Upcoming Match-ups

Keith Thurman vs Mario Barrios Odds, Pick, and Prediction

Dylan Bowker

by Dylan Bowker in Boxing

Feb 2, 2022 · 10:45 AM PST

Thurman vs Barrios odds
Manny Pacquiao, right, and Keith Thurman exchange punches in the sixth round during a welterweight title fight Saturday, July 20, 2019, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/John Locher)
  • Keith Thurman vs Mario Barrios goes Saturday, February 5th at 9 PM EST
  • Thurman is almost a two to one favorite in this weekend’s welterweight war
  • Check out the Keith Thurman vs Mario Barrios odds, analysis, and predictions, below

Keith Thurman vs Mario Barrios transpires at Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, and broadcasts on FOX Sports pay per view. Keith Thurman is the favorite priced at -182 in the Thurman vs Barrios boxing odds.

Let’s analyze the Keith Thurman vs Mario Barrios odds via Barstool Sportsbook as we provide our best bet for the bout.

Keith Thurman vs Mario Barrios Odds

Fighter Odds
Keith Thurman -182
Mario Barrios +150

Odds as of February 2nd at Barstool Sportsbook

This fight has been dubbed a semi-final elimination match by the WBC. So the winner of this bout will punch their ticket to a WBC title eliminator fight.

Barstool Sportsbook isn’t available in New York currently, so bettors in the Empire State can look to Caesars Sportsbook NY or BetMGM New York for odds on this fight.

Keith Thurman’s Boxing Odds & Betting Outlook vs Barrios

Thurman returns to competition for the first time since a July 2019 defeat to multi-division world champion Manny Pacquiao.

The former WBA and WBC welterweight world champion looks to rebound from that spit decision defeat and reintegrate himself into the top tier of the weight category.

One Time sees himself being in close proximity to a title opportunity, and Thurman thinks a win here can vault him into a championship bout thereafter.

Thurman vs Barrios Recent Fights

Manny Pacquiao, loss via SD Fight 1 Gervonta Davis, loss via TKO
Josesito Lopez, win via MD Fight 2 Ryan Karl, win via KO
Danny Garcia, win via SD Fight 3 Batyr Akhmedov, win via UD
Shawn Porter, win via UD Fight 4 Juan Jose Velasco, win via KO

Thurman looks to regain his place as one of the world’s elite welterweights by taking on a debutant in the weight class.

Mario Barrios’s Boxing Odds & Betting Outlook vs Thurman

Barrios is also looking for a return to the win column, but his defeat was more emphatic in many regards.

The former WBA world super-lightweight champion aims to return to form following that stoppage loss to Davis in June. Mario Barrios aims to get off to a good start to begin his 2022 campaign in a brand new weight category.

Several respected pundits and industry players within Boxing see value in Barrios as a good underdog pick here. The 147 pounders both come into this fight as warriors that have cemented themselves as defending world champions.

Also curiously, Barrios who has historically competed in the lower weight categories actually has a two-inch reach advantage.

Still though, Thurman’s high-level resume and razor-sharp fight IQ over full championship bouts cannot be overlooked.

Thurman vs Barrios Tale of the Tape

29-1 Record 26-1
22 Knockouts 17
5’9.5 Height 5’10
69″ Reach 71″
Orthodox Stance Orthodox

Keith Thurman vs Mario Barrios Pick & Prediction

This prizefight is scheduled for twelve rounds, and the prop bet on this fight going the distance is positioned at -155.

Both pugilists are more favored to win via points than to finish the fight (Thurman via decision is +160 to Thurman via KO or TKO at +210. Conversely, Barrios via decision is +350 while Barrios via KO or TKO is +400). All these odds/props can be found at DraftKings Sportsbook.

So I think the prop bet on this fight going the distance (-155) does present good value. The same can be said for going with the prop bet on Thurman winning via decision at +160.

Pick: Keith Thurman (-182)

Author Image