Upcoming Match-ups
  • Which current and upcoming films are critics buzzing about this Oscar season?
  • Track the odds for Best Picture, Best Actor, Best Actress, and Best Director
  • View up-to-date odds and predictions for the 2019 Academy Awards

With nominations becoming official January 22nd, 2019, we are well on our way toward the 2019 Oscars. The pinnacle of award season for most fans, the Academy Awards will air live from Los Angeles on February 24th, 2019. Make sure to mark down the following key dates on your calendar:

  • Feb. 19/19: Final round of voting closes
  • Feb. 24/19: 91st Academy Awards telecast

Best Picture Odds

Best Picture Top Contender Odds

A Star is Born had the shortest opening odds of any film on November 7th, but dropped all the way to +700 following January 22’s official nomination announcements. The box-office darling has steep competition, and popularity has not always guaranteed an Oscar win.

Netflix’s first Oscar contender, Roma, now has the shortest odds at -120. Tied for the most nominations overall with The FavouriteRoma could make history as the first streaming-service produced film to win an Academy Award.

Best Picture Odds at BetOnline

Movie Odds to Win Best Picture at BetOnline (02/11/19)
Roma -300
Green Book +450
The Favourite  +800
BlacKkKlansman +1200
A Star is Born +2500
Bohemian Rhapsody +2500
Black Panther +2500
Vice +6600

Roma won a Golden Globe for Best Motion Picture – Foreign Language. Could it also snag top honors at the Oscars? It’s presently the favorite at  BetOnline, but this race could come down to a photo finish.

Past Best Picture Winners

Year Winner
2017 The Shape of Water
2016 Moonlight
2015 Spotlight
2014 Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)
2013 12 Years a Slave

The Shape of Water didn’t just win big at the Oscars, it won big everywhere. The critically-acclaimed drama won 117 awards worldwide. Will Roma receive even more statuettes this year?

Best Actor Odds

Best Actor Top Contender Odds

Feb. 11: Bradley Cooper saw his average odds continue to lengthen, going from +800 to +1900.

Jan. 22: An official nomination for Christian Bale has edged Rami Malek off the leading edge, with +100 to Rami’s +120. A tight race is in the works between these two transformative roles.

Jan. 10: Rami Malek has officially jumped to the front of the line for his eye-opening portrayal of Freddie Mercury in the toe-tapping biopic, Bohemian Rhapsody. The 37-year-old saw his odds improve from +600 on November 27th to -160 on January 10th. Don’t be surprised if they continue to get even shorter as the Oscars approach.

Best Actor Odds at BetOnline

Actor Odds to Win Best Actor at BetOnline (02/11/19)
Rami Malek -350
 Christian Bale +200
Bradley Cooper +1800
Viggo Mortensen +3300
Willem Dafoe +5000

The Academy isn’t the only group who were impressed by Rami Malek’s performance in Bohemian Rhapsody. His star-turn has earned him Best Actor nominations from 24 other awards shows and organizations.

Past Best Actor Winners

Year Winner Film
2017 Gary Oldman Darkest Hour
2016 Casey Affleck Manchester by the Sea
2015 Leonardo DiCaprio The Revenant
2014 Eddie Redmayne The Theory of Everything
2013 Matthew McConaughey Dallas Buyers Club

Malek and his fellow nominees have a long way to go before catching up to Daniel Day-Lewis. The versatile English actor holds the record for most Best Actor wins for his roles in My Left Foot: The Story of Christy Brown, There Will Be Blood, and Lincoln.

Best Actress Odds

Best Actress Top Contender Odds

Feb. 11: Close appears to be untouchable as the Oscars approach. Her average odds got even shorter, going from -350 to -580.

Jan. 22: Melissa McCarthy snagged the fifth nomination for Best Actress, though she remains a long-shot at +2900. McCarthy beat out Oscar hopeful Emily Blunt, solidifying one of this year’s biggest snubs.

Jan. 10: Glenn Close emerged as the prohibitive favorite after picking up Best Actress honors at the Golden Globes. The 71-year-old was last nominated for an Oscar in 2012 when she received a nod for her role as a gender-bending butler in Albert Nobbs.

Best Actress Odds at BetOnline

Actor Odds to Win Best Actress at BetOnline (02/11/19)
Glenn Close -600
Olivia Colman +500
Lady Gaga +700
Yalitza Aparicio +2500
Melissa McCarthy +6600

Glenn Close has been nominated for an Academy Award seven times, but has yet to win. Will 2019 be the year her luck changes?

