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  • See the odds from open to close to win all the major awards at the 2023 Oscars
  • Brendan Fraser is heavily favored to win Best Actor at the 95th Academy Awards
  • Learn trends from past years of Academy Awards shows to predict the winners

The 95th Academy Awards (also known as the 2023 Oscars) are set to be presented at the Dolby Theater in Hollywood, Los Angeles on March 13th. The Academy will be hoping for a much more peaceful ceremony this year following the Will Smith incident in 2022.

The graphs below track the odds to win the major categories at the 2023 Oscars. Steven Spielberg’s Babylon is an early favorite to take home hardware at the 95th Academy Awards.

Best Picture Top Contenders

  • [Sep 19]: Babylon and The Fabelmans have opened as +400 co-favorites to win Best Picture at the 2023 Oscars.

95th Academy Awards – Best Picture Odds

Movie Odds
Babylon +400
The Fabelmans +400
Women Talking +650
Everything Everywhere All At Once +1200
She Said +1300
The Woman King +1600
The Banshees of Inisherin +2000
The Whale +2200
Amsterdam +2500
Causeway +2500
Empire of Light +2500
The Son +2500
Thirteen Lives +2500
Top Gun: Maverick +2700
Avatar: The Way of Water +3300
Bardo +3300
Elvis +3300
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery +3300
Tar +3300
The Greatest Beer Run Ever +3500
Till +3500
Armageddon Time +4000
Triangle of Sadness +4000
A Man Called Otto +5000
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever +5000
Blonde +5500
Decision To Leave +5500
Bones And All +8000
Don’t Worry Darling +8000
I Wanna Dance With Somebody +8000
White Noise +8000

All odds as of September 25th, 2022.

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Past Best Picture Winners

Year Winner
2022 The Power of the Dog
2021 Nomadland
2020 Parasite
2019 Green Book
2018 The Shape of Water
2017 Moonlight
2016 Spotlight
2015 Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)

Best Actor Top Contenders

95th Academy Awards – Best Actor Odds

Actor Odds
Brendan Fraser – The Whale -160
Austin Butler – Elvis +450
Bill Nighy – Living +1200
Colin Farrell – The Banshees of Inisherin +1300
Hugh Jackman – The Son +1400
Christian Bale – Amsterdam +1600
Brad Pitt – Babylon  +2000
Adam Driver – White Noise +2500
Jalyn Hall – Till  +2500
Viggo Mortensen – Crimes of the Future +2700
Tom Hanks – A Man Called Otto +3300
Harry Styles – The Policeman +4000

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Past Best Actor Winners

Year Winner Film
2022 Will Smith King Richard
2021 Anthony Hopkins The Father
2020 Joaquin Phoenix Joker
2019 Rami Malek Bohemian Rhapsody
2018 Gary Oldman Darkest Hour
2017 Casey Affleck Manchester by the Sea
2016 Leonardo DiCaprio The Revenant
2015 Eddie Redmayne The Theory of Everything

Best Actress Top Contenders

  • [Sep 19]: Cate Blanchett is the early favorite to win Best Actress at the 2023 Oscars for her performance as Lydia Tár in the Todd Field drama film.

95th Academy Awards – Best Actress Odds

Actress Odds
Cate Blanchett – Tár +170
Margot Robbie – Babylon +300
Michelle Yeoh – Everything Everywhere All at Once +550
Danielle Deadwyler – Till  +1000
Olivia Colman – Empire of Light +1000
Carey Mulligan – She Said +1200
Ana de Armas – Blonde +1600
Viola Davis – The Woman King +1700
Jennifer Lawrence – Causeway +2000
Naomi Ackie – I Wanna Dance with Somebody +2000
Florence Pugh – Don’t Worry Darling  +2500

Past Best Actress Winners

Year Winner Film
2022 Jessica Chastain The Eyes of Tammy Faye
2021 Frances McDormand Nomadland
2020 Renee Zellweger Judy
2019 Olivia Colman The Favourite
2018 Frances McDormand Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
2017 Emma Stone La La Land
2016 Brie Larson Room
2015 Julianne Moore Still Alice

Best Director Top Contenders

  • [Sep 19]: Steven Spielberg has opened as the clear favorite to win Best Director at the 2023 Oscars for his film Babylon.

95th Academy Awards – Best Director Odds

Director Odds
Steven Spielberg – Babylon +125
Damien Chazelle – The Fabelmans  +750
Park Chan-wook – Decision to Leave +1000
Sam Mendes – Empire of Light +1000
Sarah Polley – Women Talking +1100
Todd Field – Tár  +1300
Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert – Everything Everywhere All at Once +1400
Maria Schrader – She Said +1400
Chinoye Chukwu – Till +1600
James Cameron – Avatar: The Way of Water +1600
Martin McDonagh – The Banshees Of Inisherin +1600
Alejando G Inarritu – Bardo +2000
Florian Zeller – The Son +2000
Gina Prince-Blythewood – The Woman King +2300
Baz Luhrmann – Elvis +2500
Ruben Ostlund – Triangle of Sadness  +2500
Darren Aronofsky – The Whale +3300
David O Russel – Amsterdam +4000
Noah Baumbach – White Noise +4000
Ryan Coogler – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever +4200

Past Best Director Winners

Year Winner Film
2022 Jane Campion The Power of the Dog
2021 Chloé Zhao Nomadland
2020 Bong Joon-ho Parasite
2019 Alfonso Cuarón Roma
2018 Guillermo del Toro The Shape of Water
2017 Damien Chazelle La La Land
2016 Alejandro González Iñárritu The Revenant
2015 Alejandro González Iñárritu Birdman

Archived Academy Awards odds: 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019

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Brady is a passionate hockey fan and sports writer with over five years of experience specializing in digital media, plus a degree in Broadcast Journalism. His work has been published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.