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Aussie Rules Football Week 3 Odds & Predictions – Port Adelaide Favored to Remain Undefeated

Daniel Coyle

by Daniel Coyle in News

Updated Mar 18, 2021 · 12:51 PM PDT

Aussie Rules Football football
An Aussie Rules Football football (Photo: public domain)
  • Port Adelaide’s potent offense is lifting the club on the AFL ladder and at the books
  • Premiership favorites Richmond and Collingwood aiming to keep pace with Port Adelaide after settling for a draw last week
  • Read on for all the odds and insight into key matchups in Week 3 of the AFL campaign

The AFL’s return to action last week produced some surprising results. Just two of the top eight clubs going into Week 2 came out victorious, with notable losers including premiership hopefuls like the West Coast Eagles and Great Western Sydney Giants.

Both the Richmond Tigers and Collingwood Magpies enjoy ample opportunity to get back into the win column in Round 3 after drawing last week, but will need plenty of help from the struggling Fremantle Dockers in their date with Port Adelaide if they are to gain ground on the surging Power.

Here’s a look at the key matchups in AFL Round 3, and where to find the value in the Aussie Rules odds.

AFL Week 3 Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Richmond -16.0 (-120) -280 O 135.5 (-115)
Hawthorn +16.0 (-115) +195 U 135.5 (-115)
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Western Bulldogs +9.0 (-120) +130 O 138.5 (-115)
Greater Western Sydney -9.0 (-115) -180 U 138.5 (-115)
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
North Melbourne -11.0 (-120) -185 O 139.5 (-115)
Sydney Swans +11.0 (-115) +135 U 139.5 (-115)
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Collingwood -16.5 (-115) -280 O 126.5 (-115)
St.Kilda +16.5 (-110) +200 U 126.5 (-115)
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Brisbane Lions -3.5 (-115) -140 O 134.5 (-115)
West Coast Eagles +3.5 (-115) +100 U 134.5 (-115)
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Geelong Cats -27.5 (-115) -600 O 131.5
Carlton Blues +27.5 (-110) +350 U 131.5 (-115)
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Gold Coast Suns -2.5 (-115) -125 O 136.5 (-115)
Adelaide +2.5 (-115) -110 U 136.5 (-115)
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Essendon -1.0 (-115) -125 O 129.5 (-115)
Melbourne +1.0 (-115) -110 U 129.5 (-115)
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Fremantle Dockers +20.0 (-115) +235 O 134.5 (-115)
Port Adelaide -20.0 (-115) -335 U 134.5 (-115)

Odds taken June 16th

Power Poised to Pad Lead

The Port Adelaide Power showed no signs of rust from the extended pause in the schedule when they returned to action last week. The Power were simply dominant in an all-Adelaide matchup with the Crows, marching to a crushing 110-35 win.

The victory maintained the tone set in the club’s 76-29 demolition of the Gold Coast Suns, and marks the fifth time in six outings that the Power have topped the 100-point mark.

While the offense continues to roll, it is the Power’s defense that has struck fear into opponents. Port Adelaide sits well ahead of the pack after allowing a league-best 64 total points through their first two games, and have been rewarded with solid +1200 odds to win the AFL premiership.

The Dockers have far less to be excited about after falling to 0-2-0 with last week’s 81-69 loss to the Brisbane Lions. Fremantle have yet to hold a lead in their two outings this season. The club has struggled to generate offense, particularly early on in last week’s contest, scoring just 21 first-half points.

Listed as a distant +5000 to win the Premiership, the Dockers are likely to once again struggle against the rejuvenated Power, who outpaced them by 43 points in their last meeting at the end of last season.

The Dockers have managed to pick up victories over the Power in each of the past two seasons, both on home turf. But with Sunday’s contest set to take place on neutral turf at Metricon Stadium, it looks less likely that Fremantle can extend that run to a third year.

Pick: Port Adelaide Power -20.0 (-115); OVER 134.5 (-115)

Magpies Boosting Premiership Odds with Stingy Defense

Fresh off their 36-36 draw with Richmond, the Collingwood Magpies will be looking to gain ground on the AFL ladder when they take on the St. Kilda Saints on Friday as heavy 16.5-point chalk. The Magpies frustrated the Tigers with their defensive game in Round 2 action, limiting the defending AFL premiership winners to their lowest point total in a game since 2016.

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While failing to earn the win, the Magpies’ ability to bottle up the Tigers has helped to solidify their position as +500 second favorites for the title. The club has also claimed victory by wide double-digit margins over St. Kilda.

However, Collingwood must contend with a resurgent Saints squad that makes the trip to the Melbourne Cricket Grounds for Saturday’s clash riding high after picking up a decisive 88-49 win over the Western Bulldogs in Round 2.

The Saints proved deadly accurate in their Round 2 win, potting 14 goals in their best offensive showing in two years. While that production bodes well for bettors taking the OVER, this weekend’s matchup will serves as a true test for the Saints in their bid to reach the finals for the first time since 2011.

Picks: St. Kilda Saints +16.5 (-115); OVER 126.5 (-115)

Surly Tigers Set to Maul Hawks

The Richmond Tigers will try to rediscover their offensive touch after last week’s frustrating draw with the Magpies as they take on the Hawthorn Hawks as loft 16-point home favorites. The Tigers continue to lead the way as +400 favorites to repeat as AFL premiers despite last week’s disappointment, and should be well prepared to take advantage of what has been a porous Hawks defense.

The Tigers showed glimpses of their offensive potential in a 105-81 rout of the Carlton Blues in Round 1, a match they led by as much as 50 points. Richmond has also dominated in four straight wins over Hawthorn, claiming victory by an average margin of 28.5 points in those contests.

For the Hawks, they have plenty of work to do to overcome their crushing 108-47 loss to the Geelong Cats in Round 2. Hawthorn had risen hopes with their season-opening 90-62 home victory over the Brisbane Lions. But after last week’s lacklustre performance, it is tough to see them rising to the occasion against a surly Tigers squad looking to bust out.

Picks: Richmond Tigers -16.0 (-120); UNDER 135.5 (-115)

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