2021 Cy Young Odds Tracker

• See each contender’s odds to win the 2021 AL and NL Cy Young Awards
• As of late-August, Gerrit Cole is favored in the AL while Walker Buehler leads the odds in the NL
• See how the odds have shifted over the course of the season

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The graphs below display the average odds to win the 2021 AL and NL Cy Young Awards. The averages are calculated based on the odds available at reliable online sportsbooks.

Under the graphs, find an annotated timeline which describes major changes in the odds and why they happened.

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Jump to: American League / National League

2021 American League Cy Young Odds

Top Contenders

• Oct. 3: Ray improved to -513 with Cole (+390) tossing an egg in his final outing.
• Sep. 26: Ray faded to -198 as Cole improved to +153. Their last two starts will say who takes home this award.
• Sep. 20: Ray shortened significantly (-100 to -265), while Cole faded from -118 to +228 after getting shelled by Cleveland for seven earned runs in 5.2 innings.
• Sep. 16: Another 13-strikeout gem from Ray moved him to -100, while Cole faded from -140 to -118.
• Sep. 13: Ray (+160) improved significantly, again. He’s now only a short distance behind Cole (-133), who faded badly.
• Sep. 6: Cole improved again, slightly, going from -265 to -278. Robbie Ray is officially the second-favorite at +310 while Lance Lynn faded to +445.
• Sep. 3: A season-high 15 Ks in his last start led to Cole improving to -265, his best odds of the season. Robbie Ray also improved rom +445 to +360.
• Aug. 30: Cole (-163) is back to being the odds-on favorite as Lance Lynn (+198) faltered a little in late August.
• Aug. 22: Cole is putting together a nice coda to his season. His odds improved to +158, and he’s only a stone’s throw behind Lynn (-150) at this point.
• Aug. 16: Lynn improved to -218. Cole also shortened (from +350 to +315) while third-favorite Rodon took a big drop from +310 to +700.
• Aug. 11: Lynn’s odds keep getting shorter, modestly improving from -170 to -178 over the last few days.
• Aug. 8: Lynn shortened again from +102 to -170. This is the first time this season someone not named Gerrit Cole is an odds-on favorite. Rodon is second at +310. Cole is third at +350.
• Aug. 2: An ugly 5.1-inning, seven-run outing against the Rays has dropped Cole to second-favorite (+200) behind Lynn (+102), who continues to pitch gem after gem.
• July 28: Lance Lynn (+325) inched closer to Gerrit Cole (-113) and Carlos Rodon (+245) in a race that is growing tighter by the week.
• July 19: The three-horse race between Cole (-113), Rodon (+195), and Lynn (+390) tightened further this week.
• July 13: Odds-on favorite Cole fade from -161 to -126 while second-favorite Rodon improved from +288 to +238 and third-favorite Lynn from +575 to +440.
• July 5: Another ugly start from Cole has done little to impact his status as odds-on favorite; he faded slightly from -164 to -161. Both Rodon (+288) and Lynn (+575) shortened minimally.
• June 28: Gerrit Cole faded from -174 to -164 after an ugly start against the Red Sox. Carlos Rodon improved significantly from +550 to +300. His stats are generally better than Cole’s (2.06 ERA vs 2.66 ERA).
• June 21: Chicago’s duelling aces (Lynn and Rodon) are doing their best to keep Cole from running away with this race. Cole improved from -145 to -175, but Rodon went from +850 to +550 and Lynn from +950 to +550.
• June 14: Cole is still at -145 on average, but erstwhile second-favorite Bieber has faded to +650, behind Glasnow (+600), meaning Cole’s advantage over the field has grown again.
• June 7:  The gap between Cole (-145) and everyone else has widened. Bieber remains second, but distantly so, now sitting at +575 on average.
• May 25: Cole (-113) is shorter than even-money for the first time this season, joining deGrom in the NL as odds-on favorites.
• May 20: John Means leads the AL in ERA (1.70), WHIP (0.754), and WAR (2.9) yet is still back at +1500, while Gerrit Cole shortened from +165 to +113.
• May 4: American League ERA-leader Danny Duffy (0.60 ETA) is finally on the board at +3650, the ninth-shortest odds on the board.
• Apr. 27: Cole (+273) and Bieber (+350) engaged in a 2-1 pitchers’ duel last weekend and both saw their odds shorten
• Apr. 20: Cole (+300) and Bieber (+367) remain the top two, but Glasnow has shortened from +867 to +583.
• Apr. 12: The gap between Cole (+310) and second-favorite Bieber (+425) grew wider. Jose Berrios (+1750 to +1400) and Lance Lynn (+1800 to +1533) improved the most among the top-ten favorites.
• Apr. 6: Third-favorite Lucas Giolito has dropped a little further behind Gerrit Cole (+315) and Shane Bieber (+368), while fourth-favorite Tyler Glasnow improved from +1025 to +875.
• Mar. 25: Chris Sale has dropped off most odds boards – and is a longshot at others – as it becomes clear Boston’s ace will pitch half a season at most.
• Feb. 13: Despite winning the 2020 vote unanimously Shane Bieber (+400) finds himself behind Gerrit Cole (+350) in the opening odds.

2021 AL Cy Young Odds

Odds as of Oct. 3, 2021.

