- See each contender’s odds of winning the 2021 AL and NL MVP awards
- Shohei Ohtani and Vlad Guerrero Jr and duking it out in the AL; pitcher Jacob deGrom and Fernando Tatis Jr are the top-two favorites in the NL
- The graphs below track the changes in the odds over the course of the season
The graphs below have been generated by averaging the odds from a number of top online sportsbooks to give you a better sense of each player’s chances of winning the 2021 AL and NL Most Valuable Player Awards.
2021 American League MVP Odds
Top Contenders
- July 19: Ohtani had a quiet week and faded from -313 to -283 (still a heavy favorite). Guerrero improved from +230 to +205.
- July 13: Guerrero ( +230) fell further back of favorite Ohtani, who improved significantly to -313. Third-favorite Bogaerts continues to reside at a distant +4000.
- July 5: Ohtani is back to being the favorite at -173. He was the first to reach the 30-homer plateau and is showing no signs of ill health.
- June 28: Guerrero’s lead over Ohtani is almost nil at this point; they are at +100 and +102, respectively.
- June 21: Guerrero (+105) and Ohtani (+150) have put more distance between themselves and the second-tier contenders. Third-favorite Bogaerts faded from +2000 to +2400.
- June 14: Guerrero is the outright favorite for the first time this season ( +128) Ohtani fell from +125 to +158. Third-favorite Bogaerts is way back at +2000.
- June 7: Guerrero is nearly level with Ohtani after another big week, improving to +228 while Ohtani remained at +125.
- May 25: Vlad Guerrero Jr improved from +775 to +425, closing the gap on Ohtani, who stayed at +138.
- May 19: Mike Trout’s calf injury, which will sideline him for nearly two months, has led to his odds fading from +200 to +1050. Ohtani is now at +133, shorter than Trout has been all season.
- May 5: The top-four favorites all got shorter: Trout (+205 to +200) Ohtani (+1067 to +867), Buxton (+1567 to +983), and Guerrero (+1933 to +1167). Most of the other top-15 faded, in turn.
- Apr. 27: Byron Buxton is now tied for third-favorite at +1500 with perennial contender Alex Bregman.
- Apr. 20: Ohtani consolidated his grip on second, improving from +1167 to +1033.
- Apr. 12: Trout faded from +210 to +218. Ohtani improved even further: +1450 to +1167.
- Apr. 6: Shohei Ohtani has started hot on the mound and at the plate, in turn becoming a top-five AL MVP favorite at +1450. He was +2350 on Opening Day.
- Mar. 25: Mike Trout’s odds faded from +200 to +223 a week from opening day. But none of this main competitors improved significantly.
- Feb. 12: Just as he has for each of the last six seasons, Mike Trout (LAA) is the chalk in the AL, and it’s not close. At +200, Trout has a 33.33% implied probability. Next on the list is Alex Bregman at +1000 (9.1%).
AL MVP Odds
| Player (Team) |
Odds at FanDuel |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAA) |
-275 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr (TOR) |
+200 |
| Xander Bogaerts (BOS) |
+3500 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) |
+4000 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) |
+5000 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) |
+5000 |
| JD Martinez (BOS) |
+5000 |
| Mike Trout (LAA) |
+5000 |
| Jose Abreu (CHW) |
+5000 |
| Marcus Semien (TOR) |
+5000 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) |
+5000 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) |
+5000 |
| Matt Olson (OAK) |
+5000 |
| Nelson Cruz (MIN) |
+5500 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) |
+6000 |
| Gerrit Cole (NYY) |
+6000 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) |
+6000 |
| Yermin Mercedes (CHW) |
+6000 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) |
+7000 |
| Carlos Correa (HOU) |
+7000 |
| Tim Anderson (CHW) |
+7000 |
Odds as of July 19, 2021.
Looking for the latest MLB odds? – Get current moneyline odds, run lines, and totals for all upcoming games today here.
2021 National League MVP Odds
Top Contenders
- July 13: Tatis Jr improved from +180 to +123 entering the All Star break, but deGrom moved into minus odds for the first time this season (+104 to -110). Third-favorite Acuna is nominally at +750 but suffered a season-ending knee injury on Saturday and will not be on the list much longer.
- July 5: deGrom (+125 to +104) and Tatis (+188 to +180) both shortened in what has become a two-horse race, much like Ohtani and Guerrero in the AL.
- June 28: Top-two favorites deGrom and Tatis both improved; deGrom’s odds moved from +193 to +125. Tatis’ odds moved from +225 to +188.
