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  • See the odds from open to close to win all the major awards at the 2021 Oscars
  • Chloe Zhao’s Nomadland  won Best Picture at the 93rd Academy awards
  • Learn trends from past years of Academy Awards shows

The 93rd Academy Awards or Oscars threw an elegant party at the Dolby Theater in Hollywood, Los Angeles on April 25th. The graphs below tracked the futures odds to win the major categories by calculating the average from some of the top sportsbooks. Read below to see who emerged victorious on awards night in Los Angeles and at what odds.

Best Picture Top Contenders

  • [Apr 26]: To no ones surprise, Nomadland captured Best Picture at the 93rd Academy Awards. Nomadland closed at -670 odds to win.
  • [Apr 20]: With less than a week before the 93rd Academy Awards. Nomadland continues to lead the way as the favorite. The Trial of the Chicago 7  is the second favorite with average odds at +700.
  • [Apr 6]: Odds have increased for every film in the Best Picture category, apart from Nomadland. Chloe Zhao’s film’s average odds have shortened from -353 to -475.
  • [Mar 16]: With the official nominations revealed the list of contenders to win Best Picture have shortened. Nomadland  is still heavily favored with average odds at -353. Sound of Metal  is now listed in the odds as a longshot at +6600.
  • [Mar 12]Promising Young Woman has seen their average odds increase from +2000 to +2500, while Judas and the Black Messiah’s average odds shortened from +3300 to +3000.
  • [Feb 12]Nomadland is now the odds-on favorite to win Best Picture at -130. Nomadland  opened at +3300 odds.
  • [Nov 19]: Odds still favor Tenet as the favorite to win Best Picture at the Oscars. However, Chloe Zhao’s Nomadland is listed as low as +215 at certain sportsbooks and saw its average odds shorten to +1758.
  • [Mar 30]: Opening odds favor Christopher Nolan’s upcoming thrilled Tenet at +800 just ahead of Dune starring Timothee Chalamet at +900.

Odds to Win Best Picture at 93rd Academy Awards

Movie Odds
Nomadland -670
The Trial of the Chicago 7 +600
Minari +1400
Promising Young Woman +1700
Mank +3300
Judas and the Black Messiah +3300
Sound of Metal +5000
The Father +10000

All odds as of Apr. 20

Past Best Picture Winners

Year Winner
2020 Parasite
2019 Green Book
2018 The Shape of Water
2017 Moonlight
2016 Spotlight
2015 Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)
2014 12 Years a Slave

Best Director Top Contenders

  • [Apr 26]: As a whopping -3335 favorite, Chloe Zhao won the award for Best Director for her film Nomadland.
  • [Apr 20]: Chloe Zhao’s average odds have significantly shortened from -1000 to -3168 a week before the awards ceremony to win Best Director.
  • [Apr 6]: Zhao remains a -1000 favorite to win Best Director. However, Thomas Vinterberg’s average odds have significantly shortened from +2900 to +1400.
  • [Mar 16]: Chloe Zhao remains a huge favorite to win Best Director after the official nominations were revealed. Zhao’s average odds have shortened from -500 to -1100.
  • [Mar 12]: Promising Young Woman director Emerald Fennell’s average odds to win Best Director have shortened significantly from +4500 to +1600.
  • [Feb 12]: Chloe Zhao has taken over the Best Director category. Zhao’s average odds have shortened from +225 to -450 to win the Oscar.
  • [Nov 19]: David Fincher remains the favorite with average odds of +113, but Chloe Zhao is not far behind at +225
  • [Mar 30]: Listed as a strong -200 odds-on favorite, David Fincher’s Mank is the early favorite.

Odds to Win Best Director at 93rd Academy Awards

Director Odds
Chloe Zhao – Nomadland -3335
David Fincher – Mank +1000
Lee Isaac Chung – Minari +1700
Emerald Fennell – Promising Young Woman +2000
Thomas Vinterberg – Another Round +2500

Produced by Netflix, Mank, is an American biographical drama film about screenwriter Herman J. Mankiewicz, and his battles with director Orson Welles over screenplay credit for Citizen Kane.

