George Washington vs Saint Louis Picks & Best Bets for A10 Tournament

• Saint Louis is a 7-point favorite over George Washington in the A-10 Tournament quarterfinals on Friday
• The Billikens won the first meeting 79-76 on a Robbie Avila buzzer-beater
• See my George Washington vs Saint Louis picks and best bets for the March 13 matchup, below

The A-10 Tournament quarterfinals kick off Friday morning with No. 9 seed George Washington (18-14, 8-10 A-10) facing top-seeded Saint Louis (27-4, 15-3 A-10) at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh.

Online sportsbooks have installed the Billikens as 7-point favorites in the college basketball odds. Saint Louis enters fresh off a double-bye, while GW advanced with a 66-62 win over Fordham on Thursday.

The action tips off at 11:30 am ET with USA Network providing the broadcast coverage.

Here are my George Washington vs Saint Louis picks and best bets.

George Washington vs Saint Louis Picks

Prediction: Saint Louis Wins, GW Covers

I expect the Billikens to advance and punch their NCAA Tournament ticket, but 7 points is too many against a GW team that already pushed them to the final buzzer. I have Saint Louis winning this game by a 78-73 final score.

Spread Pick: George Washington +7.5 (-115 at BetMGM)

The underdog has covered in five of the last six meetings between these programs. That trend is impossible to ignore when making your George Washington vs Saint Louis picks.

Saint Louis barely escaped the first meeting, needing a Robbie Avila buzzer-beating three-pointer to win 79-76. The Revolutionaries led by 15 points at one stage and held a 43-33 halftime advantage before the Billikens rallied. GW can hang with this team.

The Billikens also have a concerning neutral-site trend. They’re 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven neutral-site games. That double-bye sounds nice, but rust could be a factor after getting blown out by George Mason 86-57 in their regular-season finale.

George Washington’s Rafael Castro is a matchup problem for anyone. The second-team All-Conference selection and All-Defensive Team member leads the Revs with 15.7 points and 8.8 rebounds per game. He went 5-for-5 from the field against Fordham with 15 points, 9 boards, and 4 blocks.

Key Statistical Metrics: GW vs Saint Louis

The public is also leaning toward the underdog. GW is drawing 56.2% of spread tickets and 54.47% of the money. When the money and tickets align on the underdog, it often signals value.

George Washington vs Saint Louis Best Bets

Best Bet: George Washington +7.5

My top A-10 Tournament pick is the Revolutionaries plus the points. The underdog has covered in five of the last six meetings, and Saint Louis is 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven neutral-site games.

GW pushed them to a buzzer-beater in January and has the firepower to stay within a possession again. That makes George Washington +7.5 at BetMGM the best bet on the board.

Total Pick: Over 161.5 (-110 at BetMGM)

Both teams set school records for three-pointers made this season. Saint Louis knocked down 340 triples, while George Washington hit 316. This should be a shootout.

The first meeting cleared 155 points despite GW shooting just 41.5% from the floor. Both offenses have improved since then. Saint Louis ranks 10th nationally in scoring at 87.8 points per game, while GW averages 82.1.

The over is 17-5 in George Washington’s last 22 neutral-site games. The over is also 6-0 in the Billikens’ last six games following an ATS loss, which applies after the George Mason blowout.

The public agrees here. A massive 71.95% of tickets and 65.66% of the money are backing the over. When both metrics exceed 60%, it signals market confidence.

A-10 Tournament Public Betting: GW vs Saint Louis

The betting public is creating some interesting splits on this A-10 Tournament quarterfinal between George Washington and Saint Louis.

On the spread, George Washington is drawing 56.2% of tickets and 54.47% of the money despite being a 6.5-point underdog. The market respects the Revs’ ability to keep this close after nearly winning the first meeting outright.

The total tells a clearer story. A dominant 71.95% of tickets and 65.66% of the money are pounding the over. Both teams chuck threes at an elite rate, and the public expects a track meet.

On the moneyline, Saint Louis is absorbing 92.85% of tickets and 91.87% of the money. The public expects the Billikens to advance, even if GW keeps it close.

George Washington vs Saint Louis Odds

Odds as of March 13. New customers can claim the BetMGM promo code and get a bonus to bet on college basketball.

The moneyline odds give Saint Louis an implied win probability around 73%. A $20 bet on the Billikens at -265 would return just $7.55 in profit, while a $20 flier on George Washington at +210 pays out $42 if the Revs pull off the upset. Given that the first meeting went to the final buzzer, the spread offers better value than the moneyline.