2021 National League Cy Young Odds

Top Contenders

• Oct. 3: At the end of the regular season, Burnes (+100) and Scherzer (+115) are almost even.
• Sep. 26: Scherzer had a rough outing in Colorado last time out and saw his odds fade to -163. Burnes threw one-run gem against the Mets and shortened to +108.
• Sep. 20: Scherzer ran his scoreless-innings streak to 36.2 innings (five straight starts) and his odds shortened to -210 as a result. Burnes faded from +145 to +200 after giving up three runs over six innings against the Cubs.
• Sep. 16: A late-season surge from Scherzer has put him on top (+105) with Burnes right behind (+145). Buehler has faded badly to +350.
• Sep. 12: Buehler (+168) and Burnes (+173) are almost level now, but don’t count out veteran three-time-winner Max Scherzer, who’s been lights out recently. Scherzer improved from +1300 to a +228 third-favorite over the past week.
• Sep. 6: A rough outing from Buehler in a big-time spot against San Francisco led to him fading back to plus money, while Burnes has stayed sharp and improved to +170.
• Sep. 3: Buehler (-125) and Burnes (+188) have turned this into a two-man race.
• Aug. 30: Buehler (-115) is in negative odds for the first time this season. Second-favorite Burnes faded slightly from +200 to +213.
• Aug. 22: Wheeler (+325) has faded to third. Buehler (+150) continues to lead the way. Burnes (+200) has moved into second in the tight three-way race.
• Aug. 16: The top-two stayed pretty steady. Wheel went from +173 to +178. Buehler improved slightly from +323 to +300. The biggest movement was Burnes going from +700 to a +340 third-favorite.
• Aug. 11: Wheeler (+173) improved significantly again, while second-favorite Buehler faded from +273 to +323 and third-favorite Woodruff from +433 to +513.
• Aug. 8: Wheeler (+240) has taken over as favorite after pitching another high-profile gem against the division-rival Mets. Buehler (+273) is a close second.
• Aug. 2: Jacob deGrom’s arm injury has turned this race on its head. He faded from -1200 to +950 with the news he’ll be out until September. Walker Buehler is now the tepid +325 favorite with five pitchers shorter than +500.
• July 28: Despite missing time due to injury, deGrom remains a -1200 favorite. Second-favorite Gausman improved from +1700 to +1350.
• July 13: At the All Star break, deGrom is a -1215 favorite. Second-favorite Woodruff faded from +1350 to +1500, signalling just how much of a fait accompli this race is.
• July 5: deGrom is at unprecedented -850 odds with well over half a season to play.
• June 28: deGrom shows no signs of slowing down. He improved from -303 to -505. second-favorite Woodruff faded from +775 to +1000.
• June 21: In what has become an academic race for second-place, Woodruff (+775) took over as the top competition for deGrom (-303), surpassing Milwaukee teammate Burnes (+1000).
• June 14: deGrom moved from -183 to -240 while Brewers teammates Burnes and Woodruff, the second and third-favorites, faded (+550 to +775 for Burnes; +750 to +850 for Woodruff).
• June 7: Several pitchers in the NL are having incredibly good seasons, but deGrom is unhittable right now. His odds shortened again from -133 to -145. Burnes remains second (+550).
• May 31: Woodruff (+750) is closing in on Brewers teammate Burnes (+600) for second in the NL Cy Young odds, while deGrom (-134) remains the odds-on favorite.
• May 20: While deGrom improved again (-120 to -134), so too did Woodruff (+1933 to +1650), Scherzer (+2167 to +1700), Darvish (+1933 to +1800, and Flaherty (+3667 to +1900) – who sit third through sixth, respectively, in the NL Cy Young odds.
• May 5: deGrom is now favored over the field at -120. Burnes (+450) is the only other NL pitcher shorter than +1300.
• Apr. 27: deGrom has shortened from +240 to +117. He leads the majors with a 0.31 ERA and is tied for first with a 0.55 WHIP.
• Apr. 20: Corbin Burnes (+550) is second only to Jacob deGrom after three completely dominant starts. He’s surrendered just four hits, one run, and zero walks in 18.1 innings of work.
• Apr. 12:  Jacob deGrom has started strong and seen his odds shorten from +350 to +300.  Trevor Bauer has faded from +700 to +733.
• Apr. 6: Miami’s Sandy Alcantara (+2400) has a 1.50 ERA and 17 strikeouts in two starts (12.0 IP). He wasn’t on the board to start the year. Now he’s just outside the top ten.
• Mar. 25: The early money is on deGrom. Already the favorite, the two-time winner shortened from +500 to +388, while second-favorite Bauer faded from +700 to +725.
• Feb. 13: Oddsmakers believe Jacob deGrom  (+500) will rebound from a down season, in which he only finished third in Cy Young voting. 

2021 NL Cy Young Odds

Odds updated on Oct. 3, 2021.

NL Cy Young Odds for Previous Winners

Cy Young Winners by Team

AL Cy Young Winners by Team

NL Cy Young Winners by Team

The tables above pertain to 1967 to the present day. The Cy Young Award was first handed out in 1956, but for the first 11 years, there was only one award for both leagues.  Dodgers players won an additional five in that span. Yankee players won two. The Braves, White Sox, Pirates, and Angels won one.

Teams Without a Cy Young Winner

AL Teams Without a Cy Young Winner

The Rangers are the only American League club to have never produced a Cy Young winner. Texas came close in 1989 when Nolan Ryan led the league in strikeouts and finished fifth in Cy Young voting.

NL Teams Without a Cy Young Winner

Pitchers with Multiple Cy Young Awards

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Archived Cy Young Odds: 2020, 2019, 2018