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Florida State vs Purdue Odds, Lines, and Spread (Nov. 30)

Chris Amberley

By Chris Amberley in College Basketball

Published:


Caleb Furst celebrates a three
Purdue's Caleb Furst (3) in the second half of an NCAA college basketball game, Sunday, Nov. 21, 2021, in Uncasville, Conn. (AP Photo/Jessica Hill)
  • #2 Purdue is an 11-point favorite over Florida State on Tuesday (November 30th, 7:30 pm ET) at Mackey Arena, in West Lafayette, IN
  • The Boilermakers are off to a perfect 6-0 start, while the Seminoles are 5-1
  • Read below for odds, analysis and a betting prediction

The Big Ten/ACC challenge continues on Tuesday (Nov. 30th) and all eyes will be on #2 Purdue as it hosts Florida State. Boilermakers have reeled off six-straight victories to start the season, jumping from No. 7 in the AP polls all the way up to No. 2.

The Seminoles meanwhile, are off to a strong start as well. Florida State has five wins in six outings so far, but that didn’t stop oddsmakers from making them a heavy underdog.

Florida State vs #2 Purdue Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Florida State Seminoles +425 +11 (-110) O 143.5 (-110)
Purdue Boilermakers -590 -11 (-110) U 143.5 (-110)

Odds as of Nov. 30th at DraftKings.

Purdue opened up as an 11-point favorite, in a game that features a total of 143.5. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 pm ET at Mackey Arena, in West Lafayette, IN, a building where the Boilermakers are 4-0 this season.

Purdue Boilermakers Betting Analysis

Four of Purdue’s six victories have come by 25 or more points, with their only two tight contests coming against top-20 opposition. The Boilermakers handed #18 UNC a 9-point loss, and defeated #5 Villanova by 6 points the very next day.

Last time out, they ran over Omaha, blowing out the Mavericks by 37 points. Zach Edey led the way with 20 points in just 16 minutes, while Purdue’s size was too much for Omaha to handle. The Boilermakers outscored the Mavs 48-16 inside, and gobbled up 31 more rebounds.

Trevion Williams finished with 14 points and 10 rebounds in only 21 minutes, while Purdue was lights out from the field. The Boilermakers shot 57.6% from the field, and 53% from three, continuing their incredible shooting performance to start the campaign.

They rank second in points per game, third in field goal percentage, and seventh in three point efficiency. They have a +28.3 average score margin, while also ranking fifth in assists per game, and fifth in total rebounding.

Their defensive numbers don’t jump off the page, but it hasn’t mattered thanks to their offensive efficiency. Purdue ranks 79th in scoring defense, and 50th in opponent effective field goal percentage.

Florida State Seminoles Betting Analysis

After suffering a 16-point loss to #14 Florida in its second game of the season, Florida State has rebounded with four straight victories. Last time out, they snuck by Boston University 81-80, stealing an OT victory thanks to a Matthew Cleveland put-back with 2 seconds remaining.

Cleveland finished with 17 points and 7 boards off the bench, while Caleb Mills also splashed 17. The Seminoles shot 47.6% from the field, and 40% from three, which falls in line with their season averages. Florida State ranks 82nd in points per game, 59th in effective field goal percentage, and 55th in three-point efficiency.

Defensively, the Seminoles allowed the Terries to shoot 48% from the field, but bailed themselves out by blocking four shots, and forcing 19 turnovers. Florida State ranks 25th in defensive efficiency per KenPom, but haven’t faced a top-130 program outside of the Gators.

Their defense will be put to the ultimate test against Purdue, as FSU will be without three key starters.

Florida State vs Purdue Pick

Starting point guard RayQuan Evans is out for personal reasons, while starting 7-foot-2 center Tanor Ngom will miss the game due to a knee injury. To make worse given their opponent, the Seminoles will also be without 7-4 reserve center Naheem McLeod due to an ankle sprain.

The missing size is going to be incredibly difficult to overcome against a Boilermakers team that feasts down low. Purdue trots out three players standing 6-10 or taller for big minutes every night, including Edey, who’s 7-4. They’re one of top rebounding teams in the nation, and should get plenty of second chance opportunities versus an FSU team that ranks 220th in defensive rebounding when healthy.

The Boilermakers are 5-1 against the spread this season, and should cruise to an easy win versus the shorthanded Seminoles.

Pick: Purdue -11 (-110)

Chris Amberley
Chris Amberley

Sports Writer

As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.

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