Best College Basketball Picks Today (Feb 19)

• Multiple mid-major conference leaders are in action tonight
• I have generated ATS and O/U picks for seven key games from our internal A.I. model
• See today’s top college basketball picks against the spread and over/unders

College basketball bettors face a stacked Thursday card headlined by mid-major leaders looking to cement their status atop conference standings.

Among the highlights: Liberty, which has won 16 games in a row, takes on FIU in a Conference USA battle. In the CAA, leader UNC Wilmington hosts Monmouth, while Charleston tries to stay in the race at North Carolina A&T. American Conference leader South Florida hosts Penny Hardaway and Memphis. And the Big West has a heavy slate with conference seeding implications.

Our internal A.I. tools have identified the best bets for these seven college basketball games today.

Expert College Basketball Predictions for Feb 19

Based on current market trends, efficiency metrics, and line movement analysis, here are the projected best bets for today’s NCAAM slate.

FIU vs Liberty Picks & Predictions

Liberty is 9-0 at with a robust RPI ranking of #32. The Flames are engineered for offensive efficiency, utilizing a system that generates high-percentage looks. Forward Zach Cleveland leads the league with 7.1 assists per game, while Brett Decker Jr. stretches opposing defenses with a 48.9% clip from beyond the arc.

While laying double digits carries inherent variance, FIU’s 2-8 road record indicates a lack of consistency away from home. The most compelling angle, however, is the total. Liberty’s high-powered offense faces an FIU squad featuring legitimate scoring punch in Corey Stephenson (17.7 PPG). This dynamic suggests a pace brisk enough to clear the 151.5 number, with Liberty likely doing the heavy lifting on the scoreboard.

Picks: Liberty -11.5 (-110 Fanatics) | Over 151.5 (-110 BetMGM)

Memphis vs South Florida Picks & Predictions

Trends in this American Conference clash point heavily toward the host Bulls. South Florida (#44 RPI) has transformed the Yuengling Center into a fortress, posting a 9-2 home record, while Memphis has been abysmal as a visitor with a 2-8 road record. The Bulls hold a distinct advantage in the paint with Izaiyah Nelson, who leads the conference in rebounding (9.8 RPG) and field goal percentage (59.2%), ensuring the Bulls control the glass and generate efficient second-chance points.

Despite Memphis’ struggles to cover on the road, the Tigers play a frenetic style conducive to high scoring, driven by guard Dug McDaniel (12.8 PPG). McDaniel’s ability to disrupt passing lanes (2.3 steals per game) creates transition opportunities that should help push this game over the total of 158.5, even if the Tigers fail to keep the margin close.

Picks: USF -8.5 (-108 DraftKings) | Over 158.5 (-110 BetMGM)

Cal Poly vs Hawai’i Picks & Predictions

On paper, Hawai’i appears dominant with a 12-1 home record, but the analytical value lies with the heavy underdog and the Over. The catalyst for this contrarian view is Cal Poly’s Hamad Mousa, the Big West’s premier scorer. Mousa leads the conference with 521 points and is averaging 20.0 points per game, providing the Mustangs with a reliable offensive floor.

When an underdog possesses the best offensive player on the court, they have a consistent avenue to stay within a large spread or generate late-game scoring during garbage time. Hawai’i will find offensive success through Isaac Johnson (13.4 PPG), but Mousa’s scoring output is likely to force a shootout in the islands. This dynamic helps the Mustangs stay inside the 12.5-point number while pushing the game past the total of 161.5.

Picks: Cal Poly +12.5 (-115 DraftKings) | Over 160.5 (-110 FanDuel)

UNC Asheville vs High Point Picks & Predictions

High Point has established itself as one of the most reliable mid-major investments this season, sitting at 21-4 overall with a commanding 12-1 home record. Panthers guard Conrad Martinez leads the Big South with 105 assists. Terry Anderson provides high-percentage finishing (57.8% FG), making it difficult for a struggling UNC Asheville team (#225 RPI) to keep pace defensively.

While High Point projects to cover the large spread, the Under serves as a strong correlated play. Asheville relies heavily on Kameron Taylor, but High Point’s ability to control the tempo and limit possessions should stifle the Bulldogs’ secondary scoring options. Expect the Panthers to dictate a pace that keeps the total under 151.5.

Picks: High Point -13.5 (-110 Fanatics) | Under 152.5 (-110 Fanatics)

Charleston vs North Carolina A&T Picks & Predictions

Charleston, ranked #105 in RPI, travel to face North Carolina A&T (#278 RPI) carrying a three-game road winning streak. Charleston’s defensive prowess was on full display in its recent 62-57 win over Campbell, limiting opponents to a mere 9.5% from beyond the arc, with centers Chol Machot (17 points, 6 blocks) and Christian Reeves combining for a dominant 35 points and 9 blocks. While the public heavily favors Charleston on the moneyline and the Under, Lewis Walker, a standout redshirt freshman for North Carolina A&T, continues to impress, nearing 500 points for the season. This matchup pits Charleston’s strong defense against an Aggies team looking to capitalize on Walker’s scoring.

Picks: Charleston -4.5 (-110 FanDuel) | Under 147.5 (-112 FanDuel)

Monmouth vs UNC Wilmington Picks & Predictions

A pivotal Coastal Athletic Association clash features two teams on three-game winning streaks as Monmouth (14-12 overall, 8-5 CAA) visits UNC Wilmington(22-4 overall, 11-2 or 13-2 CAA). UNCW, ranked #63 in RPI, boasts a strong home record and is drawing significant sharp money support on the spread (-7.5), despite an even split in ticket counts. Monmouth, a third-place team in the CAA, has found offensive rhythm, averaging 80.3 PPG during their streak, with senior forward Kavion McClain providing a recent boost (17 PPG average over three games). However, the Seahawks will be looking to their overall team performance, especially at home, to cover the spread.

Picks: UNCW -7.5 (-102 BetMGM) | Under 142.5 (-110 BetMGM)

Cal State Northridge vs UC Santa Barbara Picks & Predictions

UC Santa Barbara (#148 RPI) hosts Cal State Northridge (#117 RPI) in a Big West matchup with conflicting public sentiment. UC Santa Barbara enters off a loss that cost them first place, while Cal State Northridge is confident after an upset victory over Hawai’i, where it put up 84 points. The public heavily backs UC Santa Barbara on the moneyline, and the Under is also heavily favored, suggesting a belief in a lower-scoring affair. However, the Matadors feature Josiah Davis, who leads the Big West in assists per game (7.2), and Joshua O’Garro, the conference leader in total rebounds (239), making them a dangerous road underdog, especially given their offensive output in their last game.

Picks: UC Santa Barbara -3.5 (-112 FanDuel) | Under 158.5 (-110 FanDuel)