2018 US Open Odds Tracker
- We’re tracking the odds on the US Open, so you don’t have to.
- We’ll cover moving and evolving lines as we head into the tournament
- Tiger Woods is currently out of the tournament 🙁
The US Open is a challenging blend of course and field, and is the second major championship on the PGA Tour schedule. It’s also the largest purse on the PGA Tour schedule, so players don’t hold anything back. We’re tracking these golf odds, so that you can see how they trend in the lead-up to the tournament, right until the last putt drops on Sunday.
US Open Futures Tracker
US Open Current Odds
Odds last updated 6/17/2018
US Open Past Winners
A lot of the winners have dropped off the odds sheet, as they were chewed up by the course and heavy winds on Thursday. Tiger Woods is still listed, at +50000, so he’ll keep this chart looking dumb until he gets cut at the end of Friday’s round.
Analysis and Live Updates
6/17/2018: Tommy Fleetwood (+450) is hoping against hope that Shinnecock gets hit by a tornado. Brooks Koepka (+165) is currently the favorite with his one-stroke lead, but even he’s looking a little shaky around the greens. If world #1 Dustin Johnson (+200) could putt to save his life this tournament would have been over a long time ago.
Patrick Reed (+700) is once again a bettors nightmare. There’s just no way to count him out.
6/16/2018, Post-Round: Another wild round! The USGA wanted to protect par, and now heading into Sunday the leaders of the US Open are all tied at +3. Dustin Johnson had an awful round, and lost his four stroke lead to the great rounds of Tony Finau, Brooks Koepka, and Daniel Berger. Johnson is still the favorite at +250, but I love Finau at +800. Can Koepka (at +350) pull off another Sunday win at the US Open?
6/16/2018: The worst of the wind is behind us, and Dustin Johnson is the odds on favorite to win his second US Open. Justin Rose et al aren’t too far behind, but the last time someone lost with this kind of lead was in 1902. You never take your foot off the head of a snake, but this tournament could more or less be over.
6/15/2018 19:38ET: Tiger Woods, Jordan Spieth, and Rory McIlroy have all missed the cut at the US Open. Wild. This group against the field would have gotten you very short odds just a few days ago.
Dustin Johnson (-150) is not yet in full control of this tournament. He does not have an insurmountable lead, there’s still a lot of golf left to play, and if you haven’t noticed this course is capable of hitting you with some big numbers. There’s some great golfers just four strokes back on Friday, and you can take your pick of their odds.
6/15/2018: With the carnage of the first day behind us, and most of the favorites effectively out of the tournament, Dustin Johnson certainly has to be feeling good at -110. He’ll still have the deep rough to contend with, but the worst of the wind has passed and his biggest competitors are Russell Henley and Ian Poulter.
Here’s what that rough looks like:
— Golf Monthly (@GolfMonthly) June 14, 2018
6/14/2018: Well, the USGA talked about protecting par, and they certainly did that. Shinnecock Hills is taking casualties, and when we update the odds sheet tomorrow it’s sure to look very different. Big losers: Jordan Spieth finished +8, and is now more or less out of contention. Rory McIlroy finished +10 and is in the same spot. Dustin Johnson is currently -2 and cruising, so his odds are shooting down, he might get close to even odds by the end of the day. The favorites are being hollowed out by the course, and there just isn’t a lot of resistance left to DJ at +250.
6/13/2018: Jordan Spieth, at one point the outright favorite to win the US Open, has slipped considerably on the odds sheet, from +900 in April to +1800 today. Spieth hasn’t really been on his game recently, and those waiting for it all to come together have apparently got tired of waiting.
It’s easy to love Dustin Johnson, he’s just about the best golfer in the world, he’s ranked #1 in both OWGR and Strokes Gained, and if you want a look into how he’s played recently you’ll just find video of him holing out for a walk-off eagle.
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) June 10, 2018
6/6/2018: Tiger Woods has dropped a little on the odds sheet, on the back of one of his most promising performances yet. At the Memorial Tournament, Tiger performed great in every statistical category except putting, missing fistfuls of makeable short puts and finishing a disappointing T23. If you’re betting Tiger, you’re hoping that it can all come together at Shinnecock, but you’re also looking at those narrow fairways and his history of errant driving and worrying, at least a little bit. The big mover so far is Brooks Koepka, who saw his odds narrow considerably since his return from injury.
4/11/2018: Tiger Woods +1400 is more of the same silliness we saw heading into the Masters. He’s a good player with a great record, but this tournament marks a decade since his last major championship. Paul Casey is a good pick at +4000, as these odds are a vast underestimation of his talents. Casey is currently #1 on the Sagarin/Golfweek rankings, which measure over a year and are more valuable than OWGR for bettors. Casey also already has a win at Valspar this year.
The big question is if Phil Mickelson can finally win the US Open and complete the career Grand Slam that has eluded him for so long. He’s at +3300 on the odds sheet, much higher than that on the Sagarin rankings, and he’s currently second overall in Strokes Gained. Bettors are apparently wary of Lefty’s curse, which just isn’t good betting. At this early stage, Phil might be the value pick of the tournament.
The one bet we’d steer away from is Rickie Fowler, who’s pretty clearly the most overrated golfer out there. He’s a great guy and an excellent player, but his brand outstretches his playing ability. Fowler stands out like a sore thumb at +1400, and near the top of the odds sheet. He’s got a lot of work to do if he wants to catch up with the career of say, Martin Kaymer (who’s listed at +10000). Picking Rickie is bad value, as he has tons of fans and not a lot of wins or great stats to show for it. In terms of Strokes Gained, he’s in between Chez Reavie and Kevin Streelman, neither of whom is currently listed on the odds sheet.