Conor Benn vs Regis Prograis Prediction, Odds, Start Time & How to Watch (Apr. 11)
By Brady Trettenero in Boxing
Published:
- Conor Benn is a -1600 favorite against Regis Prograis on Saturday, April 11
- This 150-pound catchweight fight takes place at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London
- See below for Benn vs Prograis prediction, odds, start time and how to watch
Conor Benn (24-1) faces former two-time super lightweight champion Regis Prograis (30-3) on Saturday at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London. This is Benn’s first fight since leaving Matchroom for Zuffa Boxing, and he’s a massive favorite to keep the momentum rolling.
Below you’ll find my Benn vs Prograis prediction, the latest odds, and how to watch.
Benn vs Prograis Prediction
- Conor Benn by TKO (-120 at Bet365)
SPORTSBOOK
Benn should win this fight, and I expect a referee stoppage rather than a clean knockout. He’s bigger, younger, and far more active than Prograis at this stage of their careers.
The size advantage matters here. Benn weighed in at 149.5 pounds after coming down from middleweight. Prograis came in at 148.1 after spending his entire career at 140 pounds. This is the first time Prograis has ever fought above super lightweight, and jumping up 10 pounds at 37 years old is a tough ask.
Prograis has looked vulnerable in recent fights. Devin Haney dropped him with a flash knockdown. Jack Catterall dropped him twice. Jo Jo Diaz had him on shaky legs in the opening round of their fight last August. Father Time is catching up.
Benn showed real growth in his rematch with Chris Eubank Jr. He fought a smarter, more disciplined fight the second time around and dominated over 12 rounds. He listens to his corner and makes adjustments, which is a good sign against a crafty veteran like Prograis.
The conditioning should favor Benn as well. He’s phenomenal in the later rounds while Prograis has shown balance issues and fading legs in recent outings. I expect Benn to apply constant pressure, overwhelm Prograis with volume, and force the referee to step in sometime after round 5.
Benn vs Prograis Odds
Benn is a -1600 moneyline favorite at Bet365. That means you’d need to bet $1600 to win $100. Prograis comes back at +750 as a heavy underdog.
Those -1600 odds give Benn roughly a 94% implied probability to win. The books see this as a mismatch, and the method of victory odds back that up. Benn by KO/TKO is -275, while Benn by decision sits at +300. The expectation is a stoppage.
Odds at Bet365. Get the Bet365 bonus code to use on the Benn vs Prograis fight.
SPORTSBOOK
Benn vs Prograis Tale of the Tape
The physical differences are minimal on paper, but Benn is the naturally bigger fighter. He’s been competing at middleweight while Prograis has never fought above 140 pounds until now.
Conor Benn vs Regis Prograis
Prograis has the higher knockout percentage at 80% compared to Benn’s 58%. But that power was built at 140 pounds against smaller opponents. At 150, he’s the one dealing with a size disadvantage for the first time in his career.
Benn vs Prograis Start Time & How to Watch
Benn vs Prograis takes place on Saturday, April 11 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London. The main card starts at 2 pm ET on Netflix, with ring walks for Benn vs Prograis expected around 4:30 pm ET.
The fight is included with a Netflix subscription at no extra cost. The main event features Tyson Fury vs Arslanbek Makhmudov, with ring walks expected around 5:30 pm ET.
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Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor
Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.