Past Best Actress Winners

Year Winner Film
2017 Frances McDormand Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
2016 Emma Stone La La Land
2015 Brie Larson Room
2014 Julianne Moore Still Alice
2013 Cate Blanchett Blue Jasmine

Meryl Streep may hold the record for most Best Actress nominations with 17, but the record for most Best Actress wins belongs to Katharine Hepburn. The First Lady of Cinema won four Oscars from 1934 and 1982 for her roles in Morning Glory, Guess Who’s Coming to Dinner, The Lion in Winter, and On Golden Pond.

Best Director Odds

Best Director Top Contender Odds

Feb. 11: Adam McKay plummeted all the way to the fifth spot as Vice continues to fall out of vogue among oddsmakers.

Jan. 22: Surprise nominee, Pawel Pawlikowski, has dropped in at +2300, but with odds shifting from -700 to -1500, the bed seems made still for Alfonso Cuaron.

Jan. 10: Can anyone usurp Alfonso Cuaron? The acclaimed Mexican director has been the odds-on favorite since November, and easily won Best Director honors at the Golden Globes on January 6th.

Best Director Odds at BetOnline

Actor Odds to Win Best Director at BetOnline (02/11/19)
Alfonso Cuaron -2000
Spike Lee +700
Pawel Pawlikowski +2500
Yorgos Lanthimos +2500
Adam McKay +3300

You won’t get much value in betting on Alfonso Cuaron at such ridiculously short odds, but at this point betting on anyone else would be akin to throwing your money away.

Repeat Oscar Wins by Director

 

Best Picture and Best Director aren’t technically synonymous wins, but out of the last 90 Academy Award ceremonies, 64 Best Picture wins have coincided with the Best Director.

Out of the last 90 Academy Award ceremonies, 64 Best Picture wins have coincided with the Best Director.

While the majority of contending directors, and their respective films, would be first-timers this year, there are a handful of directors who could see repeated success in 2019.

Of all the potential repeat contenders in these categories, Clint Eastwood comes in with the most hardware to his name. Hard to believe Scorsese has only scored one win for both Best Picture and Director, and his chances at repeating that success depend largely on whether or not his Irishman will be released in time for consideration.

Additional Academy Awards Odds

Best Animated Feature Odds at Bovada

Actor Odds to Win Animated Feature at Bovada (02/11/19)
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse -1000
Isle of Dogs +800
Incredibles 2 +900
Mirai +2500
Ralph Breaks the Internet +2500

Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse has been nearly as popular with critics as it has been with fans. The film made $35 million in its opening weekend and has already been nominated for 73 awards worldwide.

Best Original Screenplay Odds at Bovada

Actor Odds to Win Best Original Screenplay at Bovada (02/11/19)
The Favourite -110
Green Book  +275
Roma +400
First Reformed +500
Vice +2000

Co-written by first-time screenwriter Deborah Davis and veteran scribe Tony McNamara, The Favourite is nominated for 10 Academy Awards. It’s an impressive number, but it still pales in comparison to the 17 nominations achieved by Titanic in 1997 and La La Land in 2016.

Best Foreign Language Film Odds at Bovada

Actor Odds to Win Best Foreign Language Film at Bovada (02/11/19)
Roma (Mexico) -1500
Cold War (Poland) +700
Shoplifters (Japan) +1200
Capernaum (Lebanon) +2500
Never Look Away (Germany) +3300

You won’t find a heavier favorite in any category than Roma for Best Foreign Language Film. If – and when – it wins, it will become the first Mexican film to ever win top honours in this category.

Best Supporting Actor Odds at BetOnline

Actor Odds to Win Best Supporting Actor at BetOnline (02/11/19)
Mahershala Ali (Green Book) -600
Richard E. Grant (Can You Ever Forgive Me?) +450
Sam Elliott (A Star Is Born) +900
Adam Driver (BlacKkKlansman) +2500
Sam Rockwell (Vice) +3300

Green Book isn’t the only Oscar-nominated film that Mahershala Ali appeared in this year. The Oakland-native also voiced Uncle Aaron in Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse.

Best Supporting Actress Odds at BetOnline

Actor Odds to Win Best Supporting Actress at BetOnline (02/11/19)
Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk) -300
Amy Adams (Vice) +250
Rachel Weisz (The Favourite) +1200
Emma Stone (The Favourite) +1600
Marina de Tavira (Roma) +2500

Regina Hall is no stranger to awards season. The 48-year-old Los Angeleno already has a pair of Primetime Emmys for her roles in American Crime and Seven Seconds, and she picked up a Golden Globe earlier this year for If Beale Street Could Talk. Don’t be surprised if you hear her name announced again on February 24th.