Derek Chisora vs Deontay Wilder Prediction, Odds, Start Time & How to Watch
By Brady Trettenero in Boxing
Published:
- Derek Chisora is a -190 favorite against Deontay Wilder on Saturday, April 4
- This is Chisora’s 50th and final professional fight at the O2 Arena in London
- See below for Chisora vs Wilder prediction, odds, start time and how to watch
Derek Chisora (36-13) faces Deontay Wilder (44-4-1) in his 50th and final professional fight on Saturday at the O2 Arena in London. Both heavyweights are in the twilight of their careers, but Chisora enters on a three-fight win streak while Wilder has gone 2-4 since 2020.
Below you’ll find my Chisora vs Wilder prediction, the latest odds, and how to watch.
Chisora vs Wilder Prediction
- Derek Chisora by KO/TKO (+125 at BetMGM)
Chisora should win this fight, and I expect him to get the stoppage. Wilder’s decline has been steep since the Tyson Fury trilogy, and Chisora’s pressure style is exactly what gives him problems.
The numbers paint a rough picture for Wilder. He’s gone 2-4 since 2020, with his only wins coming against Robert Helenius and Tyrrell Herndon. Against Joseph Parker, he threw just 204 punches over 12 rounds and landed only 39. Against Zhilei Zhang, he connected on 16 of 95 before getting stopped in round five.
Wilder has looked gunshy in recent fights. He freezes up against pressure fighters, and Chisora is nothing but pressure. He’s going to march forward with his hands high and make Wilder uncomfortable from the opening bell.
Chisora has momentum on his side. He’s won three straight over Gerald Washington, Joe Joyce, and Otto Wallin. At 42, he’s defied Father Time and still looks competitive. This is his retirement fight at home in London, and he’s motivated to go out on a high note.
Wilder still has that right hand, and he’s dangerous until the final bell. But he needs space to set it up, and Chisora won’t give him any. I expect Chisora to wear him down with body shots and inside work before getting the stoppage in the middle rounds.
Chisora vs Wilder Odds
Chisora is a -190 moneyline favorite at BetMGM. That means you’d need to bet $190 to win $100. Wilder comes back at +140 as the underdog.
Those -190 odds give Chisora roughly a 66% implied probability to win. Wilder sits around 42% to pull off the upset in his first London fight since 2013.
The method of victory odds favor a Chisora knockout at +125. Wilder by KO/TKO is priced at +220. The books expect this to end inside the distance, with “fight to go 12 rounds” sitting at +160.
Odds at BetMGM. Get the BetMGM bonus code to use on the Chisora vs Wilder fight. If already signed up, check out our top boxing betting apps.
Chisora vs Wilder Tale of the Tape
Wilder has significant physical advantages with five inches in height and nine inches in reach. But Chisora has dealt with bigger fighters his entire career, including Vitali Klitschko, Oleksandr Usyk, and Tyson Fury three times.
Derek Chisora vs Deontay Wilder
Chisora weighed in at a career-high 266.7 pounds. Wilder came in at 226.4, giving Chisora a 40-pound weight advantage. That extra size should help him bully Wilder on the inside, where he does his best work.
Chisora vs Wilder Start Time & How to Watch
Chisora vs Wilder takes place on Saturday, April 4 at the O2 Arena in London. The main card starts at 2 pm ET on DAZN PPV, with ring walks for the main event expected around 5:26 pm ET.
The PPV costs $49.99 in the US through DAZN. A DAZN subscription is required to purchase the pay-per-view. The co-main event features Viddal Riley vs Mateusz Masternak for the European cruiserweight title.
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Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor
Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.
