95th Academy Awards Odds Tracker
Updated September 26, 2022
- See the odds from open to close to win all the major awards at the 2023 Oscars
- Brendan Fraser is heavily favored to win Best Actor at the 95th Academy Awards
- Learn trends from past years of Academy Awards shows to predict the winners
The 95th Academy Awards (also known as the 2023 Oscars) are set to be presented at the Dolby Theater in Hollywood, Los Angeles on March 13th. The Academy will be hoping for a much more peaceful ceremony this year following the Will Smith incident in 2022.
The graphs below track the odds to win the major categories at the 2023 Oscars. Steven Spielberg’s Babylon is an early favorite to take home hardware at the 95th Academy Awards.
Best Picture Top Contenders
- [Sep 19]: Babylon and The Fabelmans have opened as +400 co-favorites to win Best Picture at the 2023 Oscars.
95th Academy Awards – Best Picture Odds
| Movie | Odds |
|---|---|
| Babylon | +400 |
| The Fabelmans | +400 |
| Women Talking | +650 |
| Everything Everywhere All At Once | +1200 |
| She Said | +1300 |
| The Woman King | +1600 |
| The Banshees of Inisherin | +2000 |
| The Whale | +2200 |
| Amsterdam | +2500 |
| Causeway | +2500 |
| Empire of Light | +2500 |
| The Son | +2500 |
| Thirteen Lives | +2500 |
| Top Gun: Maverick | +2700 |
| Avatar: The Way of Water | +3300 |
| Bardo | +3300 |
| Elvis | +3300 |
| Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery | +3300 |
| Tar | +3300 |
| The Greatest Beer Run Ever | +3500 |
| Till | +3500 |
| Armageddon Time | +4000 |
| Triangle of Sadness | +4000 |
| A Man Called Otto | +5000 |
| Black Panther: Wakanda Forever | +5000 |
| Blonde | +5500 |
| Decision To Leave | +5500 |
| Bones And All | +8000 |
| Don’t Worry Darling | +8000 |
| I Wanna Dance With Somebody | +8000 |
| White Noise | +8000 |
All odds as of September 25th, 2022.
Past Best Picture Winners
| Year | Winner |
|---|---|
| 2022 | The Power of the Dog |
| 2021 | Nomadland |
| 2020 | Parasite |
| 2019 | Green Book |
| 2018 | The Shape of Water |
| 2017 | Moonlight |
| 2016 | Spotlight |
| 2015 | Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance) |
Best Actor Top Contenders
- [Sep 19]: Brendan Fraser has opened as an early heavy favorite to win Best Actor at the 2023 Oscars for his incredible performance in The Whale.
95th Academy Awards – Best Actor Odds
| Actor | Odds |
|---|---|
| Brendan Fraser – The Whale | -160 |
| Austin Butler – Elvis | +450 |
| Bill Nighy – Living | +1200 |
| Colin Farrell – The Banshees of Inisherin | +1300 |
| Hugh Jackman – The Son | +1400 |
| Christian Bale – Amsterdam | +1600 |
| Brad Pitt – Babylon | +2000 |
| Adam Driver – White Noise | +2500 |
| Jalyn Hall – Till | +2500 |
| Viggo Mortensen – Crimes of the Future | +2700 |
| Tom Hanks – A Man Called Otto | +3300 |
| Harry Styles – The Policeman | +4000 |
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Past Best Actor Winners
| Year | Winner | Film |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Will Smith | King Richard |
| 2021 | Anthony Hopkins | The Father |
| 2020 | Joaquin Phoenix | Joker |
| 2019 | Rami Malek | Bohemian Rhapsody |
| 2018 | Gary Oldman | Darkest Hour |
| 2017 | Casey Affleck | Manchester by the Sea |
| 2016 | Leonardo DiCaprio | The Revenant |
| 2015 | Eddie Redmayne | The Theory of Everything |
Best Actress Top Contenders
- [Sep 19]: Cate Blanchett is the early favorite to win Best Actress at the 2023 Oscars for her performance as Lydia Tár in the Todd Field drama film.
95th Academy Awards – Best Actress Odds
| Actress | Odds |
|---|---|
| Cate Blanchett – Tár | +170 |
| Margot Robbie – Babylon | +300 |
| Michelle Yeoh – Everything Everywhere All at Once | +550 |
| Danielle Deadwyler – Till | +1000 |
| Olivia Colman – Empire of Light | +1000 |
| Carey Mulligan – She Said | +1200 |
| Ana de Armas – Blonde | +1600 |
| Viola Davis – The Woman King | +1700 |
| Jennifer Lawrence – Causeway | +2000 |
| Naomi Ackie – I Wanna Dance with Somebody | +2000 |
| Florence Pugh – Don’t Worry Darling | +2500 |
Past Best Actress Winners
| Year | Winner | Film |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Jessica Chastain | The Eyes of Tammy Faye |
| 2021 | Frances McDormand | Nomadland |
| 2020 | Renee Zellweger | Judy |
| 2019 | Olivia Colman | The Favourite |
| 2018 | Frances McDormand | Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri |
| 2017 | Emma Stone | La La Land |
| 2016 | Brie Larson | Room |
| 2015 | Julianne Moore | Still Alice |
Best Director Top Contenders
- [Sep 19]: Steven Spielberg has opened as the clear favorite to win Best Director at the 2023 Oscars for his film Babylon.
95th Academy Awards – Best Director Odds
| Director | Odds |
|---|---|
| Steven Spielberg – Babylon | +125 |
| Damien Chazelle – The Fabelmans | +750 |
| Park Chan-wook – Decision to Leave | +1000 |
| Sam Mendes – Empire of Light | +1000 |
| Sarah Polley – Women Talking | +1100 |
| Todd Field – Tár | +1300 |
| Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert – Everything Everywhere All at Once | +1400 |
| Maria Schrader – She Said | +1400 |
| Chinoye Chukwu – Till | +1600 |
| James Cameron – Avatar: The Way of Water | +1600 |
| Martin McDonagh – The Banshees Of Inisherin | +1600 |
| Alejando G Inarritu – Bardo | +2000 |
| Florian Zeller – The Son | +2000 |
| Gina Prince-Blythewood – The Woman King | +2300 |
| Baz Luhrmann – Elvis | +2500 |
| Ruben Ostlund – Triangle of Sadness | +2500 |
| Darren Aronofsky – The Whale | +3300 |
| David O Russel – Amsterdam | +4000 |
| Noah Baumbach – White Noise | +4000 |
| Ryan Coogler – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever | +4200 |
Past Best Director Winners
| Year | Winner | Film |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Jane Campion | The Power of the Dog |
| 2021 | Chloé Zhao | Nomadland |
| 2020 | Bong Joon-ho | Parasite |
| 2019 | Alfonso Cuarón | Roma |
| 2018 | Guillermo del Toro | The Shape of Water |
| 2017 | Damien Chazelle | La La Land |
| 2016 | Alejandro González Iñárritu | The Revenant |
| 2015 | Alejandro González Iñárritu | Birdman |
Brady is a passionate hockey fan and sports writer with over five years of experience specializing in digital media, plus a degree in Broadcast Journalism. His work has been published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.
