Providence vs Seton Hall Picks & How to Watch

• Seton Hall aims to snap a two-game skid as a 4.5-point home favorite
• Seton Hall won 72-67 at Providence on Dec. 19
• Our deep-dive analysis finds the best bets for Providence at Seton Hall

Seton Hall hosts Providence tonight, a prime opportunity for the Pirates to get back to their winning ways against a team they already handled this season. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 pm, ET, with the broadcast available exclusively on Peacock.

Seton Hall (16-8, 6-7 Big East) has lost back-to-back games and, with a No. 58 RPI, is firmly on the NCAA Tournament bubble.

Providence (11-13, 4-9 Big East) arrives with newfound momentum after beating Butler in double-overtime and then blasting DePaul.

These teams opened Big East play against each other on Dec. 19; Seton Hall won 72-67.

Our deep-dive analysis breaks down the odds, trends and value plays to help bettors find the best bets for Providence at Seton Hall.

Providence vs Seton Hall Best Bets & Analysis

The oddsmakers have positioned the Pirates as 4.5-point favorites, respecting the difficulty of winning on the road in the Big East. Despite Providence’s recent offensive outburst, the situational spot favors a Seton Hall team eager to wash away the taste of recent close defeats.

Spread Pick: Seton Hall -4.5 (-109) at DraftKings

Seton Hall won Round 1 at Providence by 5. We are backing Seton Hall to cover this number at home. The Pirates’ identity is forged on the defensive end, where they allow just 64.8 points per game. This discipline contrasts sharply with a Providence team that has struggled away from home, posting a dismal 1-6 straight-up record on the road this season.

The critical mismatch is ball security. Seton Hall’s defense is anchored by Adam Clark, who ranks third in the Big East with 49 total steals. He faces a Providence backcourt that is prone to giving the ball away; primary ball-handlers Stefan Vaaks and Jaylin Sellers combine for over 3.3 turnovers per game. Expect the Pirates to convert these live-ball turnovers into easy transition points, allowing them to extend the lead late and cover the spread against a visiting team ranked 123 in RPI.

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Over/Under Pick: Under 150.5 Points (-110) at BetMGM

Our A.I. tools are recommending the Over, but I disagree for several reasons, most notably the fact that these teams combined for just 139 points in December.

Moreover, Seton Hall has scored more than 70 points just once in its past eight games.

Providence’s scoring average looks impressive on paper (88.5 points per game) and hit 90 in each of their past two games, but they’ve also been held in the 70s in four Big East games and only reached 67 against Seton Hall in Round 1. The total has already dropped from an opener of 151.5, suggesting the market doesn’t trust the offense.

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Public Betting Splits

The college basketball betting public and sharp money are united in their assessment of this Big East showdown, specifically regarding the moneyline.

Moneyline & Spread Sentiment

The market confidence in Seton Hall is overwhelming. While the Pirates are attracting 76.19% of the ticket count, the handle tells an even more drastic story. A massive 99.43% of the total money wagered on the moneyline is backing Seton Hall to win outright. This near-unanimous financial support suggests that large-volume bettors view the Pirates’ recent losses as bad variance and expect a correction at home against a sub-.500 conference opponent.

Total Points Sentiment

Bettors are also fading the line movement on the total. Despite the number dropping from 151.5 to 149.5, 66.24% of tickets and 69.7% of the money are on the Over. The consensus is that Providence’s lackluster defense (85.6 PPG allowed) will dictate the flow of the game more than Seton Hall’s half-court defense.

Providence vs Seton Hall Tale of Tape

The disparity in RPI highlights the difference in resume quality between the programs.

Key Mismatch: The 20-point gap in Points Allowed per Game is staggering. While Providence scores effectively, its inability to get stops — coupled with a negative turnover differential against Seton Hall’s pressure — suggests the Pirates will control the tempo. Seton Hall’s ability to limit opponents to under 65 points gives them a significant floor, whereas Providence must shoot efficiently to stay competitive.

Providence vs Seton Hall Odds

• Moneyline: Seton Hall -220 | Providence +180
• Spread: Seton Hall -4.5 (-109) | Providence +4.5 (-111)
• Total: Over 149.5 (-114) | Under 149.5 (-106)

Odds as of February 11, 2026, at 07:47 AM EST from DraftKings Sportsbook.

The market has held firm on the spread at 4.5, but the total has seen downward movement despite public interest in the Over. The implied probability of the moneyline odds paints a clear picture of the expected outcome.

After removing the vigorish, Seton Hall holds a 65.8% implied probability of winning this game, compared to just 34.2% for Providence.

For bettors looking at the moneyline value:

• A $20 wager on Seton Hall (-220) returns a profit of $9.09 (Total payout: $29.09).
• A $20 wager on Providence (+180) returns a profit of $36.00 (Total payout: $56.00).

While the return on Providence is tempting, the statistical trends and sharp money flow heavily suggest paying the premium for the Pirates or laying the points is the wiser investment.

How to Watch Providence vs Seton Hall?

Viewers will be able to watch Providence vs. Seton Hall live by streaming on Peacock.