Miami vs Alabama Predictions, Picks & Odds (College World Series)

• Alabama is a -154 moneyline favorite over Miami in the NCAA Tournament Regional Round matchup
• Griffin Hugus (5-7, 4.22 ERA) is expected to start for the Hurricanes, while the Tide is likely to counter with Riley Quick (8-2, 3.54 ERA)
• Get my Miami vs Alabama predictions and picks below, plus the odds for this contest

The road to the College World Series is underway and one of the SEC heavyweights will take the field Friday at the Hattiesburg Regional. No. 2 regional seed Alabama will face No. 3 Miami, with online sportsbooks expecting the Crimson Tide to emerge victorious. I’m of the same mindset, and actually think we’re getting a discount on the Alabama moneyline given how these teams match up.

First pitch is scheduled for 3pm ET at Pete Taylor Park, in Hattiesburg, Mississippi, with ESPN2 and ESPN+ providing the broadcast and streaming coverage.

Miami vs Alabama Predictions and Picks

• Alabama Crimson Tide (-154) at Bet365

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Let’s start with the Crimson Tide’s advantage on the mound. They’re turning to Riley Quick, a projected first round pick in the upcoming MLB Draft. Quick is well rested, after not starting in the SEC Tournament due to health preservation. Quick underwent Tommy John surgery in 2024, and Alabama has been very conservative with his workload.

When he toes the rubber though, he’s been terrific. Quick was posted six wins in his last seven starts, all against elite SEC competition. He’s yielded two runs or less in each of the victories, posting 7+ strikeouts in four straight starts. This guy is a giant on the mound and very imposing to enemy hitters. He’s a towering 6-6, 245 pounds, and brings a 98 mile per hour fastball, along with a nasty slider and change up to the table.

Griffin Hugus vs Riley Quick Stats

The Hurricanes will counter with Griffin Hugus, who’s struggled leading into the Tournament. Hugus has coughed up 15 runs over his past four starts, losing three times. He’s also battled control issues all season, averaging 3.5 walks per 9 innings. Lately, the long ball has also terrorized him, as he’s been taken deep in three consecutive outings.

That’s problematic versus a very good Alabama lineup. The Crimson Tide are slashing .280/.397/.488 this season, averaging 7.5 runs per game. Kade Snell is one of four regulars with an OPS north of .960, and is widely considered one of the best hitters in the nation. The redshirt senior leads the team with a .374 average, and has reached base in 49 of 54 games, with 23 multi-hit outings.

As for the Hurricanes lineup, it’s not in the same tier as Alabama’s. Miami averages a full run less than the Tide per game, and have hit 23 fewer home runs. They’ve been held to two runs or less in three of their past four games coming in, and have dropped six of seven overall.

Daniel Cuvet is by far their best hitter, and has been an elite producer this year. He’s slashing .378/.450/.711, with 16 home runs and 76 RBI. The problem is, there’s no depth behind him. Miami doesn’t boast another player with double-digit home runs, while Jake Ogden and Max Galvin are the only other Hurricanes hitting north of .262.

Miami vs Alabama Odds

Quick has a significantly higher ceiling than Hugus, and I don’t believe the Miami bats can match Alabama’s output. That makes picking the Crimson Tide an easy choice, with the best odds on their moneyline available at Bet365. They’re -154 to win there, with Miami coming back as a +120 underdog. Alabama is laying 1.5 on the run line at +114 odds, while the total sits at 10.

Odds as of May 29 at bet365. Claim the bet365 bonus code to bet on college baseball today. 

The Crimson Tide enter play ranked fifth in the country with 15 Quadrant 1 wins, seven more than Miami, and 8+ more than Southern Miss and Columbia, the two other teams in the Hattiesburg regional.