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Texas Tech vs BYU Best Bets, Predictions & Lines (Mar 7)

Ryan Potts

By Ryan Potts in College Basketball

Published:


Feb 28, 2026; Morgantown, West Virginia, USA; BYU Cougars forward AJ Dybantsa (3) shoots a three pointer over West Virginia Mountaineers guard Chance Moore (13) during the second half at Hope Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Ben Queen-Imagn Images
  • Texas Tech and BYU wrap up their regular seasons Saturday night
  • Both teams should be tournament-bound
  • Keep reading for my Texas Tech vs BYU best bets

The Big 12 basketball slate comes to an end with a late-night battle between two tournament teams. Texas Tech and BYU will play at the Marriott Center in Provo, Utah at 10:30 pm ET on Saturday, March 7. ESPN will carry the broadcast.

Continue reading for my Texas Tech vs BYU best bets and predictions. I have also added the game’s odds as well as a breakdown of the five previous matchups between the Red Raiders and Cougars.

Texas Tech vs BYU Best Bets

  • BYU -2.5 (-109, NorthStar Bets)

BYU has been in a slide, dropping each of its last three games, but they have been sturdy at home, posting an 11-3 record in Provo. This includes an upset win over then-No. 6 Iowa State two weeks ago. BYU also picked up a ranked win in a neutral-site game against then-No. 23 Wisconsin.

Texas Tech had kept the train on the tracks since losing JT Toppin, winning its first three games without him, but the Red Raiders dropped their last game to an unranked TCU squad on Tuesday.

I like the Cougars to snap their losing streak and perform well in their final home game of the season, locking up a top-half seed in March Madness.

  • Under 159.5 (-105, FanDuel)

On the BYU side, this under would have hit in four of its last five games. On the Texas Tech side, only one game has featured 160 points since February began: the Red Raiders’ demolition of Kansas State on Feb. 21.

The average BYU game this season has featured 160.2 points, but with Toppin’s absence weighing large, I expect BYU to have a slightly more effective defensive performance. Toppin led the Red Raiders with a scoring average north of 21 points per game.

Texas Tech is a much more middle-of-the-pack defense, allowing 72.2 points per game. The average Texas Tech game has featured 153.7 points. The first time these teams played, only 155 points were scored, a mark which would hit this under line.

Texas Tech vs BYU Predictions

  • AJ Dybantsa to Record a Double-Double (+300, NorthStar Bets)

Dybantsa had perhaps his worst game of the season when the Cougars played in Lubbock, struggling to 13 points on a 6-for-17 shooting night. By both scoring and GameScore, it was Dybantsa’s worst performance of the season. With this in mind, I expect Dybantsa to answer back in a big way with a well-rounded performance.

Dybantsa has three double-doubles and a triple-double this season. He has four games with 10 or more rebounds and one game with 10 assists. In the first matchup with Texas Tech, Dybantsa only had three rebounds and one assist, so there is plenty of room to grow here.

Texas Tech vs BYU Lines

Bet TypeTexas TechBYU
Spread+3 (-110, Fanatics)-2.5 (-109, NorthStar Bets)
Moneyline+130 (Fanatics)-140 (FanDuel)
TotalO 158.5 (-110, Caesars)U 159.5 (-105, FanDuel)

BYU is a narrow home favorite in its regular-season finale. If you are looking to bet on the Cougars, take them -140 on the moneyline at FanDuel or -2.5 ATS at NorthStar Bets (-109 odds). For Red Raider bettors, take them at +130 on the moneyline or +3 ATS (-110 odds), with both lines coming from Fanatics.

The total is set between 158.5 and 159.5 points. Over bettors should take over 158.5 points at Caesars for -110 odds. Under bettors should take under 159.5 points at FanDuel for -105 odds.

Texas Tech vs BYU: Last Five Matchups

DateScoreLocation
1/17/2026Texas Tech 84, BYU 71Lubbock, TX
1/7/2025Texas Tech 72, BYU 67Provo, UT
1/20/2024Texas Tech 85, BYU 78Lubbock, TX
12/22/1995Texas Tech 81, BYU 71Lubbock, TX
12/17/1993BYU 84, Texas Tech 74Provo, UT

Texas Tech holds the all-time edge, winning four of the seven matchups. BYU won the first three matchups, but Texas Tech has won the last four, including all three matchups since BYU joined the Big 12. Texas Tech won the home matchup back in January by 13.

Texas Tech pulled away late in the first matchup. JT Toppin poured in 27 points and 12 rebounds, one of three Red Raiders to score 20 points. Toppin, notably, is out for the season.

On the BYU side, future top pick AJ Dybantsa struggled, hitting just six of 17 shots for 13 points. Robert Wright led the Cougars with a game-high 28 points.

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Ryan Potts

Ryan Potts is a veteran football and baseball content creator. He was previously a credentialed NFL media member, covering the draft, bombine, and Super Bowl. He has been featured on Atlanta sports talk radio and Arizona student radio. Ryan is a journalism graduate from the University of Arizona.

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