Boxing Odds & Predictions: Canelo, Garcia, Haney, Lopez Fights (May 2-3, 2025)

• The May 2-3 boxing weekend features Canelo Alvarez, Ryan Garcia, Devin Haney, Teofimo Lopez, and Jaime Munguia in high-profile bouts
• Canelo defends his super middleweight crown against William Scull in Saudi Arabia
• Get the latest odds and early predictions for Garcia vs Romero, Haney vs Ramirez, Lopez vs Barboza Jr, and Munguia vs Surace

Boxing fans are set for a blockbuster two-night stretch as the sport’s biggest names headline major events in New York and Riyadh on Friday, May 2 and Saturday, May 3.

The main event Saturday sees undisputed super middleweight king Canelo Alvarez put all his belts on the line against unbeaten Cuban William Scull in Saudi Arabia. Friday’s stacked Times Square card features Ryan Garcia’s return against Rolando Romero, Devin Haney in a high-stakes clash with Jose Ramirez, and Teofimo Lopez defending his junior welterweight title versus Arnold Barboza Jr.

Let’s break down the current odds, backgrounds, and offer early leans for the main fights of this can’t-miss weekend.

Boxing Odds – May 2-3, 2025

Canelo Alvarez is the heaviest favorite of the weekend, with oddsmakers giving William Scull massive +1500 underdog odds in their super middleweight title clash.

Ryan Garcia, Devin Haney, and Jaime Munguia are all substantial favorites in their respective bouts, while Teofimo Lopez faces a closer matchup with the undefeated Arnold Barboza Jr.

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All odds as of April 30, 2025, at DraftKings. Check out the best sportsbook promo codes for May’s boxing action.

Canelo Alvarez vs William Scull – Early Prediction

Canelo Alvarez is back in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, ready to defend his super middleweight title against Cuba’s William Scull. Canelo (62-2-2, 39 KOs) is still boxing’s top dog at 168 pounds, fresh off a solid win against Edgar Berlanga. The 34-year-old Mexican star’s blend of power, defense, and ring IQ has kept him atop the division for years.

Canelo vs William Scull Tale of the Tape

William Scull (23-0, 9 KOs), the IBF champion, is a technically sharp, disciplined fighter molded by Cuba’s elite amateur system. While Scull is undefeated, he enters as a massive underdog and is taking a huge step up in class.

The +1500 odds (6.25% implied probability) highlight the uphill battle Scull faces. He does have a 3-inch height advantage and brings a tactical, counter-punching style, but lacks Canelo’s big-fight experience and knockout power.

Early Lean: Canelo by late stoppage or wide decision. The odds are steep, but Canelo’s experience and all-around skillset should be too much for the Cuban challenger.

• Canelo Alvarez wins inside the distance

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Ryan Garcia vs Rolando Romero – Early Prediction

Ryan Garcia (24-2, 20 KOs) returns after a turbulent year outside the ring, including a no-contest against Devin Haney and a suspension for a failed drug test. Now, Garcia looks to reset against former WBA champion Rolando “Rolly” Romero (16-2, 13 KOs) in a welterweight showdown at Times Square.

Garcia vs Romero Tale of the Tape

Romero, known for his power and brash personality, has suffered knockout losses to both Isaac Cruz and Gervonta Davis in recent years. At +550 (15.4% implied probability), oddsmakers give Romero a puncher’s chance at best.

Garcia, despite his setbacks, remains the more dynamic and technically gifted fighter at -900 (90% implied probability). The under 6.5 rounds prop is trading at -140 (58.3% implied probability), suggesting oddsmakers expect an early finish.

Early Lean: Garcia by KO/TKO. Romero’s punch resistance is in question, and Garcia’s power could make this a short night.

• Ryan Garcia wins by KO/TKO

Devin Haney vs Jose Ramirez – Early Prediction

Devin Haney (31-0, 15 KOs) faces a dangerous test in former unified champion Jose Ramirez. Haney is coming off a controversial no-contest against Garcia, where he was dropped three times before Garcia’s failed test overturned the result. Now moving up to welterweight, Haney faces questions about his chin and defense.

Haney vs Ramirez Tale of the Tape

Ramirez, a hard-punching, aggressive fighter, will look to test Haney’s resolve. At +700 (12.5% implied probability), Ramirez is being given a better chance than Scull against Canelo, despite Haney’s -1200 (92.3% implied probability) favorite status.

Even though Haney’s the better fighter, he really needs to focus on his boxing and steer clear of exchanges. If Haney is focused and disciplined, he should be able to outbox Ramirez, but any lapses could be costly.

Early Lean: Haney by decision. Ramirez is tough, but Haney’s skills and motivation to bounce back should carry him.

• Devin Haney wins by unanimous decision

Teofimo Lopez vs Arnold Barboza Jr – Early Prediction

Teofimo Lopez (21-1, 13 KOs) defends his junior welterweight crown against the undefeated Arnold Barboza Jr (32-0, 11 KOs) in a fight with real intrigue. Lopez is known for his explosive power and big-fight experience, but Barboza is a slick, undefeated boxer who recently claimed the WBO interim title.

Lopez vs Barboza Tale of the Tape

This is clearly the most competitive matchup of the weekend based on the odds. Lopez’s -225 price (69.2% implied probability) makes him a moderate favorite, while Barboza’s +180 underdog status (35.7% implied probability) suggests he has a legit chance to pull the upset.

Barboza’s style could give Lopez problems if he can keep the fight at range and avoid Lopez’s power shots. Still, Lopez’s athleticism and championship pedigree make him the favorite in a competitive matchup.

Early Lean: Lopez by close decision. Barboza is live, but Lopez’s experience in big moments should be the difference.

• Teofimo Lopez wins by split decision

Jaime Munguia vs Bruno Surace – Early Prediction

Jaime Munguia (43-0, 34 KOs) continues his campaign at super middleweight against Bruno Surace (22-1, 12 KOs) on the Canelo-Scull undercard.

Munguia vs Surace Tale of the Tape

Munguia’s relentless pressure and power make him a heavy favorite against the Italian challenger, who has yet to face anyone on Munguia’s level. Surace comes in at +600 (14.3% implied probability), reflecting his relative inexperience at the world level.

Early Lean: Munguia by KO. Expect the Mexican star to overwhelm Surace early.

• Jaime Munguia wins by KO

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Check back later in the week for deeper breakdowns, matchup stats, and official picks as fight night approaches.