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  • See the odds from open to close to win all the major awards at the 2021 Oscars
  • Christopher Nolan’s Tenet  opened as the favorite to win Best Picture at odds of +800 
  • Learn trends from past years of Academy Awards shows

The 93rd Academy Awards are set for 2021, at the Dolby Theater in Hollywood, LA. The graphs below track the futures odds to win the major categories by calculating the average from some of the top sportsbooks.

Best Picture Top Contenders

  • [Nov 19] Odds still favor Tenet as the favorite. However, Chloe Zhao’s Nomadland is listed as low as +215 at certain sportsbooks and saw its average odds shorten to +1758
  • [Mar 30] Opening odds favor Christopher Nolan’s upcoming thrilled Tenet at +800 just ahead of Dune starring Timothee Chalamet at +900

Top 10 Best Picture Odds

Movie Odds
Nomadland +215
Mank +500
The Trial of the Chicago 7 +600
News of the World +800
One Night in Miami +800
Da 5 Bloods +900
Minari +1400
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom +1800
Soul +2000
The Father +2500

All odds from Nov. 19

Past Best Picture Winners

Year Winner
2020 Parasite
2019 Green Book
2018 The Shape of Water
2017 Moonlight
2016 Spotlight
2015 Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)
2014 12 Years a Slave

Best Director Top Contenders

  • [Nov 19] David Fincher remains the favorite with average odds of +113, but Chloe Zhao is not far behind at +225
  • [Mar 30] Listed as a strong -200 odds-on favorite, David Fincher’s Mank is the early favorit

Best Director Odds

Director Odds
Chloe Zhao – Nomadland +225
David Fincher – Mank +265
Regina King – One Night in Miami +315
Aaron Sorokin – The Trial of the Chicago 7 +450
Spike Lee – Da 5 Bloods +575

Produced by Netflix, Mank, is an American biographical drama film about screenwriter Herman J. Mankiewicz, and his battles with director Orson Welles over screenplay credit for Citizen Kane.

Best Actor Top Contenders

  • [Nov 19] Anthony Hopkins emerges as the favorite with +150 odds, while Tom Hanks trails him with average odds of +500
  • [Mar 30] There’s a four-way tie for opening favorite at 8-1 odds with Eddie Redmayne, Gary Oldman, Robert Pattinson and Tom Hanks all starring in upcoming pictures

Top 5 Best Actor Odds

Actor Odds
Anthony Hopkins – The Father +150
Chadwick Boseman – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom +300
Delroy Lindo – Da 5 Bloods +450
Gary Oldman – Mank +450
Kingsley Ben-Air – One Night in Miami +600


Past Best Actor Winners

Year Winner Film
2020 Joaquin Phoenix Joker
2019 Rami Malek Bohemian Rhapsody
2018 Gary Oldman Darkest Hour
2017 Casey Affleck Manchester by the Sea
2016 Leonardo DiCaprio The Revenant
2015 Eddie Redmayne The Theory of Everything
2014 Matthew McConaughey Dallas Buyers Club

Best Actress Top Contenders

  • [Nov 19] Viola Davis remains the favorite with average odds of +315. Not far behind is Andra Day who starred in The United States vs. Billie Holiday at +500
  • [Mar 30] Opening favorites Viola Davis (5-1), Amy Adams (7-1) and Meryl Streep (8-1) are the early top three

Top 5 Best Actress Odds

Actress Odds
Viola Davis – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom +130
Andra Day – The United States vs Billie Holiday +500
Frances McDormand – Nomadland +550
Vanessa Kirby – Pieces of a Woman +700
Amy Adams – Hillbilly Elegy +1000


Past Best Actress Winners

Year Winner Film
2020 Renee Zellweger Judy
2019 Olivia Colman The Favourite
2018 Frances McDormand Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
2017 Emma Stone La La Land
2016 Brie Larson Room
2015 Julianne Moore Still Alice
2014 Cate Blanchett Blue Jasmine

Archived Academy Awards odds: 2020, 2019

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With five years of sports journalism under his belt already, Ryan Sura may be young, but he is already making his mark. He has written for publications such as Fantasy Pros, SB Nation and TSN.ca, covering NFL, NBA, and college sports.