawrence was a -132 favorite this morning.
  • Oct. 26: An impressive first game from Justin Fields (20-of-21 for 276 yards and two passing TDs plus 54 yards and one TD on the ground) led to his odds improving from +700 all the way to +290.
  • Oct. 18: This marks the first time this season that a player has been an odds-on favorite. Lawrence improved from +103 all the way to -162.
  • Oct. 11: A big game against Miami led to Trevor Lawrence’s odds improving from +300 to +103. He’s now the odds-on favorite at some books.
  • Oct. 6: Florida’s Kyle Trask has improved from +2033 to +600 over the last two weeks. He’s now the third-favorite, behind Lawrence and Fields.
  • Sep. 30: A number of Pac-12 players are back on the board with the conference announcing it will play a seven-game schedule starting in early November. The players include: Kedon Slovis (QB, USC: +1000), CJ Verdell (RB, Oregon: +1000), and Jayden Daniels (QB, ASU: +10000).
  • Sep. 21: Two of the top-six favorites – Justin Fields (Ohio State) and JT Daniels (Georgia) – still have not played a game.
  • Sep. 16: OU’s Spencer Rattler improved from +900 to +400 after a phenomenal first game (14/17, 290 yards, four TDs). Caveat: it was against Missouri State.
  • June 15: Eight out of the top-20 favorites are from the SEC at this point (and 10 of the top 25). No other conference has more than four in the top 25.
  • June 8: Myles Brennan, a.k.a. Joe Burrow’s replacement at LSU, has fallen all the way to +2650 after opening at +900.
  • May 23: Lawrence (+333) and Fields (+303) have flip-flopped at the top again; the Buckeye pivot is once again the favorite.
  • May 10: A new slate of options are on the board, including Taulia Tagovailoa, Bryce Young, and John Rhys Plumlee.
  • Mar. 13: Texas QB Sam Ehlinger has vaulted into the top-five favorites at +1000. He was as long as +1600.
  • Feb. 11: D’Eriq King is now a top-five favorite at +875, which only trails Lawrence (+308) and Fields (+317).
  • Jan. 20: After officially transfering from Houston to Miami, D’Eriq King has entered the top 15 in the 2020 Heisman odds at an average of +1750.
  • Jan. 8: The second set of odds sees Lawrence (+225) jump Fields (+250) as the favorite. We have so far left Chuba Hubbard off the graphs, believing the OK St junior will declare for the draft.
  • Dec. 20: Justin Fields has opened as a +250 favorite, closely followed by Clemson’s Trevor Lawrence. After the two favorites, there is a sharp drop to Alabama’s Mac Jones in third (+800).

Latest Heisman Trophy Odds

Player Odds
Kyle Trask (QB, Florida) -147
Mac Jones (QB, Alabama) +300
Justin Fields (QB, Ohio State) +325
Trevor Lawrence (QB, Clemson) +1300
Zach Wilson (QB, BYU) +2060
Breece Hall (RB, Iowa St) +2500
Devonta Smith (WR, Alabama) +5525
Najee Harris (RB, Alabama) +7000
D’Eriq King (QB, Miami) +9600
Ian Book (QB, Notre Dame) +9600
Kellen Mond (QB Texas A&M) +13333
Spencer Rattler (QB, Oklahoma) +15000

Odds as of Nov. 25, 2020.

Who Usually Wins the Heisman Trophy?

Lately, quarterbacks.

Here’s the list of Heisman Trophy winners by position, going back to the turn of the millenium. Only three non-QBs are on the list (and they’re all RBs). If you want to win this award, you better have the ball in your hands a lot.

Heisman Trophy Winners Since 2000

Year Player Position
2019 Joe Burrow Quarterback
2018 Kyler Murray Quarterback
2017 Baker Mayfield Quarterback
2016 Lamar Jackson Quarterback
2015 Derrick Henry Running back
2014 Marcus Mariota Quarterback
2013 Jameis Winston Quarterback
2012 Johnny Manziel Quarterback
2011 Robert Griffin III Quarterback
2010 Cam Newton Quarterback
2009 Mark Ingram Jr Running back
2008 Sam Bradford Quarterback
2007 Tim Tebow Quarterback
2006 Troy Smith Quarterback
2005 Reggie Bush Running back
2004 Matt Leinart Quarterback
2003 Jason White Quarterback
2002 Carson Palmer Quarterback
2001 Eric Crouch Quarterback
2000 Chris Weinke Quarterback

For those of you playing along at home, that’s 17 QBs and 3 running backs.

The last Heisman to go to a different position was Charles Woodson’s 1997 win. Before that, it was Desmond Howard in 1991, then Johnny Rodgers (who was kind of a running back) in 1972, and then Notre Dame end Leon Hart in 1949.

Position Number of Heisman Trophies since 2000
Quarterback 17
Running back 3
All others 0

Heisman Trophies by Conference

The SEC and Big Ten dominate the top candidates for 2019, yet again. This is not new.

But while the SEC has actually followed through with their Heisman Trophy candidates lately, the Big Ten has only produced two winners since 2000 and none since 2006 (Troy Smith, Ohio State).

Conference Heisman Trophies since 2000
Big 12 5
Pac-12 4
Big Ten 2

Archived Heisman Trophy Odds: 2019, 2018