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Auburn vs North Carolina Predictions, Player Props & Best Odds (Nov 26)

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in College Basketball

Published:


Auburn Tigers forward Johni Broome laying on the court
Nov 25, 2024; Lahaina, Hawaii, USA; After scoring the winning basket against the Iowa State Cyclones, Auburn Tigers forward Johni Broome (4) lays on the court after getting a cramp at the end of an NCAA college basketball game at Lahaina Civic Center. Auburn defeated Iowa State 83-81. Mandatory Credit: Marco Garcia-Imagn Images
  • The undefeated #4 Auburn Tigers meet the one-loss #12 North Carolina Tar Heels in the final of the Maui Invitational
  • Auburn overcame a 16-point halftime deficit to beat #5 Iowa State at the buzzer last night, while UNC came from 18 down against Dayton
  • Below, see the Auburn vs North Carolina predictions, player props, and best available odds for Nov. 26

A 16-point second-half comeback against Iowa State last night kept the #4 Auburn Tigers (5-0, 1-0 neutral, 3-1-1 ATS) perfect on the season. On Tuesday, the Tigers will try to maintain their unblemished record when they face the #12 North Carolina Tar Heels (4-1, 1-0 neutral, 3-2 ATS) in the final of the Maui Invitational at 11:00 pm ET. The Heels mounted their own 18-point second-half comeback to beat Dayton last night, but head into Tuesday’s final as 4.5-point neutral-court underdogs to the Tigers.

Auburn vs North Carolina Predictions

  • North Carolina +4.5 (-100) at ESPN Bet
  • First half under 79.5 (-120) at FanDuel

Both teams were absolutely obliterated in the first half of last night’s games. Auburn fell behind Iowa State 49-33 while UNC found itself trailing Dayton 51-33. The halftime speeches clearly worked as both teams came back to win, and I expect Bruce Pearl and Hubert Davis to stress better defensive effort from the jump on Tuesday. Hence my bet on the first-half under of 79.5.

I’m also betting UNC to cover. I was all over Iowa State last night as a 4.5-point ATS and +170 moneyline underdog, and a lot of the same rationale applies with the Tar Heels. This is a veteran-laden team with a ton of continuity from last year, when they were a #1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. The loss of senior Armando Bacot is a big one, but four of UNC’s starting five are juniors and seniors, and the other is standout sophomore Eliot Cadeau.

The Tar Heels’ only loss this season was a 92-89 true road game against #1 Kansas. UNC came all the way back from a 55-38 halftime deficit to take an 87-83 lead before a final push from the Jayhawks got them over the line.

YouTube video

This isn’t a fade of Auburn. Johni Broome is going to be a dominant force in the post all year, regardless of opponent. He showed that last night with 21 points and 10 rebounds against arguably the country’s best defense, Iowa State. But UNC is going to have the edge in guard play. Davis (20.2 PPG, 4.6 APG) is arguably the most-dynamic scorer in college basketball this year, and Cadeau (14.8 PPG, 6.8 APG) – the #13 recruit last year – is poised for a massive jump as a sophomore.

UNC is extremely talented and will be hard to distance over 40 minutes.

AUB vs UNC Player Props

Player Points Rebounds Assists
Chad Baker-Mazara (AUB) 11.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) OFF OFF
Denver Jones (AUB) 11.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) OFF OFF
Elliot Cadeau (UNC) 12.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) OFF 5.5 (Ov -134 | Un -104)
Johni Broome (AUB) 19.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 10.5 (Ov -104 | Un -134) OFF
RJ Davis (UNC) 18.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 3.5 (Ov +102 | Un -140) 3.5 (Ov -154 | Un +110)
 Seth Trimble (UNC) 14.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) OFF OFF

Player props from FanDuel on Nov. 25. See SBD’s list of betting sites that accept Apple Pay

The Auburn/UNC player prop offerings are fairly limited, with just six players on the board. Broome has the highest point total at 19.5 followed closely by Davis at 18.5.

Broome also has a massive rebound total of 10.5. The Tar Heels are playing at the sixth-fastest pace in the country so far, which leads to more possessions/shots and, usually, more opportunities for rebounds.

Auburn vs UNC State Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Auburn Tigers -4.5 (-110) at bet365 -190 at ESPN Bet Over 165.5 (-110) at bet365
North Carolina Tar Heels +5.5 (-120) at FanDuel +176 at FanDuel Under 166.5 (-115) at BetMGM

The Auburn vs UNC odds show a full one-point range in the spread. Most books have the line at Auburn -5.0 but bet365 has it a half-point lower at 4.5 while FanDuel has it a half point higher at 5.5.

Logically, FanDuel also the best moneyline price on a UNC victory at +176. No other book is longer than +170 at the moment. ESPN Bet has the best moneyline for Auburn backers at -190. They are the only site that has the Tigers longer than -200.

There is also a one-point ranges in the game total. BetMGM has the highest total at 166.5 – which represents the best option for under bettors – while bet365, ESPN Bet, and FanDuel have the lowest option at 165.5 – which is the best option for over bettors.

The college basketball public betting splits show the majority of money on Auburn to win and cover. The Tigers are getting 96% of moneyline handle and 83% of ATS handle as of 12:31 pm ET.

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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