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  • See the odds to win all the major awards at the 2020 Oscars
  • Track how the odds for Best Picture, Best Actor, Best Actress, and Best Director fluctuate leading up to the Feb. 9th ceremony
  • Learn trends from the past six years of Academy Awards shows

The 92nd Academy Awards take place on Feb. 9th, 2020, at the Dolby Theater in Hollywood, LA. The graphs below track the futures odds to win the major categories by calculating the average from some of our most trusted sportsbooks.

Best Picture Odds

Best Picture Top Contender Odds

  • [Jan. 23] Initial front-runner and assumed Academy favorite, The Irishman, see odds worsen from +2850 to +3276, as the distance between 1917 (now at -172) and all other contenders continues to grow
  • [Jan. 20] Following a win at the Producer’s Guild Awards for 1917 , odds for the war film shorten to -115
  • [Jan. 15] Ford vs. Ferrari‘s odds are the longest they have been all season, at +71667 now
  • [Jan. 13] Following this morning’s official nominations announcement, Once Upon A Time In Hollywood is sitting pretty with +125 odds to win Best Picture
  • [Jan. 10] 1917‘s odds shorten from +348 to +270, tightening the race between Sam Mendes’ war epic and current lead contenders
  • [Jan. 8] Odds for Once Upon A Time In Hollywood to take home the Best Picture statuette shorten to +247; enough to eek ahead of Parasite at +255
  • [Jan. 6]  The Irishman sees its odds the longest they’ve been this season, with +438, leaving plenty of space for Parasite to hold on to first contender spot with marginally longer odds at +258
  • [Dec. 20] The gap closes between current front-runner The Irishman and Parasite, with +240 and +250 odds, respectively
  • [Dec. 16] Bong Joon-Ho’s critically acclaimed Parasite sees its odds shorten from +700 to +300
  • [Nov. 22] Heralded as a swan song for the great gangster stories Martin Scorsese is known for, The Irishman opens this Academy Awards season with the shortest odds, at +240.

Best Picture Odds at BookMaker.eu

Movie Odds to Win Best Picture at BookMaker.eu
1917 -167
Parasite +360
Once Upon A Time In Hollywood +387
Joker +1576
The Irishman +2504
Jojo Rabbit +6000
Marriage Story +10000
Little Women +12000
Ford vs Ferrari +25000

All odds taken on Jan. 23, 2020

The Irishman didn’t make it past the cutting room floor in time to be considered for the 91st Academy Awards, but perhaps the wait was worth it for Netflix’s 2020 contender.  The more-or-less true mob story runs over 3 hour, following one man’s rise through organized crime – and his eventual involvement with the famously disappeared Jimmy Hoffa.

Past Best Picture Winners

Year Winner
2019 Green Book
2018 The Shape of Water
2017 Moonlight
2016 Spotlight
2015 Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)
2014 12 Years a Slave

Directed by Martin Scorsese and starring the genre’s best (De Niro, Pesci, Pacino), The Irishman has that something the Academy voters love: it is the final piece in a long-standing and highly acclaimed career.

Despite running against some other heavy-hitters (Tarantino, anyone?), the finality of the film and those behind it smells of early Oscars success.

Best Director Odds

Best Director Top Contender Odds

  • [Jan. 23] Martin Scorsese’s odds of taking home the Best Director for his final mob movie do not look good, with a shift in the wrong direction to +2275
  • [Jan. 20] Following 1917′s success at the Producer’s Guild Awards, Sam Mendes’ own odds shorten further for a Best Director win at the Oscars, from -125 to -165
  • [Jan. 15] Martin Scorsese’s odds of winning Best Director for The Irishman take a dramatic hit, lengthening to +9449
  • [Jan. 13] Taika Waititi is out, following the nominations announcement, and initial front-runner Martin Scorsese’s odds worsen further to +625
  • [Jan. 10] Not much movement in the odds for Best Director, with Sam Mendes still maintaining the lead in this race, with +130
  • [Jan. 8] Sam Mendes jumps to the front of the pack with +128 odds, while initial front-runner Scorsese sees his own odds lengthen to +513
  • [Dec 20] Martin Scorsese starts off the race for Best Director with the shortest odds at +145, for his end-of-an-era mob movie, The Irishman

Best Director Odds at BetOnline

Director Odds to Win Best Director at BetOnline
Sam Mendes (1917) -175
Bong Joon Ho (Parasite) +200
Quentin Tarantino (Once Upon A Time In Hollywood) +800
Martin Scorsese (The Irishman) +1600
Todd Phillips (Joker) +3300

All odds taken on Jan. 23, 2020

Either Martin Scorsese or Bong Joon Ho could take home the Academy Award and not a single eye would blink; however, if you’re looking for value here, Quentin Tarantino’s directorial effort in Once Upon A Time In Hollywood might be more up your alley. With +650 odds and an eye for detail nearly unparalleled, Tarantino is not one to sleep on.

