2021 Cy Young Odds Tracker
Updated July 20, 2021
- See each contender’s odds to win the 2021 AL and NL Cy Young Awards
- Both reigning-champs (Shane Bieber and Trevor Bauer) sit second in their respective leagues
- Gerrit Cole is favored in the AL, while two-time winner Jacob deGrom is the chalk in the NL
The graphs below display the average odds to win the 2021 AL and NL Cy Young Awards. The averages are calculated based on the odds available at reliable online sportsbooks.
Under the graphs, find an annotated timeline which describes major changes in the odds and why they happened.
Jump to: American League / National League
2021 American League Cy Young Odds
Top Contenders
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- July 19: The three-horse race between Cole (-113), Rodon (+195), and Lynn (+390) tightened further this week.
- July 13: Odds-on favorite Cole fade from -161 to -126 while second-favorite Rodon improved from +288 to +238 and third-favorite Lynn from +575 to +440.
- July 5: Another ugly start from Cole has done little to impact his status as odds-on favorite; he faded slightly from -164 to -161. Both Rodon (+288) and Lynn (+575) shortened minimally.
- June 28: Gerrit Cole faded from -174 to -164 after an ugly start against the Red Sox. Carlos Rodon improved significantly from +550 to +300. His stats are generally better than Cole’s (2.06 ERA vs 2.66 ERA).
- June 21: Chicago’s duelling aces (Lynn and Rodon) are doing their best to keep Cole from running away with this race. Cole improved from -145 to -175, but Rodon went from +850 to +550 and Lynn from +950 to +550.
- June 14: Cole is still at -145 on average, but erstwhile second-favorite Bieber has faded to +650, behind Glasnow (+600), meaning Cole’s advantage over the field has grown again.
- June 7: The gap between Cole (-145) and everyone else has widened. Bieber remains second, but distantly so, now sitting at +575 on average.
- May 25: Cole (-113) is shorter than even-money for the first time this season, joining deGrom in the NL as odds-on favorites.
- May 20: John Means leads the AL in ERA (1.70), WHIP (0.754), and WAR (2.9) yet is still back at +1500, while Gerrit Cole shortened from +165 to +113.
- May 4: American League ERA-leader Danny Duffy (0.60 ETA) is finally on the board at +3650, the ninth-shortest odds on the board.
- Apr. 27: Cole (+273) and Bieber (+350) engaged in a 2-1 pitchers’ duel last weekend and both saw their odds shorten
- Apr. 20: Cole (+300) and Bieber (+367) remain the top two, but Glasnow has shortened from +867 to +583.
- Apr. 12: The gap between Cole (+310) and second-favorite Bieber (+425) grew wider. Jose Berrios (+1750 to +1400) and Lance Lynn (+1800 to +1533) improved the most among the top-ten favorites.
- Apr. 6: Third-favorite Lucas Giolito has dropped a little further behind Gerrit Cole (+315) and Shane Bieber (+368), while fourth-favorite Tyler Glasnow improved from +1025 to +875.
- Mar. 25: Chris Sale has dropped off most odds boards – and is a longshot at others – as it becomes clear Boston’s ace will pitch half a season at most.
- Feb. 13: Despite winning the 2020 vote unanimously Shane Bieber (+400) finds himself behind Gerrit Cole (+350) in the opening odds.
2021 AL Cy Young Odds
| Player | Odds at DraftKings |
|---|---|
| Gerrit Cole (NYY) | -115 |
| Carlos Rodon (CHW) | +190 |
| Lance Lynn (CHW) | +400 |
| Shane Bieber (CLE) | +3500 |
| Kyle Gibson (TEX) | +3500 |
| Chris Bassitt (OAK) | +3500 |
| Tyler Glasnow (TB) | +4000 |
| Nathan Eovaldi (BOS) | +4000 |
| Robbie Ray (TOR) | +5000 |
| John Means (BAL) | +5500 |
| Dylan Cease (CHW) | +6000 |
| Hyun-Jin Ryu (TOR) | +6000 |
| Jose Berrios (MIN) | +6000 |
| Aaron Civale (CLE) | +6000 |
| Lucas Giolito (CHW) | +6500 |
| Sean Manaea (OAK) | +7000 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAA) | +8000 |
| Dylan Bundy (LAA) | +9000 |
Odds as of July 19, 2021.
2021 National League Cy Young Odds
Top Contenders
- July 13: At the All Star break, deGrom is a -1215 favorite. Second-favorite Woodruff faded from +1350 to +1500, signalling just how much of a fait accompli this race is.
- July 5: deGrom is at unprecedented -850 odds with well over half a season to play.
- June 28: deGrom shows no signs of slowing down. He improved from -303 to -505. second-favorite Woodruff faded from +775 to +1000.
- June 21: In what has become an academic race for second-place, Woodruff (+775) took over as the top competition for deGrom (-303), surpassing Milwaukee teammate Burnes (+1000).
- June 14: deGrom moved from -183 to -240 while Brewers teammates Burnes and Woodruff, the second and third-favorites, faded (+550 to +775 for Burnes; +750 to +850 for Woodruff).
- June 7: Several pitchers in the NL are having incredibly good seasons, but deGrom is unhittable right now. His odds shortened again from -133 to -145. Burnes remains second (+550).
