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College Basketball Picks & Predictions Today – Best Bets for All Top 25 Games

Chris Wright

By Chris Wright in College Basketball

Published:


Duke Team Huddling
Jan 10, 2026; Durham, North Carolina, USA; Duke Blue Devils players (left to right) Pat Ngongba II, Cameron Boozer, Cayden Boozer, and Caleb Foster huddle during the second half against the Southern Methodist Mustangs at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Rob Kinnan-Imagn Images
  • Nine AP Top 25 teams are in action tonight
  • I have generated ATS and O/U picks for each game from our internal A.I. model
  • See today’s top college basketball picks against the spread and over/unders

Nine ranked teams are in action tonight, including newly-minted No. 1 Duke, No. 2 Michigan, No. 3 Arizona and No. 4 Iowa State.

Miami (Ohio) is only No. 21, but the RedHawks also are 27-0 — the only unbeaten left in the country.

Our A.I. tools analyze all nine games involving Top 25 teams and make betting recommendations for the spread and total.

Expert College Basketball Predictions for Feb 24

Below are the ATS (Against the Spread) and Over/Under projections for every Top 25 matchup on today’s slate, based on current consensus lines and statistical analysis.

MatchupSpread PickTotal Pick
(21) Saint Louis at DaytonSLU -4.5 (-114 FanDuel)Under 156.5 (-108 DraftKings)
NC State at (11) VirginiaNC State +6.5 (-115 BetMGM)Under 152.5 (-110 FanDuel)
(1) Duke at Notre DameDuke -17.5 (-105 BetMGM)Over 140.5 (-110 Sleeper)
Cincinnati at (16) Texas TechTexas Tech -6.0 (-115 Bet365)Over 142.5 (-110 DraftKings)
Minnesota at (3) MichiganMichigan -22.0 (-110 Sleeper)Over 145.5 (-110 FanDuel)
(4) Iowa State at UtahIowa State -12.5 (-110 Sleeper)Over 142.5 (-105 Bet365)
(2) Arizona at BaylorArizona -8.0 (-120 Bet365)Over 154.5 (-110 Sleeper)
(22) Tennessee at MissouriMissouri +3.5 (-105 FanDuel)Under 144.5 (-110 FanDuel)
UCF at (19) BYUBYU -10.5 (-120 FanDuel)Under 163.5 (-110 BetMGM)

No 4 Iowa State at Utah

Pick: Iowa State -12.5 (-110 Sleeper) | Over 142.5 (-105 Bet365)

Despite the double-digit spread on the road, the metrics heavily favor Iowa State covering against a struggling Utah squad. The Cyclones boast a decisive advantage on the perimeter, led by Milan Momcilovic, who is shooting a conference-best 50.8% from three-point range. This elite spacing complements the defensive havoc created by Tamin Lipsey, the Big 12 leader in steals with 2.17 per game, which should generate easy transition points against a Utes backcourt prone to live-ball turnovers.

Utah is only 8-7 at home, and its inability to compete with elite competition is glaring; the Utes are 0-6 against Top 25 opponents. Although Utah features individual scoring talent in Terrence Brown (20.2 PPG), Iowa State’s balanced attack and defensive intensity suggest they can widen the margin significantly in the second half.

No 2 Arizona at Baylor

Pick: Arizona -8.0 (-120 Bet365) | Over 154.5 (-110 Sleeper)

Arizona travels to Waco as an 8.5-point favorite, a line justified by their sheer dominance in the paint. The Wildcats’ frontcourt duo of Tobe Awaka (9.4 RPG) and Motiejus Krivas (8.5 RPG) gives them a distinct rebounding edge over a smaller Baylor lineup. This interior control, paired with the scoring of standout Brayden Burries (15.2 PPG), creates a mismatch that the 14-13 Bears will struggle to contain for 40 minutes.

However, the Over 154.5 is also a strong play given the offensive profiles involved. Baylor relies on high-volume scoring to stay competitive, featuring Cameron Carr (18.7 PPG) and Tounde Yessoufou (18.1 PPG). While Arizona is expected to cover the spread through efficiency and rebounding, Baylor’s willingness to push the pace and trade baskets supports a high-scoring affair that should clear the total.

No 22 Tennessee at Missouri

Pick: Missouri +3.5 (-105 FanDuel) | Under 144.5 (-110 FanDuel)

In a spot where home-court advantage could prove pivotal, taking Missouri +3.5 offers value against the ranked Volunteers. While Tennessee features an elite scoring duo in Ja’Kobi Gillespie and Nate Ament, the Vols are walking into a hostile environment where the Tigers have thrived. Missouri defends Mizzou Arena exceptionally well, boasting a stellar 14-2 home record.

The key to this cover lies in Missouri’s ability to disrupt Tennessee’s rhythm. Anthony Robinson II leads the Tigers’ perimeter defense with 1.6 steals per game, a metric that suggests they can challenge Tennessee’s ball handlers. Offensively, the Tigers are anchored by Mark Mitchell, who is scoring 17.2 points per game on highly efficient 53.4% shooting. Expect a tight, defensive battle where the home underdog keeps the final margin within a single possession.

Minnesota at No 3 Michigan

Pick: Michigan -22.0 (-110 Sleeper) | Over 145.5 (-110 FanDuel)

The spread is massive, but Michigan has demonstrated the firepower to cover big numbers, especially in Ann Arbor where it is 12-1. Michigan will be highly motivated after falling to Duke on Saturday. The Wolverines dominate efficiency metrics on both ends of the floor. Morez Johnson Jr. provides a sure-handed offensive option, leading the Big Ten with a 66.2% field goal percentage, while Aday Mara anchors the defense with a conference-leading 2.7 blocks per game.

Minnesota, sitting below .500 at 13-14, relies heavily on Cade Tyson (19.5 PPG) to generate offense. However, without secondary scoring options to match Michigan’s depth, the Golden Gophers are likely to be overwhelmed. The combination of Michigan’s rim protection and high-percentage finishing suggests a lopsided victory that clears the heavy 22.0-point spread.

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Chris Wright

A 30-time APSE award-winning editor with previous stints at the Miami Herald, The Indianapolis Star and News & Observer, Chris Wright is an Evergreen and AI editor for Saturday Down South, Saturday Tradition, Crossing Broad, Sports Betting Dime and ESNY.

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