- June 21: deGrom improved from +200 to +193, the shortest any NL player has been this season. But Tatis Jr also improved from +263 to +225, keeping it a tight race.
- June 14: With the top bats slumping, deGrom has improved significantly from +675 to +200. Tatis Jr is a close second at +263.
- June 7: Tatis (+315) has taken over top spot from Acuna (+375) while deGrom’s untouchable season on the mound continued, improving his odds from +1100 to +675.
- May 25: Acuna improved from +300 to +268, but Tatis Jr made a quantum leap from +1025 to +450, entrenching himself as the second-favorite.
- May 5: Odds-on Cy Young favorite Jacob deGrom is now tied for second in the NL MVP odds, as well, at +800.
- Apr. 27: Tatis Jr is putting up decent numbers since his return from injury and moved back among the top-three favorites at +800. Acuna remains well ahead of the pack at +300.
- Apr. 20: Acuna (+317) shows no signs of slowing down. Slashing .419/.486/.887 with a 1.373 OPS, he leads the NL in average, slugging percentage, and RBI (16).
- Apr. 12: Ronald Acuna has become the clear favorite at +567. He was back at +800 a week ago.
- Apr. 6: None of the NL favorites are off to terribly hot starts. Bellinger (+967) is the only member of the top five who saw his odds get shorter since Opening Day.
- Mar. 25: Soto (+725) is now alone at the top, but Betts (+750), Tatis Jr (+775), and Acuna (+775) are all hot on his tail.
- Feb. 12: Mookie Betts (LAD) and Juan Soto (WAS) have opened as NL MVP co-favorites at +750.
2021 NL MVP Odds
| Player (Team) |
Odds at DraftKings |
| Jacob deGrom (NYM) |
-114 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr (SD) |
+130 |
| Ronald Acuna Jr (ATL) |
+750 |
| Jesse Winker (CIN) |
+3300 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) |
+4000 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) |
+4000 |
| Kris Bryant (CHC) |
+4000 |
| Nick Castellanos (CIN) |
+4000 |
| Freddie Freeman (ATL) |
+4000 |
| Kyle Schwarber (WAS) |
+4000 |
| Juan Soto (WAS) |
+4000 |
| Trea Turner (WAS) |
+4000 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) |
+5000 |
| Cody Bellinger (LAD) |
+5000 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) |
+5000 |
| Manny Machado (SD) |
+5000 |
| Anthony Rizzo (CHC) |
+5000 |
| Corey Seager (LAD) |
+5000 |
| Javy Baez (CHC) |
+6000 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) |
+6000 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) |
+6000 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) |
+6600 |
Odds as of July 13, 2021.
MLB MVP Winners by Position
AL MVP Winners by Position
| Position |
Number of MVP Winners |
| Outfield |
32 |
| First Base |
15 |
| Pitcher |
12 |
| Shortstop |
9 |
| Catcher |
8 |
| Third Base |
8 |
| Second Base |
5 |
| Designated Hitter |
1 |
NL MVP Winners by Position
| Position |
Number of MVP Winners |
| Outfield |
33 |
| First Base |
16 |
| Pitcher |
10 |
| Third Base |
10 |
| Catcher |
8 |
| Shortstop |
7 |
| Second Base |
6 |
MLB MVP Winners by Team
AL MVP Winners by Team
| Team |
Number of MVP Winners |
| New York Yankees |
20 |
| Detroit Tigers |
11 |
| Oakland A’s |
11 |
| Boston Red Sox |
11 |
| Texas Rangers |
6 |
| Baltimore Orioles |
5 |
| Chicago White Sox |
5 |
| Minnesota Twins |
5 |
| Los Angeles Angels |
4 |
| Milwaukee Brewers |
3 |
| Cleveland Indians |
2 |
| Seattle Mariners |
2 |
| Toronto Blue Jays |
2 |
| Kansas City Royals |
1 |
| Houston Astros |
1 |
NL MVP Winners by Team
| Team |
Number of MVP Winners |
| St. Louis Cardinals |
17 |
| San Francisco Giants |
13 |
| Cincinnati Reds |
12 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers |
11 |
| Chicago Cubs |
9 |
| Atlanta Braves |
7 |
| Philadelphia Phillies |
7 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates |
7 |
| Colorado Rockies |
1 |
| San Diego Padres |
1 |
| Houston Astros |
1 |
| Miami Marlins |
1 |
| Milwaukee Brewers |
2 |
| Washington Nationals |
1 |
Archived Cy Young Odds: 2020, 2019, 2018