Best Actor Top Contenders

  • [Apr 26]: Shockingly enough Anthony Hopkins took home Best Actor for his role in The Father at +700 odds. Chadwick Boseman was listed at -1667 to win Best Actor and was considered a lock for the award.
  • [Apr 20]: Chadwick Boseman remains a heavy favorite at -1834 to win Best Actor, but his average odds have lengthened from -3750. Anthony Hopkins remains the second favorite at +700 odds.
  • [Apr 6]: Chadwick Boseman’s average odds have shortened from -2500 to -3750, but still remains a heavy favorite. Riz Ahmed’s average odds have lengthened from +1075 to +1600.
  • [Mar 16]: Although it seems like Chadwick Boseman will be taking home the award for Best Actor at the 93rd Academy Awards, there are still other contenders. Anthony Hopkins is the second favorite at +750 odds.
  • [Mar 12]: Chadwick Boseman continues to receive praise for his magnificent performance in Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom. Boseman’s average odds have shortened from -500 to -3500 with just over a month before the 93rd Academy Awards.
  • [Feb 12]: Chadwick Boseman has become a massive favorite to win Best Actor over the past few months. Boseman’s performance in Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom has propelled him from +850 to -500 odds.
  • [Nov 19]: Anthony Hopkins emerges as the favorite with +150 odds, while Tom Hanks trails him with average odds of +500 to win Best Actor at the Oscars.
  • [Mar 30]: There’s a four-way tie for opening favorite at 8-1 odds with Eddie Redmayne, Gary Oldman, Robert Pattinson and Tom Hanks all starring in upcoming pictures.

Odds to Win Best Actor at 93rd Academy Awards

Actor Odds
Chadwick Boseman – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom -1667
Anthony Hopkins – The Father +700
Riz Ahmed – Sound of Metal +1400
Gary Oldman – Mank +2500
Steven Yeun – Minari +3300

Past Best Actor Winners

Year Winner Film
2020 Joaquin Phoenix Joker
2019 Rami Malek Bohemian Rhapsody
2018 Gary Oldman Darkest Hour
2017 Casey Affleck Manchester by the Sea
2016 Leonardo DiCaprio The Revenant
2015 Eddie Redmayne The Theory of Everything
2014 Matthew McConaughey Dallas Buyers Club

Best Actress Top Contenders

  • [Apr 26]: Although it seemed like it was a two person race for Best Actress between Carey Mulligan and Viola Davis, it was Frances McDormand who won the award. McDorman won at +400 odds for her role in Nomadland.
  • [Apr 20]: Carey Mulligan remains favored to win Best Actress, as her odds stay steady around +130. However, Viola Davis’ odds continue to shorten just a week before The Oscars at +200.
  • [Apr 6]: Viola Davis has climbed back to the top in the odds to win Best Actress. For her performance in Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom, Davis’ average odds have shortened from +950 to +205.
  • [Mar 16]: Andra Day now has the second shortest odds to win Best Actress. Her average odds sit at +375 to win the award.
  • [Mar 12]: Carey Mulligan is now the odds-on favorite to win Best Actress at the 93rd Academy Awards. Mulligan’s odds have shortened from +175 to -190.
  • [Feb 12]: Carey Mulligan’s performance in Promising Young Woman has be noticed by oddsmakers. Mulligan joins Viola Davis at the top of the odds list at +175.
  • [Nov 19]: Viola Davis remains the favorite with average odds of +315 to win Best Actress at the Oscars. Not far behind is Andra Day who starred in The United States vs. Billie Holiday at +500.
  • [Mar 30]: Opening favorites Viola Davis (5-1), Amy Adams (7-1) and Meryl Streep (8-1) are the early top three.

Odds to Win Best Actress at 93rd Academy Awards

Actress Odds
Carey Mulligan – Promising Young Woman +125
 Viola Davis – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom +200
Frances McDormand – Nomadland +400
Andra Day – The United States vs. Billie Holiday +600
Vanessa Kirby – Pieces of a Woman +2000

Past Best Actress Winners

Year Winner Film
2020 Renee Zellweger Judy
2019 Olivia Colman The Favourite
2018 Frances McDormand Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
2017 Emma Stone La La Land
2016 Brie Larson Room
2015 Julianne Moore Still Alice
2014 Cate Blanchett Blue Jasmine

