91st Academy Awards Odds Tracker
- Which current and upcoming films are critics buzzing about this Oscar season?
- Track the odds for Best Picture, Best Actor, Best Actress, and Best Director
- View up-to-date odds and predictions for the 2019 Academy Awards
With nominations becoming official January 22nd, 2019, we are well on our way toward the 2019 Oscars. The pinnacle of award season for most fans, the Academy Awards will air live from Los Angeles on February 24th, 2019. Make sure to mark down the following key dates on your calendar:
- Feb. 19/19: Final round of voting closes
- Feb. 24/19: 91st Academy Awards telecast
Best Picture Odds
Best Picture Top Contender Odds
A Star is Born had the shortest opening odds of any film on November 7th, but dropped all the way to +700 following January 22’s official nomination announcements. The box-office darling has steep competition, and popularity has not always guaranteed an Oscar win.
Netflix’s first Oscar contender, Roma, now has the shortest odds at -120. Tied for the most nominations overall with The Favourite, Roma could make history as the first streaming-service produced film to win an Academy Award.
Best Picture Odds at BetOnline
|Movie||Odds to Win Best Picture at BetOnline (02/11/19)|
|A Star is Born||+2500|
Roma won a Golden Globe for Best Motion Picture – Foreign Language. Could it also snag top honors at the Oscars? It’s presently the favorite at BetOnline, but this race could come down to a photo finish.
Past Best Picture Winners
|2017||The Shape of Water|
|2014||Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)|
|2013||12 Years a Slave|
The Shape of Water didn’t just win big at the Oscars, it won big everywhere. The critically-acclaimed drama won 117 awards worldwide. Will Roma receive even more statuettes this year?
Best Actor Odds
Best Actor Top Contender Odds
Feb. 11: Bradley Cooper saw his average odds continue to lengthen, going from +800 to +1900.
Jan. 22: An official nomination for Christian Bale has edged Rami Malek off the leading edge, with +100 to Rami’s +120. A tight race is in the works between these two transformative roles.
Jan. 10: Rami Malek has officially jumped to the front of the line for his eye-opening portrayal of Freddie Mercury in the toe-tapping biopic, Bohemian Rhapsody. The 37-year-old saw his odds improve from +600 on November 27th to -160 on January 10th. Don’t be surprised if they continue to get even shorter as the Oscars approach.
Best Actor Odds at BetOnline
|Actor||Odds to Win Best Actor at BetOnline (02/11/19)|
The Academy isn’t the only group who were impressed by Rami Malek’s performance in Bohemian Rhapsody. His star-turn has earned him Best Actor nominations from 24 other awards shows and organizations.
Past Best Actor Winners
|2017||Gary Oldman||Darkest Hour|
|2016||Casey Affleck||Manchester by the Sea|
|2015||Leonardo DiCaprio||The Revenant|
|2014||Eddie Redmayne||The Theory of Everything|
|2013||Matthew McConaughey||Dallas Buyers Club|
Malek and his fellow nominees have a long way to go before catching up to Daniel Day-Lewis. The versatile English actor holds the record for most Best Actor wins for his roles in My Left Foot: The Story of Christy Brown, There Will Be Blood, and Lincoln.
Best Actress Odds
Best Actress Top Contender Odds
Feb. 11: Close appears to be untouchable as the Oscars approach. Her average odds got even shorter, going from -350 to -580.
Jan. 22: Melissa McCarthy snagged the fifth nomination for Best Actress, though she remains a long-shot at +2900. McCarthy beat out Oscar hopeful Emily Blunt, solidifying one of this year’s biggest snubs.
Jan. 10: Glenn Close emerged as the prohibitive favorite after picking up Best Actress honors at the Golden Globes. The 71-year-old was last nominated for an Oscar in 2012 when she received a nod for her role as a gender-bending butler in Albert Nobbs.
Best Actress Odds at BetOnline
|Actor||Odds to Win Best Actress at BetOnline (02/11/19)|
Glenn Close has been nominated for an Academy Award seven times, but has yet to win. Will 2019 be the year her luck changes?
