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UConn vs Michigan Live Odds at Halftime – Michigan a -355 Favorite

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in College Basketball

Published:


Michigan Wolverines forward Yaxel Lendeborg gestures to the stands during practice
Michigan Wolverines forward Yaxel Lendeborg (23) reacts during practice ahead of a Final Four game on Friday, April 3, 2026, at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis.
  • The 20226 national championship game between Michigan and UConn is underway
  • Michigan leads by four at halftime and is a -355 favorite to hold on
  • This page will track the live Michigan vs UConn odds throughout the game

The Midwest #1 Michigan Wolverines and East #2 UConn Huskies will contest the 2026 National Championship Game on Monday night at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana. The Wolverines opened as sizable favorites and only got shorter over the last 48 hours.

The table below will display the live odds from prediction site Kalshi over the course of the 40-minute game. Under the table, find running commentary on the live odds along with time stamps.

Note that Kalshi lists prices in cents, which I have converted to standard American odds.

Michigan vs UConn Live Odds (Spread, Total, ML)

MarketUConnMichigan
Spread+8.5 (-105)-8.5 (-125)
Moneyline+335-355
TotalO 137.5 (-120)U 137.5 (-110)

Odds last updated at 9:54 pm ET (Michigan leads 33-29). Moneyline from Kalshi. Spread and total from DraftKings.

It looks as though Michigan will enter the title game as a 6.5-point ATS favorite and -285 on the moneyline (74¢ price at Kalshi). The game total has gone up two full points from the opening line, from 145.5 to 147.5.

The graphic below shows the live moneyline prices at Kalshi. If you haven’t signed up yet, click “Predict” below to claim SBD’s exclusive Kalshi promo code.

Prediction Markets
Live Odds
Learn more about Prediction Markets
Kalshi
Michigan
74%
UConn
27%

Live Odds Timeline:

  • 9:48 pm ET: Michigan leads 33-29 at halftime. They are 7.5-point ATS favorites and -355 on the moneyline. UConn is +335 to come back to win. The total has dropped to 137.5 after the teams combined for just 62 points in the first 20 minutes.
  • 9:40 pm ET: Here come the Wolverines! A quick 6-0 run puts Michigan up 29-25. Their moneyline has shortened to -355. it was just -203 at the under four timeout.
  • 9:33 pm ET: At the under four timeout, UConn leads by two (25-23). The Huskies are +194 on the moneyline, their best odds of the day. The total is now 137.5.
  • 9:29 pm ET: With the score 23-23, the Wolverines are -223 favorites. The Huskies starting backcourt is in foul trouble (two apiece on Ball and Demery).
  • 9:21 pm ET: The game total continues to plummet; it’s dropped to 135.5, a 12-point decline, with 7:00 left in the first half.
  • 9:18 pm ET: With an 18-15 lead, UConn is now +203 to win outright.
  • 9:15 pm ET: The total has dropped to 140.5 after the teams combined for just 31 points in the first ten minutes; that’s a seven-point drop.
  • 9:10 pm ET: Jayden ross will be at the free-throw line and can give UConn its first lead of the game if he hits both. The Huskies’ moneyline shortened further to +257 with 11:57 left in the first half.
  • 9:08 pm ET: UConn hit a couple threes to make it a one-point game. The UConn moneyline improved from +400 to +335.
  • 8:59 pm ET: Up 9-4 early, Michigan’s ML odds have shortened to -426. The total has dropped from 147.5 to 143.5 after the teams combined for just 13 points in the first 4:19 of action.
  • 8:54 pm ET: After a scoreless first 90 seconds, the total has dropped to 144.5.
  • 8:25 pm ET: Thirty minutes from tipoff and Michigan remains a 74¢ (-285) favorite. The spread, which had been MICH -7.5 earlier in the day, is now down to MICH -6.5 (same as the opening line). The total has climbed from the opening number of 145.5 to 147.5 with modest -113 juice on the under.
Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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