Best Actor Odds

Best Actor Top Contender Odds

  • [Jan. 23] Leonardo DiCaprio finally sees some positive movement for his role in Once Upon A Time In Hollywood, with odds at +3125
  • [Jan. 20] All nominees see their odds lengthen, save for Joaquin Phoenix – who again sees odds improve with +1333
  • [Jan. 15] Adam Driver’s odds get longer to +625, while Joaquin Phoenix’s are the shortest they’ve been yet, at -1000
  • [Jan. 13] Robert De Niro, Eddie Murphy, Taron Egerton and Adam Sandler all got snubbed, but Joaquin Phoenix is soaring with -900 odds to win
  • [Jan. 10] Eddie Murphy’s odds lengthen even further for his performance in My Name Is Dolemite, going from +4750 to +6000, while Christian Bale’s shorten dramatically to +4467
  • [Jan. 8] At the moment, there is only one top contender for Best Actor and it is still Joaquin Phoenix at -550; Robert DeNiro drops out of the top contenders race as his odds lengthen from +900 to +5450
  • [Jan. 6] Joaquin Phoenix stays in the lead, with even shorter odds at +350 and a win at the Golden Globes
  • [Dec. 20] While all other top contenders see odds worsen, Adam Driver’s odds shorten from+329 to +280
  • [Dec. 16] Of all current contenders, DiCaprio’s are the only odds to shorten, from +1000 to +900; Phoenix maintains his lead with -275.
  • [Nov. 22] A somber take on a well-known villain sees Joaquin Phoenix’s odds for Best Actor open at -220.

Best Actor Odds at BetOnline

Actor Odds to Win Best Actor at BetOnline
Joaquin Phoenix (Joker) -1200
Adam Driver (Marriage Story) +700
Leonardo Di Caprio (Once Upon A Time In Hollywood) +2500
Antonio Banderas (Pain and Glory) +2800
Jonathan Pryce (The Two Popes) +3300

All odds taken on Jan. 23, 2020

Whether you loved it or hated it, Todd Phillips’ Joker proved once and again that Joaquin Phoenix will go where he needs to go as an actor. His physical performance of a man caught within the nightmare of his own mind, navigating a complex world, is without a doubt nomination-worthy. Will it also be awards-earning?

His closest contender is Adam Driver, who carries enough physical and emotional intensity for 10 men within his one body. From the small screen (GIRLS; HBO) to a galaxy far, far away (Star Wars: The Last Jedi), Driver plays every character with a physicality you often only see live on a stage.

Critics of his take on the role have said it’s a bit too theatre-school-101, but Driver says that “performance” was actually one of the film’s biggest themes.

Past Best Actor Winners

Year Winner Film
2019 Rami Malek Bohemian Rhapsody
2018 Gary Oldman Darkest Hour
2017 Casey Affleck Manchester by the Sea
2016 Leonardo DiCaprio The Revenant
2015 Eddie Redmayne The Theory of Everything
2014 Matthew McConaughey Dallas Buyers Club

Best Actress Odds

 

Best Actress Top Contender Odds

  • [Jan. 23] The gap between Renee Zellweger and her next closest contender, Scarlett Johansson, just got even bigger. Zellweger has enjoyed the best odds of any actress so far this year, but now with -1191 to win the award, there just might not be enough time for anyone else to close that distance
  • [Jan. 20] Charlize Theron’s odds shift from +1975 to +3233, the longest they have been since opening
  • [Jan. 15] Saoirse Ronan’s odds shorten from +2500 to +2267, the shortest they have been yet
  • [Jan. 13] Lupita Nyong’o, Awkwafina and Meryl Streep all drop out of contention, and Zellweger continues to put distance between herself and fellow nominees with -650 odds
  • [Jan. 10] Scarlett Johansson’s odds shorten slightly from +600 to +500, but so do Renee Zellweger’s (to -425) leaving Zellweger still far, far ahead of the rest
  • [Jan. 8] Renee Zellweger holds on to her first-place contender status with -550; other contenders Meryl Streep and Lupita Nyongo both see their own odds lengthen considerably (to +1500 and +12000 respectively)
  • [Dec 20] Her role in Judy sees Renee Zellweger as initial front-runner for Best Actress with odds at -190

Best Actress Odds at BookMaker.eu

Actress Odds to Win Best Actress at BookMaker
Renee Zellweger (Judy) -965
Scarlett Johansson (Marriage Story) +875
Charlize Theron (Bombshell) +3000
Saoirse Ronan (Little Women) +3500
Cynthia Erivo (Harriet) +3600

All odds taken on Jan. 23, 2020

Renee Zellweger as Judy Garland in this year’s dramatic biopic, Judy, is an empathetic performance deserving of the ol’ Oscar nod. Are her odds at -190 more deserved than Lupita Nyongo’s performance in Jordan Peele’s thriller/horror Us? Or newcomer Cynthia Erivo’s at +1100? Critical reviews of Erivo’s Harriet Tubman have been rave, while Nyongo’s chilling maternal spin should have earned her slightly shorter than +950 odds here.

