Stevenson vs. Zepeda Prediction, Odds, Tale of the Tape & Fight Details (July 12)

• Shakur Stevenson defends his WBC lightweight title against William Zepeda on Saturday
• The undefeated champion is a massive -1200 favorite in the latest boxing odds
• Read below for Stevenson vs Zepeda prediction, odds, tale of the tape and viewing info

Two undefeated southpaws collide when WBC lightweight champion Shakur Stevenson puts his belt on the line against Mexico’s William Zepeda at Louis Armstrong Stadium in Queens, New York on July 12th.

This title bout headlines a stacked Ring Magazine 3 card on DAZN pay-per-view, with the main card starting at 6 p.m. ET. The current Stevenson vs Zepeda odds have the Newark native as one of the biggest favorites of the year.

We’ve made our Stevenson vs Zepeda prediction, plus tell you how you can view the fight.

Stevenson vs Zepeda Prediction

Zepeda’s record and relentless pressure make him a tough test. However, Stevenson’s world-class defense and fight IQ should be the deciding factors. The champion has the highest plus-minus rating in boxing at +21.1, meaning he lands far more punches than he absorbs.

Expect him to use slick footwork and sharp counters to frustrate Zepeda. The Mexican throws an average of 93.9 punches per round, which is more than any other boxer. That pace creates openings, and Stevenson is the kind of fighter who takes advantage.

Steven’s recent performance backup this up. The champ has won eight of his last nine fights by decision, exemplifying his preference for outboxing opponents rather than hunting for knockouts.

The fact that Tevin Farmer lasted 22 rounds with Zepeda but was knocked out in one by Floyd Schofield has me questioning Zepeda’s power at the elite level. Meanwhile, Stevenson has never been dropped or seriously hurt in 23 professional fights.

Look for Stevenson to build a comfortable lead on the cards while avoiding unnecessary risks. He knows a big-money fight with Gervonta Davis awaits if he handles business here. The champion should cruise to a wide unanimous decision victory, potentially dropping Zepeda once or twice along the way but not pressing for the stoppage.

Stevenson vs Zepeda Pick:

• Stevenson by Decision or Technical Decision (-200 at DraftKings)

Stevenson vs Zepeda Odds

In the Stevenson vs Zepeda odds at BetMGM, “Killa-Kur” is a massive -1200 moneyline favorite, giving him a 92% implied probability of winning. Those are the kind of odds you see when a pound-for-pound talent faces a solid but untested challenger.

Want more than just moneyline bets? The fight to go the distance is -275, which matches Stevenson’s trend of winning by decision. His decision line at -225 gives better value if you expect another tactical masterclass.

Want value that is riskier? The odds of Stevenson winning in rounds 9–12 are +650. That’s interesting since he usually takes over in the later rounds. Zepeda by KO or TKO is +700, which is a long shot for a guy with 27 knockouts. This shows that bookmakers don’t think he can knock out top-level fighters.

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Odds as of July 10, 2025, at BetMGM Sportsbook. Claim the BetMGM promo code to bet on Stevenson vs Zepeda.

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Stevenson vs Zepeda Tale of the Tape

At first glance, Zepeda has the edge in power and size, but that’s only part of the story. Stevenson’s lower KO rate reflects his technical, defense-first style. He has fought and won at the highest level, winning three world titles and an Olympic silver medal.

Zepeda’s power looks impressive, but most of his KOs came against regional-level opponents. As he steps into world-class territory, Stevenson’s experience, footwork, and sharp timing should take over.

The southpaw-vs-southpaw angle adds a twist, but Stevenson’s faced more of these matchups at the elite level and has the ring IQ to adapt quickly.

Stevenson vs. Zepeda Fight Details + How to Watch

The event will be available through DAZN pay-per-view for $59.99, marking the first boxing match at the tennis venue known for hosting the U.S. Open.