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Wolverines Favored Against Bama in Sweet 16 – Michigan vs Alabama Opening Odds

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in College Basketball

Published:


Michigan Wolverines forward Yaxel Lendeborg dunking
Mar 21, 2026; Buffalo, NY, USA; Michigan Wolverines forward Yaxel Lendeborg (23) dunks the ball in the second half against the Saint Louis Billikens during a second round game of the men's 2026 NCAA Tournament at Keybank Center. Mandatory Credit: Mark Konezny-Imagn Images
  • #1 Michigan will meet #4 Alabama in the 2026 Sweet 16
  • The Wolverines are the second-favorite in the national title odds
  • See the opening Michigan vs Alabama odds for March 27th

The #1 Michigan Wolverines (33-3 SU, 16-20 ATS) and #4 Alabama Crimson Tide (25-9 SU, 15-18 ATS) both punched their tickets to the Midwest Region Sweet 16 on Sunday, setting up a heavyweight tilt at the United Center in Chicago on Friday, March 27th (7:35 pm ET).

Alabama’s offense has been resplendent in the NCAA Tournament but the Tide still find themselves sizable underdogs to the Big Ten regular-season champs from Ann Arbor.

Michigan vs Alabama Opening Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
#4 Alabama+400 +10.5 (-110)O 177.5 (-110)
#1 Michigan-483-10.5 (-110)U 177.5 (-110)

At prediction site Kalshi, Michigan is trading at a hyper-short 83¢ to reach the Elite Eight (equal to a -488 moneyline). Alabama is trading at 20¢ (equal to a +400 moneyline).

Odds as of March 23rd. Claim the top sportsbook promos ahead of the Sweet 16.

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Michigan is currently the second-favorite in the March Madness champion odds, trading at 21¢ at Kalshi (equal to +376 odds). The Tide were still trading at just 1¢ at the time of publication (+9900 odds), though that is likely to move in the near future.

Michigan reached the Sweet 16 with two lopsided wins: 101-80 vs #16 Howard, and 95-72 over #9 TCU. Big Ten Player of the Year Yaxel Lendeborg poured in a game-high 25 points against the Horned Frogs, going 9-of-13 from the field.

Alabama boatraced its first two opponents, outclassing #13 Hofstra (90-70) and then embarrassing shorthanded #5 Texas Tech. Latrell Wrightsell had a game-high 24 in the lopsided victory over the Red Raiders.

Michigan vs Alabama Key Stats

MichiganStatAlabama
33-3W-L25-9
87.4PPG91.7
69.6OPP PPG83.1
51.1FG%45.8
9.23PM/G12.6
25.13PA/G35.4
36.63P%35.7
74.7FT%76.5
39.9RPG40.8
9.4ORPG10.3
27.4DRPG26.7
18.8APG16.1
5.6SPG6.4
6.0BPG5.1
11.6TOPG9.5

These two schools haven’t met in nearly two decades. The last meeting was in November 2009.

Bookmark SBD’s college basketball odds to see how the lines move over the week.

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Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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