The historical significance of Harriet on a whole may give Erivo a leg up in the long run; the Academy tends to look fondly on historical work.

Past Best Actress Winners

Year Winner Film
2019 Olivia Colman The Favourite
2018 Frances McDormand Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
2017 Emma Stone La La Land
2016 Brie Larson Room
2015 Julianne Moore Still Alice
2014 Cate Blanchett Blue Jasmine

Best Supporting Actor Odds

 

Best Supporting Actor Top Contender Odds

  • [Jan. 23] Tom Hanks and Anthony Hopkins both see their odds shorten, to +1875 and +4475, respectively; but, Brad Pitt is so far in the lead at -1725, that the rest of the pack can barely see him
  • [Jan. 20] A win at the SAG Awards for Brad Pitt sees his odds shorten significantly from -475 to -1267
  • [Jan. 15] Brad Pitt sees his odds lengthen from -800 to -475, but he is still well-ahead of his fellow contenders
  • [Jan. 13] Tom Hanks’ odds to win Best Supporting Actor for A Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood shorten significantly from +3000 pre-nomination to +1950; Brad Pitt maintains a heavy lead with -800 now
  • [Jan. 10] Early front-runner, Brad Pitt, is already miles ahead of the rest of his possible contenders with -600 odds; Joe Pesci is the only one who looks like he could beat Pitt, at the moment, with +600 for mob-movie swan song The Irishman.

Best Supporting Actor Odds at BookMaker.eu

Actor Odds to Win Best Supporting Actor at BookMaker
Brad Pitt (Once Upon A Time In Hollywood) -1400
Joe Pesci (The Irishman) +1200
Tom Hanks (A Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood) +2800
Al Pacino (The Irishman) +4000
Anthony Hopkins (The Two Popes) +8000

All odds taken on Jan. 23, 2020

Brad Pitt’s return to the silver screen in 2019 is earning him a lot of Oscar talk. But the Best Supporting category could be stacked with some heavyweights this year (Pesci, Pacino, Dafoe, Hanks and Hopkins all at once is a lot to compete with) – not to mention the standout performance of Song Kang-ho in critically-acclaimed Parasite.

Past Best Supporting Actor Winners

Year Winner Film
2019 Mahershala Ali Green Book
2018 Sam Rockwell Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
2017 Mahershala Ali Moonlight
2016 Mark Rylance Bridge of Spies
2015 J.K. Simmons Whiplash
2014 Jared Leto Dallas Buyers Club

Best Supporting Actress Odds

 

Best Supporting Actress Top Contender Odds

  • [Jan. 23] Scarlett Johansson’s odds in her second acting nomination this year get worse, moving her from +2650 odds to win Best Supporting to +3225
  • [Jan. 20] Laura Dern’s win for Best Actress in a Supporting Role at the SAG awards this weekend moves her odds for the Academy’s equivalent from -700 to -1000
  • [Jan. 15] Kathy Bates and Margot Robbie both see their odds get longer, to +3033 and +833 respectively
  • [Jan. 13] Despite odds at +600 to win Best Supporting Actress prior to the nomination annoucenment, Jennifer Lopez does not get nominated to win the award; to the surprise of some, Florence Pugh does, and her odds shorten from +3500 to +1500
  • [Jan. 10] Odds are in favor of one of Hollywood’s dearly beloved, Laura Dern, who has opening odds at -400 for her turn in The Report.

Best Supporting Actress Odds at BookMaker.eu

Actress Odds to Win Best Supporting Actress at BookMaker
Laura Dern (Marriage Story) -1000
Margot Robbie (Bombshell) +1000
Florence Pugh (Little Women) +2700
Scarlett Johansson (Jojo Rabbit) +3300
Kathy Bates (Richard Jewell) +4500

All odds taken on Jan. 23, 2020

Is 2020 J. Lo’s year to take home an Oscar? A somewhat surprising and dramatic turn in Hustlers has put Jennifer Lopez in the running for Best Supporting Actress. Or will we see fellow contender and breakout star, Shuzhen Zao earn top honors?

Past Best Supporting Actress Winners

Year Winner Film
2019 Regina King If Beale Street Could Talk
2018 Allison Janney I, Tonya
2017 Viola Davis Fences
2016 Alicia Vikander The Danish Girl
2015 Patricia Arquette Boyhood
2014 Lupita Nyong’o 12 Years a Slave

 


Archived Academy Awards odds: 2019