- May 31: Woodruff (+750) is closing in on Brewers teammate Burnes (+600) for second in the NL Cy Young odds, while deGrom (-134) remains the odds-on favorite.
- May 20: While deGrom improved again (-120 to -134), so too did Woodruff (+1933 to +1650), Scherzer (+2167 to +1700), Darvish (+1933 to +1800, and Flaherty (+3667 to +1900) – who sit third through sixth, respectively, in the NL Cy Young odds.
- May 5: deGrom is now favored over the field at -120. Burnes (+450) is the only other NL pitcher shorter than +1300.
- Apr. 27: deGrom has shortened from +240 to +117. He leads the majors with a 0.31 ERA and is tied for first with a 0.55 WHIP.
- Apr. 20: Corbin Burnes (+550) is second only to Jacob deGrom after three completely dominant starts. He’s surrendered just four hits, one run, and zero walks in 18.1 innings of work.
- Apr. 12: Jacob deGrom has started strong and seen his odds shorten from +350 to +300. Trevor Bauer has faded from +700 to +733.
- Apr. 6: Miami’s Sandy Alcantara (+2400) has a 1.50 ERA and 17 strikeouts in two starts (12.0 IP). He wasn’t on the board to start the year. Now he’s just outside the top ten.
- Mar. 25: The early money is on deGrom. Already the favorite, the two-time winner shortened from +500 to +388, while second-favorite Bauer faded from +700 to +725.
- Feb. 13: Oddsmakers believe Jacob deGrom (+500) will rebound from a down season, in which he only finished third in Cy Young voting.
2021 NL Cy Young Odds
| Player | Odds at DraftKings |
|---|---|
| Jacob deGrom (NYM) | -1430 |
| Brandon Woodruff (MIL) | +1500 |
| Corbin Burnes (MIL) | +2000 |
| Zack Wheeler (PHI) | +2000 |
| Kevin Gausman (SF) | +2000 |
| Yu Darvish (SD) | +2200 |
| Jack Flaherty (STL) | +3000 |
| Aaron Nola (PHI) | +3000 |
| Max Scherzer (WAS) | +3000 |
| Walker Buehler (LAD) | +3300 |
| Clayton Kershaw (LAD) | +3300 |
| Trevor Bauer (LAD) | +4000 |
| Taijuan Walker (NYM) | +4000 |
| Trevor Rogers (MIA) | +5000 |
| Joe Musgrove (PIT) | +5000 |
Odds updated on July 13, 2021.
NL Cy Young Odds for Previous Winners
Cy Young Winners by Team
AL Cy Young Winners by Team
| Team | Number of Cy Young Winners |
|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox | 7 |
| Baltimore Orioles | 6 |
| Cleveland Indians | 6 |
| Detroit Tigers | 5 |
| Oakland A’s | 5 |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 4 |
| Minnesota Twins | 4 |
| Kansas City Royals | 4 |
| New York Yankees | 3 |
| Chicago White Sox | 2 |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 2 |
| Seattle Mariners | 2 |
| Houston Astros | 2 |
| LA Angels | 2 |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 2 |
NL Cy Young Winners by Team
| Team | Number of Cy Young Winners |
|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies | 7 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 7 |
| New York Mets | 7 |
| Atlanta Braves | 6 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 5 |
| Chicago Cubs | 5 |
| San Diego Padres | 4 |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 3 |
| San Francisco Giants | 3 |
| Houston Astros | 2 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 2 |
| Washington Nationals | 2 |
| Cincinnati Reds | 1 |
| Montreal Expos | 1 |
Teams Without a Cy Young Winner
AL Teams Without a Cy Young Winner
| American League Teams Without a Cy Young Winner |
|---|
| Texas Rangers |
The Rangers are the only American League club to have never produced a Cy Young winner. Texas came close in 1989 when Nolan Ryan led the league in strikeouts and finished fifth in Cy Young voting.
NL Teams Without a Cy Young Winner
| National League Teams Without a Cy Young Winner |
|---|
| Colorado Rockies |
| Miami Marlins |
Pitchers with Multiple Cy Young Awards
| Pitcher | Number of Cy Young Awards |
|---|---|
| Roger Clemens | 7 |
| Randy Johnson | 5 |
| Steve Carlton | 4 |
| Greg Maddux | 4 |
| Sandy Koufax | 3 |
| Pedro Martinez | 3 |
| Jim Palmer | 3 |
| Tom Seaver | 3 |
| Clayton Kershaw | 3 |
| Max Scherzer | 3 |
| Bob Gibson | 2 |
| Tom Glavine | 2 |
| Roy Halladay | 2 |
| Corey Kluber | 2 |
| Tim Lincecum | 2 |
| Denny McLain | 2 |
| Gaylord Perry | 2 |
| Bret Saberhagen | 2 |
| Johan Santana | 2 |
| Jacob deGrom | 2 |
| Justin Verlander | 2 |
Sascha was a hockey player in his youth, a lawyer in his capricious mid-20s, and has now been an assigning editor, writer, and lead oddsmaker for SBD for over five years. He covers everything you can possibly put odds on, but specializes in football, baseball, hockey, and basketball.