Past Best Actress Winners
|2017||Frances McDormand||Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri|
|2016||Emma Stone||La La Land|
|2014||Julianne Moore||Still Alice|
|2013||Cate Blanchett||Blue Jasmine|
Meryl Streep may hold the record for most Best Actress nominations with 17, but the record for most Best Actress wins belongs to Katharine Hepburn. The First Lady of Cinema won four Oscars from 1934 and 1982 for her roles in Morning Glory, Guess Who’s Coming to Dinner, The Lion in Winter, and On Golden Pond.
Best Director Odds
Best Director Top Contender Odds
Feb. 11: Adam McKay plummeted all the way to the fifth spot as Vice continues to fall out of vogue among oddsmakers.
Jan. 22: Surprise nominee, Pawel Pawlikowski, has dropped in at +2300, but with odds shifting from -700 to -1500, the bed seems made still for Alfonso Cuaron.
Jan. 10: Can anyone usurp Alfonso Cuaron? The acclaimed Mexican director has been the odds-on favorite since November, and easily won Best Director honors at the Golden Globes on January 6th.
Best Director Odds at BetOnline
|Actor||Odds to Win Best Director at BetOnline (02/11/19)|
You won’t get much value in betting on Alfonso Cuaron at such ridiculously short odds, but at this point betting on anyone else would be akin to throwing your money away.
Repeat Oscar Wins by Director
Best Picture and Best Director aren’t technically synonymous wins, but out of the last 90 Academy Award ceremonies, 64 Best Picture wins have coincided with the Best Director.
Out of the last 90 Academy Award ceremonies, 64 Best Picture wins have coincided with the Best Director.
While the majority of contending directors, and their respective films, would be first-timers this year, there are a handful of directors who could see repeated success in 2019.
Of all the potential repeat contenders in these categories, Clint Eastwood comes in with the most hardware to his name. Hard to believe Scorsese has only scored one win for both Best Picture and Director, and his chances at repeating that success depend largely on whether or not his Irishman will be released in time for consideration.
Additional Academy Awards Odds
Best Animated Feature Odds at Bovada
|Actor||Odds to Win Animated Feature at Bovada (02/11/19)|
|Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse||-1000|
|Isle of Dogs||+800|
|Ralph Breaks the Internet||+2500|
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse has been nearly as popular with critics as it has been with fans. The film made $35 million in its opening weekend and has already been nominated for 73 awards worldwide.
Best Original Screenplay Odds at Bovada
|Actor||Odds to Win Best Original Screenplay at Bovada (02/11/19)|
Co-written by first-time screenwriter Deborah Davis and veteran scribe Tony McNamara, The Favourite is nominated for 10 Academy Awards. It’s an impressive number, but it still pales in comparison to the 17 nominations achieved by Titanic in 1997 and La La Land in 2016.
Best Foreign Language Film Odds at Bovada
|Actor||Odds to Win Best Foreign Language Film at Bovada (02/11/19)|
|Cold War (Poland)||+700|
|Never Look Away (Germany)||+3300|
You won’t find a heavier favorite in any category than Roma for Best Foreign Language Film. If – and when – it wins, it will become the first Mexican film to ever win top honours in this category.
Best Supporting Actor Odds at BetOnline
|Actor||Odds to Win Best Supporting Actor at BetOnline (02/11/19)|
|Mahershala Ali (Green Book)||-600|
|Richard E. Grant (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)||+450|
|Sam Elliott (A Star Is Born)||+900|
|Adam Driver (BlacKkKlansman)||+2500|
|Sam Rockwell (Vice)||+3300|
Green Book isn’t the only Oscar-nominated film that Mahershala Ali appeared in this year. The Oakland-native also voiced Uncle Aaron in Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse.
Best Supporting Actress Odds at BetOnline
|Actor||Odds to Win Best Supporting Actress at BetOnline (02/11/19)|
|Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk)||-300|
|Amy Adams (Vice)||+250|
|Rachel Weisz (The Favourite)||+1200|
|Emma Stone (The Favourite)||+1600|
|Marina de Tavira (Roma)||+2500|
Regina Hall is no stranger to awards season. The 48-year-old Los Angeleno already has a pair of Primetime Emmys for her roles in American Crime and Seven Seconds, and she picked up a Golden Globe earlier this year for If Beale Street Could Talk. Don’t be surprised if you hear her name announced again on February 24th.