Best Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua Parlay Tonight – Expert Boxing Picks at +158 Odds

• Anthony Joshua remains a -1200 favorite over Jake Paul in Friday’s Heavyweight Bout
• Paul is coming up from Cruiserweight and that opens up the door for some parlays.
• See my Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua parlay pick and parlay legs for tonight’s fight.

A big boxing show returns to Netflix this night, as Jake Paul takes on Anthony Joshua. This is a Herculean test for Paul, who is giving up five inches of height and a ton in professional experience to the former heavyweight champion.

Online sportsbooks are not expecting this to last a few rounds at the most. Joshua has been a huge -1200 favorite for some time, while the total rounds over/under stays at 2.5.

Here is my Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua parlays pick and parlay legs for the main event from Miami, Florida.

Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua Parlay Pick Weighing On Us

First off, we took a look at the weigh-in itself. Yes, it is still weird to see Jake Paul this heavy. Paul has put on weight for projects but this is different. He is boxing a championship-caliber fighter who trained with Oleksandr Usyk’s people. Check out this discrepancy.

The 28-year-old has fought mostly at the cruiserweight level, topping out at 200 pounds. Paul cedes a six-inch reach advantage to Joshua and a staggering 27 pounds. Let’s reveal our parlay.

The Main Event Parlay

Now, let us quickly break down the legs.

Paul vs Joshua First Leg

• Over 2.5 Rounds (-174) 

This number was -115 on Thursday which made finding at least a third leg more easy to swallow. With that -1200 moneyline, it is hard to bet that with a straight face. I instead opted for something a little more traditional. Adding in punches thrown or landed is not always a same-game parlay option. This depends on the sportsbook of your choosing. My opinion is that Joshua plays with the prey here.

Do remember the meeting with UFC heavyweight champ Francis Ngannou, who weighed in around 265 pounds, and Joshua dropped him into next year in the second round with a thunderous punch.

I see this fight looking very similar. Paul is going to try and throw way more punches and he will attempt more. However, it will only take one or two real consequential shots for the YouTuber to go down. Besides, Paul himself is carrying more weight while Joshua looks in peak shape (weighing his lowest since 2021). Again, the ex-champ does not need combinations for this fight or a jab. A power shot or three should do the trick.

He can box pretty well but this will be a different kind of box. Paul will be throwing more often to keep Joshua guessing early. Yes, it might work for a round or two. However, Joshua is going to catch the challenger eventually. When he does, that is the time where the fight changes and clock ticks faster.

Paul vs Joshua Second Leg

• Joshua KO/DQ/TKO at -360

Getting around that moneyline is the goal and finding a reasonably conservative parlay paying plus money was a little challenging to a point. Anyway, this leg rolls in with the extreme likelihood that this fight goes the distance. For perspective, looking at will this fight go the distance reveals that the yes is now at +310 and the no stands at -460. One can sub in the no for a knockdown before the knockout. Cue in what we have below.

Odds as of December 19th at FanDuel. Get the FanDuel promo code for a bonus to bet on the Paul vs Joshua fight.

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Paul vs Joshua Final Leg

• Jake Paul to be knocked down at -460

The Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua fight expects a ring walk-up around 11:00. Minutes later the fight could easily be over but first many are expecting Paul to hit the canvas before the 10 count or stoppage. Whether it happens in Round 3, 4, 6, or 10, Paul expects to see loss number two in his professional career and it will not go to a decision. With more weight, expect Paul to overspend himself, tire out, and ultimately get knocked out on Friday night from Kaseya Center in Miami.

Our three-legged parlay pays out at +158 currently for the Friday night main event.