Best Supporting Actor Top Contenders

  • [Apr 26]: Daniel Kaluuya won the award for Best Supporting Actor for his role as Fred Hampton in Judas and the Black Messiah. Kaluuya opened as the favorite and closed at -2500 odds to win the award before the ceremony started.
  • [Apr 20]: The Best Supporting Actor category continues to have a runaway favorite. Daniel Kaluuya’s average odds have shortened substantially from -1325 to -2500. Sacha Baren Cohen is listed at 11/1, but is narrowly followed by Paul Raci.
  • [Apr 6]: Daniel Kaluuya’s average odds have skyrocketed to -1325 to win Best Supporting Actor, while Sacha Baren Cohen remains the second favorite at +800.
  • [Mar 16]: Daniel Kaluuya’s performance in Judas and the Black Messiah as Fred Hampton has landed him as the favorite to win Best Supporting Actor at the 93rd Academy Awards.

Odds to Win Best Supporting Actor at 93rd Academy Awards

Actor Odds
Daniel Kaluuya – Judas and the Black Messiah -2500
Sacha Baron Cohen – The Trial of Chicago 7 +1200
Paul Raci – Sound of Metal +1200
Leslie Odom Jr. – One Night in Miami +1700
LaKeith Stanfield – Judas and the Black Messiah +3300

Past Best Supporting Actor Winners

Year Winner Film
2020 Brad Pitt Once Upon A Time In Hollywood
2019 Mahershala Ali Green Book
2018 Sam Rockwell Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
2017 Mahershala Ali Moonlight
2016 Mark Rylance Bridge of Spies
2015 J.K. Simmons Whiplash

Best Supporting Actress Top Contenders

  • [Apr 26]: Youn Yuh-Jung won Best Supporting Actress at the 93rd Academy Awards. Yuh-Jung closed as a -500 favorite to win the award.
  • [Apr 20]: After opening as the favorite Maria Bakalova still trails Youn Yuh-Jung in the odds to win Best Supporting Actress. Yuh Jung’s average odds have shortened to -475, while Bakalova’s odds have lengthened to +413.
  • [Apr 6]: Youn Yuh-Jung has taken a commanding lead in the Best Supporting Actress category as the odds-on favorite. Yuh-Jung’s average odds have shortened from +188 to -185.
  • [Mar 16]: It’s a tight race in the Best Supporting Actress category. Maria Bakalova’s average odds are at +188 and Youn Yuh-Jung average odds sit at +175.

Odds to Win Best Supporting Actress at 93rd Academy Awards

Actress Odds
Youn Yuh-Jung – Minari -500
 Maria Bakalova – Borat Subsequent Movie Film +375
Glenn Close – Hillbilly Elegy +1000
Olivia Coleman – The Father +2000
Amanda Seyfried – Mank +3300

Past Best Supporting Actress Winners

Year Winner Film
2020 Laura Dern Marriage Story
2019 Regina King If Beale Street Could Talk
2018 Allison Janney I, Tonya
2017 Viola Davis Fences
2016 Alicia Vikander The Danish Girl
2015 Patricia Arquette Boyhood

Best Original Screenplay Top Contenders

  • [Apr 26]: Despite missing out on Best Picture, Promising Young Woman won Best Original Screenplay at the 93rd Oscars. Promising Young Woman  was the odds-on favorite to win, closing at -455.
  • [Apr 20]: With less than a week before The 2021 Oscars, Promising Young Woman‘s average odds to win Best Original Screenplay have shortened to -503. Meanwhile, The Trial of the Chicago 7 remains the second betting favorite at +263.
  • [Apr 6]: Promising Young Woman  is the favorite to win Best Original Screenplay at -220 average odds. The Trial of the Chicago 7  is a close second at +160 average odds.

Odds to Win Best Original Screenplay at 93rd Academy Awards

Actress Odds
Promising Young Woman -455
The Trial of the Chicago 7 +275
Minari +1400
Judas and the Black Messiah +3300
Sound of Metal +3300

The Best Original Screenplay category is an award given to the best screenplay not based on previously published material. Parasite  won this award at the 92nd Academy Awards.


Archived Academy Awards odds: 2020, 2019

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With five years of sports journalism under his belt already, Ryan Sura may be young, but he is already making his mark. He has written for publications such as Fantasy Pros, SB Nation and TSN.ca, covering NFL, NBA, and college sports.