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Duke vs Kansas Odds, Picks, Predictions & Player Props (Nov 26)

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in College Basketball

Published:


Duke Blue Devils forward Cooper Flagg shooting a jumper
Nov 22, 2024; Tucson, Arizona, USA; Duke Blue Devils forward Cooper Flagg (2) attempts a three pointer during the first half against the Arizona Wildcats at McKale Center. Mandatory Credit: Aryanna Frank-Imagn Images
  • The undefeated #1 Kansas Jayhawks face the #11 Duke Blue Devils in Las Vegas on Tuesday night
  • Despite the rankings, Duke is a 3.5-point neutral-court favorite
  • See the Duke vs Kansas odds, predictions, and player props for Nov. 26

A titanic matchup is on the scheduled tonight in the Terry’s Chocolate Vegas Showdown as the #1 Kansas Jayhawks (5-0, 1-0 neutral, 2-3 ATS) square off with the #11 Duke Blue Devils (4-1, 0-1 neutral, 4-1 ATS) at T-Mobile Arena at 6:00 pm PT/9:00 pm ET. While the Jayhawks are the unbeaten #1 team in the nation, the Blue Devils are the ones laying points in the Duke vs Kansas odds.

Duke vs Kansas Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Duke Blue Devils -2.5 (-115) -150 O 149.5 (-105)
Kansas Jayhawks +2.5 (-105) +130 U 149.5 (-115)

Duke is a 2.5-point neutral-court favorite and -150 on the moneyline. Kansas comes back at +130 to win straight-up, while the game total is sitting at 149.5 in Tuesday’s college basketball odds,

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The Blue Devils are coming off an impressive 69-55 road win at #17 Arizona, led by 24 points, six rebounds, three assists, two blocks, and a steal from freshman sensation Cooper Flagg, who has already emerged as the favorite in the Wooden Award odds. Fellow first-year standout Kon added 14. Flagg and Knueppel are Duke’s top two scorers at 17.8 PPG and 14.4 PPG, respectively.

Duke’s only loss on the season was a  77-72 setback to #19 Kentucky in Atlanta on Nov. 12.

YouTube video

The Jayhawks enter Tuesday 5-0 including a 92-89 home win over #9 North Carolina and a 77-69 win over Michigan State, also in Atlanta on the same night. Senior center Hunter Dickinson is averaging a team-high 17.8 PPG and 10.4 RPG in just 28.0 minutes per night.

While Duke is getting instant production from its two top freshman, the Jayhawks have been bolstered by two of the top transfers in the country: South Dakota State’s Zeke Mayo (12.6 PPG, 5.2 RPG. 3.2 APG) and Wisconsin’s AJ Storr (9.4 PPG, 1.8 APG, 40.0 3P%).

YouTube video

DUKE vs KU Player Props

Player Points Rebounds Assists
Caleb Foster (DUK) 8.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) OFF OFF
Cooper Flagg (DUK) 20.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 8.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 3.5 (Ov -108 | Un -132)
Dajuan Harris Jr (KU) 7.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) OFF 5.5 (Ov -108 | Un -128)
Hunter Dickinson (KU) 17.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 10.5 (Ov -122 | Un -112) OFF
Khaman Maluach (DUK) 8.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 5.5 (Ov -122 | Un -114) OFF
KJ Adams (KU) 9.5 (Ov -130 | Un -100) 3.5 (Ov -118 | Un -118) OFF
Kon Knueppel (DUK) 14.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 4.5 (Ov -130 | Un -108) OFF
Tyrese Proctor (DUK) 12.5 (Ov -100 | Un -130) OFF OFF
Zeke Mayo (KU) 12.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 5.5 (Ov -108 | Un -128) 3,5 (Ov +120 | Un -168)

Player props from FanDuel on Nov. 26. See SBD’s list of Visa betting sites

Flagg has the highest point total on the board at 20.5, which is a full four points higher than his O/U ahead of the Arizona game, which he smashed.

Dickinson leads the Jayhawks with a point total of 17.5. He’s averaging slightly under that on the year, but in the two games where Kansas has actually needed him, UNC and Michigan State, he dropped 28 and 20, respectively.

Duke vs Kansas Prediction

  • Kansas moneyline (+130)
  • Dickinson over 17.5 points (-110)

The Blue Devils are favored because every analytics site (KenPom, Bart Torvik, Haslametrics) says they’re the slightly better team. But I love the value on Kansas at +130, which equates to a 43.48% implied win probability. Kansas has an excellent mix of returning starts – including Dajuan Harris Jr and KJ Adams – and quality transfers. They’re older, stronger, and more experienced (on the whole) than Duke’s young roster.

The same was true of the Kentucky team that handed Duke its first loss. The Wildcats are stacked with seven seniors, in stark contrast to the John Calipari years.

Kansas also has the backcourt/frontcourt balance that Arizona lacked. Duke outrebounded Arizona 43-30 (13-6 in offensive rebounds, 30-24 in defensive rebounds). That’s not happening against a team with Hunter Dickinson under the hoop.

Sascha Paruk’s 2024-25 NCAAM betting record: 5-3 (+1.39 units). All wagers one unit unless expressly stated otherwise.

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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