Wisconsin vs Indiana Predictions & Best Bets (Feb 7)

• Wisconsin brings a lucrative 3-1 straight-up road record into Bloomington
• The total is trending upward as two top-20 offensive efficiency units clash, led by 20-point scorers Nick Boyd and Lamar Wilkerson.
• Our analysis reveals the best bets for Wisconsin at Indiana

The Big Ten standings are tightening as the Wisconsin Badgers travel to Assembly Hall today for a pivotal conference clash against the Indiana Hoosiers. Tip-off is scheduled for 12 pm, ET (FOX).

Neither team is ranked in the AP Top 25, but both have RPIs in the 50s, implying both are on the NCAA Tournament bubble.

Indiana is 11-2 at home this season, highlighted by its blowout win over Purdue.

Wisconsin has found its stride, having won seven of its past eight games.

The books have installed the hosts as favorites, but the metrics suggest the visitors might be undervalued in this spot. We analyze Wisconsin at Indiana and offer expert betting advice.

Wisconsin vs Indiana Best Bets & Predictions

The market has priced this game largely on venue reputation, installing Indiana as a multi-possession favorite. However, a deeper dive into offensive efficiency and recent form reveals a discrepancy between the line and the on-court production. We have isolated three specific wagers for Saturday’s action.

Spread Pick: Wisconsin +4.5 (-110) at DraftKings

We are backing the road underdog to keep this within the number, if not win outright. While Indiana’s 11-2 home record commands respect, the Badgers have demonstrated exceptional resilience away from the Kohl Center, going 3-1 in true road games this season.

The primary edge for Wisconsin lies in its backcourt consistency. The duo of Nick Boyd (20.0 PPG, 47.7 FG%) and John Blackwell (18.5 PPG, 40.8 FG%) provides the Badgers with two reliable shot creators who can execute in late-clock situations. Conversely, Indiana is heavily reliant on Lamar Wilkerson (20.2 PPG). When defenses key in on Wilkerson, the Hoosiers’ secondary options have shown volatility.

Historically, the Badgers thrive in this specific spot. Facing an Indiana team that has struggled to close out tight games — evidenced by its .500 conference record — getting two buckets with the more efficient offense is the sharp play.

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Over/Under Pick: Over 155.5 Total Points (-110) at Bet365

This total might seem aggressive for a traditional Big Ten battle, but the tempo and personnel dictate a high-scoring affair. Both programs rank in the upper echelon of the conference in offensive rating, with neither defense possessing the lockdown capability to stifle the opposing stars.

We are looking at a matchup featuring two of the top three scorers in the conference. Indiana’s Wilkerson (2nd) and Wisconsin’s Boyd (3rd) are dynamic scorers capable of 25-point performances. Additionally, Wisconsin’s 7-foot forward Nolan Winter stretches the floor with 57.8% shooting, pulling Indiana’s rim protectors away from the paint and opening driving lanes. With Tucker DeVries (13.7 PPG) adding firepower for the Hoosiers, expect both teams to trade baskets well into the 70s.

Public Betting Trends

The college basketball public betting shows early action on the total at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall suggests the public is anticipating fireworks. The consensus among bettors aligns with the high-scoring narrative, creating a unified front on the Over.

Total Points (Over/Under)

The betting data reveals a correlation between ticket count and handle, indicating genuine market confidence rather than just casual speculation.

• Over 155.5: 56.94% of Bets | 52.61% of Money
• Under 155.5: 43.06% of Bets | 47.39% of Money

While the percentages are fairly balanced, the slight lean toward the Over in both categories validates the expectation that efficient offense will trump defense in this matchup. It is worth noting there is no significant “sharp” contrarian split here; the money is flowing proportionally with the ticket volume.

Data reported as of February 6, 2026.

Wisconsin vs Indiana Team Stats

The table below breaks down the key performance indicators for Saturday’s matchup:

Wisconsin vs. Indiana Odds

The following odds are current as of Saturday morning, reflecting the market’s expectation of a home victory for the Hoosiers.

• Moneyline: Indiana -220 | Wisconsin +180
• Spread: Indiana -4.5 (-110) | Wisconsin +4.5 (-110)
• Total: Over/Under 155.5 (-110)

Odds as of February 6, 2026, from DraftKings Sportsbook.

The -4.5 line implies that oddsmakers view Assembly Hall as worth approximately 4 to 5 points, considering the teams are dead even in RPI rankings. The total of 155.5 is one of the higher numbers on the Big Ten slate, acknowledging the pace at which both teams operate.

Implied Win Probabilities

Removing the vigorish (vig) from the moneyline prices gives us the break-even probabilities for each side:

• Indiana Hoosiers: 65.8%
• Wisconsin Badgers: 34.2%

Moneyline Payout Scenarios

For bettors looking to play the outright result, the payouts vary significantly:

• Betting on Wisconsin (+180): A standard $20 wager on the Badgers to win outright returns a profit of $36.00, resulting in a total payout of $56.00.
• Betting on Indiana (-220): A $20 wager on the favorites requires more risk for less reward, returning a profit of just $9.09 for a total payout of $29.09.