2021 MLB MVP Odds Tracker
Updated May 5, 2021
- See each contender’s odds of winning the 2021 AL and NL MVP awards
- Mookie Betts and Juan Soto are favored in the NL; Mike Trout is once again the preseason chalk in the AL
- The graphs below track the changes in the odds
The graphs below have been generated by averaging the odds from a number of top online sportsbooks to give you a better sense of each player’s chances of winning the 2021 AL and NL Most Valuable Player Awards.
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2021 American League MVP Odds
Top Contenders
- May 5: The top-four favorites all got shorter: Trout (+205 to +200) Ohtani (+1067 to +867), Buxton (+1567 to +983), and Guerrero (+1933 to +1167). Most of the other top-15 faded, in turn.
- Apr. 27: Byron Buxton is now tied for third-favorite at +1500 with perennial contender Alex Bregman.
- Apr. 20: Ohtani consolidated his grip on second, improving from +1167 to +1033.
- Apr. 12: Trout faded from +210 to +218. Ohtani improved even further: +1450 to +1167.
- Apr. 6: Shohei Ohtani has started hot on the mound and at the plate, in turn becoming a top-five AL MVP favorite at +1450. He was +2350 on Opening Day.
- Mar. 25: Mike Trout’s odds faded from +200 to +223 a week from opening day. But none of this main competitors improved significantly.
- Feb. 12: Just as he has for each of the last six seasons, Mike Trout (LAA) is the chalk in the AL, and it’s not close. At +200, Trout has a 33.33% implied probability. Next on the list is Alex Bregman at +1000 (9.1%).
AL MVP Odds
| Player (Team) | Odds at DraftKings |
|---|---|
| Mike Trout (LAA) | +180 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAA) | +900 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | +1200 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr (TOR) | +1500 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | +1500 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | +2000 |
| JD Martinez (BOS) | +2200 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | +2200 |
| Jose Abreu (CHW) | +2500 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | +3000 |
| DJ LeMahieu (NYY) | +3000 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | +3300 |
| Matt Chapman (OAK) | +3300 |
| Yoan Moncada (CHW) | +3300 |
| Anthony Rendon (LAA) | +3300 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | +3300 |
| Tim Anderson (CHW) | +4000 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | +4000 |
| Xander Bogaerts (BOS) | +4000 |
| Carlos Correa (HOU) | +4000 |
| Matt Olson (OAK) | +4000 |
Odds as of May 5, 2021.
2021 National League MVP Odds
Top Contenders
- May 5: Odds-on Cy Young favorite Jacob deGrom is now tied for second in the NL MVP odds, as well, at +800.
- Apr. 27: Tatis Jr is putting up decent numbers since his return from injury and moved back among the top-three favorites at +800. Acuna remains well ahead of the pack at +300.
- Apr. 20: Acuna (+317) shows no signs of slowing down. Slashing .419/.486/.887 with a 1.373 OPS, he leads the NL in average, slugging percentage, and RBI (16).
- Apr. 12: Ronald Acuna has become the clear favorite at +567. He was back at +800 a week ago.
- Apr. 6: None of the NL favorites are off to terribly hot starts. Bellinger (+967) is the only member of the top five who saw his odds get shorter since Opening Day.
- Mar. 25: Soto (+725) is now alone at the top, but Betts (+750), Tatis Jr (+775), and Acuna (+775) are all hot on his tail.
- Feb. 12: Mookie Betts (LAD) and Juan Soto (WAS) have opened as NL MVP co-favorites at +750.
2021 NL MVP Odds
| Player (Team) | Odds at FanDuel |
|---|---|
| Ronald Acuna Jr (ATL) | +275 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr (SD) | +800 |
| Jacob deGrom (NYM) | +800 |
| Juan Soto (WAS) | +1000 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | +1200 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | +1500 |
| Corey Seager (LAD) | +1500 |
| Freddie Freeman (ATL) | +1600 |
| Kris Bryant (CHC) | +2000 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | +2000 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | +2500 |
| Nick Castellanos (CIN) | +3300 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | +3300 |
| Trea Turner (WAS) | +3300 |
| Cody Bellinger (LAD) | +4000 |
| Javy Baez (CHC) | +4000 |
| JT Realmuto (PHI) | +4000 |
| Anthony Rizzo (CHC) | +4000 |
| Trevor Story (COL) | +4000 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | +4000 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL_ | +4000 |
| Justin Turner (LAD) | +4000 |
Odds as of May 5, 2021.
MLB MVP Winners by Position
AL MVP Winners by Position
| Position | Number of MVP Winners |
|---|---|
| Outfield | 32 |
| First Base | 15 |
| Pitcher | 12 |
| Shortstop | 9 |
| Catcher | 8 |
| Third Base | 8 |
| Second Base | 5 |
| Designated Hitter | 1 |
NL MVP Winners by Position
| Position | Number of MVP Winners |
|---|---|
| Outfield | 33 |
| First Base | 16 |
| Pitcher | 10 |
| Third Base | 10 |
| Catcher | 8 |
| Shortstop | 7 |
| Second Base | 6 |
MLB MVP Winners by Team
AL MVP Winners by Team
| Team | Number of MVP Winners |
|---|---|
| New York Yankees | 20 |
| Detroit Tigers | 11 |
| Oakland A’s | 11 |
| Boston Red Sox | 11 |
| Texas Rangers | 6 |
| Baltimore Orioles | 5 |
| Chicago White Sox | 5 |
| Minnesota Twins | 5 |
| Los Angeles Angels | 4 |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 3 |
| Cleveland Indians | 2 |
| Seattle Mariners | 2 |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 2 |
| Kansas City Royals | 1 |
| Houston Astros | 1 |
NL MVP Winners by Team
| Team | Number of MVP Winners |
|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals | 17 |
| San Francisco Giants | 13 |
| Cincinnati Reds | 12 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 11 |
| Chicago Cubs | 9 |
| Atlanta Braves | 7 |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 7 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 7 |
| Colorado Rockies | 1 |
| San Diego Padres | 1 |
| Houston Astros | 1 |
| Miami Marlins | 1 |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 2 |
| Washington Nationals | 1 |
Sascha was a hockey player in his youth, a lawyer in his capricious mid-20s, and has now been an assigning editor, writer, and lead oddsmaker for SBD for over five years. He covers everything you can possibly put odds on, but specializes in football, baseball, hockey, and basketball.
