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Oregon State vs Louisville Picks, Predictions & Odds for CWS

Chris Amberley

By Chris Amberley in College Baseball News

Published:


Louisville's Kamau Neighbors slides safely into home versus Arizona.
Jun 15, 2025; Omaha, Neb, USA; Louisville Cardinals second baseman Kamau Neighbors (5) slides across home to score against the Arizona Wildcats during the eighth inning at Charles Schwab Field. Mandatory Credit: Dylan Widger-Imagn Images
  • Oregon State is a -195 moneyline favorite over Louisville in a College World Series Elimination Game on Tuesday
  • The Beavers have just three extra-base hits in their first two CWS games
  • See the Oregon State vs Louisville picks, predictions, and odds for the CWS below

Louisville has already survived one elimination game at the College World Series. Can they survive another on Tuesday versus Oregon State? Online sportsbooks don’t believe so, but I’d be hesitant to back the Beavers after the way they’ve performed in their first two outings.

First pitch for this CWS elimination game is set for 2:07 pm ET at Charles Schwab Field in Omaha, Nebraska, with ESPN and ESPN+ providing the coverage.

Louisville vs Oregon State Picks and Predictions

  • Louisville +1.5 (+100)

As of Tuesday morning, neither team has named a starter for today’s contest. Both the Cardinals and Beavers burned their third starter with bullpen work last time out, meaning each side will need to deploy multiple arms in their bid to advance. That’s good news for Oregon State, as their mighty offense has struggled badly in two games versus elite pitching.

They’ve mustered only six runs and four extra-base hits in games versus Louisville and Coastal Carolina, after being one of the most potent lineups all season. Their strikeout-prone ways have been a major issue, as they’ve fanned 22 times already. They should find more success against the backend of the Cardinals staff in this matchup, and the can take solace in the fact that they’re 5-0 in elimination games this season.

LOU vs ORST Offensive Stats

.304AVG.290
546R475
101HR105
.507SLG.500

That’s not to say you should run to the window to bet the Beavers against Louisville. Oregon State has not only been undisciplined at the plate, striking out 22 times while drawing only three walks, but they’ve also been incredible sloppy in the field. They’ve committed five errors in two games. You might be able to overcome that type of effort with an A+ arm on the mound, but not when you’re trying to scrape together innings with less talented options.

YouTube video

Louisville on the other hand, has not experienced the same type of offensive letdown as Oregon State. The Cardinals are one of the few teams in the nation that can match the Beavers firepower, and they’ve crossed the plate 11 times through two outings versus them and Arizona. Louisville is also a menace on the base path. They’ve stolen bases at one of the country’s highest rates all season, and are an excellent clutch hitting team with runners in scoring position.

The Cardinals average over a run more per game than the Beavers, and boast a better average and slugging percentage. They’re 2-0 in postseason elimination games so far, and aren’t underperforming versus their baseline like Oregon State is.

The Beavers may have shorter College World Series odds than Louisville, but there is no way the Cardinals should be catching 1.5 runs at even odds in this matchup. Online sportsbooks are expecting Oregon State’s lineup to come alive today, but I’m willing to bet Louisville can trade punches with them. I’ll gladly take them on the runline, while sprinkling a little action on their moneyline as well.

Oregon State vs Louisville Odds

Bet TypeOregon StateLouisville
Moneyline-195+150
Run Line-1.5 (-130)+1.5 (+100)
TotalO 10.5 (-115)U 10.5 (-115)

The best place to bet the Cardinals to pull off the upset is Bet365 where we can get +150 odds on an outright win. The Beavers are currently -195 moneyline favorites, while the total sits at 10.5 runs, up 1.5 runs from their first matchup of the CWS.

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That contest was Game 1 of the College World Series, with Oregon State ultimately prevailing on a walk-off hit. This game profiles to be just as close, but I’m predicting a reversal of fortune for Louisville.

Chris Amberley
Chris Amberley

Sports Writer

As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.

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