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Final Notre Dame vs Georgia Prediction & Updated Odds for Sugar Bowl

Nick Holz

By Nick Holz in College Football

Published:


Notre Dame vs Georgia prediction
Notre Dame Fighting Irish running back Jeremiyah Love (4) celebrates after scoring a touchdown during the first half against Indiana.
  • Notre Dame and Georgia battle in the Sugar Bowl CFP Quarterfinal 
  • The under hit in 5 of the Georgia Bulldogs last 7 games vs. top 25 scoring defenses
  • Check out the final Notre Dame vs Georgia prediction, updated odds below

Notre Dame (12-1) and Georgia (11-2, 6-2 SEC) prepare for an epic showdown in a CFP Sugar Bowl that promises to deliver fireworks. Led by their relentless defense, the Fighting Irish look to continue their march towards their first National Championship of the 21st century. While Georgia aim to flex their SEC muscle and remind everyone why they’ve won two of the last three national titles.

This line has flipped since opening with the Bulldogs as 1.-5 point favorites, while the total has stayed steady at 45.5 points. Due to the horrific events that occurred in New Orleans on New Year’s Eve, the Sugar Bowl has been postponed 24 hours to Thursday, January 2.

Here’s a deep dive into the updated odds, key matchups and our final Notre Dame vs Georgia prediction.

Notre Dame vs Georgia Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Notre Dame +1.5 (-106) -108 Over 45.5 (-106)
Georgia -1.5 (-114) -111 Under 45.5 (-114)

Georgia are 1.5-point favorites in the college football bowl odds. The total for Notre Dame vs Georgia is set at 45.5 points.

Take note, 60% of ATS wagers are on the Bulldogs to cover the 1.5-point spread, with 61% of the money also on Georgia in the college football public betting splits.

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Odds as of January 1 at FanDuel. Check out the best college football betting apps for Notre Dame vs Georgia.

Notre Dame Betting News & Notes

Notre Dame has won 11 straight games since falling to Northern Illinois early this season. The Fighting Irish rushing attack will be their main weapon, as ND ranks #10 in the country with 222.4 rushing yards a game. Expect to see a ton of standout running back Jeremiyah Love. Notre Dame will feed their star back early and often after he racked up 1057 yards and 16 touchdowns on the ground. Jadarian Price (683 yards, seven touchdowns) gives the Fighting Irish a solid 1-2 punch.

Veteran quarterback Riley Leonard leads an efficient passing offense. Leonard finished the year with 2,293 passing yards and 17 touchdowns with just six interceptions. Notre Dame will undoubted aim to establish the run versus Georgia. But, Leonard will need to be at his very best when called upon to win this football game.

Even without injured cover man Benjamin Morrison, the Fighting Irish boast one of the finest defenses in the country. Safety Xavier Watts will be sought after in the 2025 NFL Draft. Notre Dame allows just 13.8 points per game and 4.4 yards per play, while limiting opponents to a 49.6% completion percentage on passing plays. Notre Dame leads the FBS in EPA per pass allowed (0.42), and passing success rate against (32.2%).

Georgia Betting News & Notes

Kirby Smart’s Georgia Bulldogs head to the Sugar Bowl without starting quarterback Carson Beck. Beck left Georgia’s SEC title game loss to Texas with an elbow injury, and had surgery in December, ending his season. In his place steps sophomore Gunner Stockton. A former four-star recruit, Stockton will step on the Sugar Bowl field having attempted only 51 passes in his college football career.

Georgia’s offense has struggled this season without weapons like Ladd McConkey and Brock Bowers. The Bulldogs average just 5.8 yards per play. Concerningly, Georgia has floundered when running the football for long stretches, averaging 4 yards per carry and 126.3 yards per game. The offense sits 36th in EPA per pass, and 37th in EPA per rush, while converting on only 42.6% of third-downs.

If Smart’s men are to be successful, Georgia will need their defense to be at its very best. While they lack the star power of previous iterations, the Bulldogs have surrendered just 21.8 points per game and 5.1 yards per play.

Keep in mind, Georgia is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games.

Final Notre Dame vs Georgia Prediction

The question remains, can which one of these teams can successfully run the football and take the pressure of their quarterbacks? With an inexperienced pivot under center, Georgia will struggle to score points.

Notre Dame is fifth in net EPA per drive and their top-ranked defense will lift them to victory in the Sugar Bowl. Bet on Marcus Freeman’s Fighting Irish to pull off the upset.

Notre Dame vs Georgia Prediction:  Notre Dame ML -108

Nick Holz
Nick Holz

Sports Content Writer

A sports betting aficionado and graduate of Toronto Film School, Nick covers the NFL, NBA, Soccer, and MMA for SBD. He is also an avid NBA podcaster, and sports betting TikToker. Nick's work has been featured on Bleacher Report.

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