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Georgia vs Mississippi State Line, Prediction & Best Bet – CFB Week 11

Zach Reger

By Zach Reger in College Football

Published:


Anthony Evans III celebrating in the endzone after scoring a touchdown
Nov 1, 2025; Fayetteville, Arkansas, USA; Mississippi State Bulldogs wide receiver Anthony Evans III (3) celebrates after scoring a touchdown during the fourth quarter against the Arkansas Razorbacks at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium. Bulldogs won 38-35. Mandatory Credit: Nelson Chenault-Imagn Images
  • Mississippi State hosts #5 Georgia in CFB Week 11
  • Georgia is a 9.5-point road favorite over Mississippi State
  • Keep reading for the latest Georgia vs Mississippi State odds, picks, and predictions for Saturday, November 8

The Battle of the Bulldogs goes down on Saturday, November 8 as Georgia travels to Starkville to take on Mississippi State. Kickoff for this game is scheduled for noon ET.

Both of these teams head into this one after a win. Georgia beat Florida 24-20 in their last game, and Mississippi State won 38-35 over Arkansas last week.

Georgia leads the all-time series 21-6 and has won five straight. Will that dominance continue, or will Mississippi State get their first win over Georgia since 2010?

See below for my Georgia vs Mississippi State picks and betting analysis for CFB Week 11.

Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction

Georgia enters this game 7-1 and has won four in a row. They are just 3-5 against the spread this season. They have been favored in every game that they have played, and this game is no different.

The Bulldogs are ranked #5 in the CFP rankings, but this team has not seemed as dominant as we are used to under Kirby Smart. Their defense has a tough time generating pressure and turnovers, but their offense has made enough plays for them throughout the year.

Quarterback Gunner Stockton is completing 70.3% of his passes while throwing for 12 touchdowns and just two interceptions. He has also added seven touchdowns on the ground.

Chauncey Bowens leads the team in rushing with 446, and he is averaging 5.6 yards per carry. USC transfer Zachariah Branch has been a strong addition to this team, and he leads the team in receiving. They have the weapons to score with anyone, but this game will come down to the defense.

Mississippi State has looked much improved this year, as they are 5-4 with two overtime losses. The Bulldogs are one of the best teams against the spread with an 8-1 ATS record.

Quarterback Blake Shapen has been great slinging it for Mississippi State, throwing for 2,148 yards and 15 touchdowns. He has a chance to have another strong game against Georgia and their lack of a pass rush. Their offensive line is worrisome, but luckily, Georgia does not pose a huge threat to them.

Georgia vs Mississippi State Odds

TeamsSpreadMoneylineTotal
Georgia Bulldogs-9.5 (-110)-350O 56.5 (-105)
Mississippi State Bulldogs+9.5 (-110)+280U 56.5 (-115)

Odds as of Friday, November 7 at BetMGM. Be sure to claim the best BetMGM promo code before locking in your Gerogia vs Mississippi State picks.

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The college football odds list Georgia as a 9.5-point favorite over Mississippi State. This line has had some interesting movement as we near kickoff. The spread opened at Georgia -9.5, but then it dipped to Georgia -7.5. It worked its way back up to Georgia -8.5, and now the spread is back to where it opened.

The total in this SEC showdown is set at 56.5. It has been bet down slightly after opening at O/U 57.5

Georgia vs Mississippi State Picks

Mississippi State has been playing nothing but close games, and I believe we have another thriller on our hands Saturday. The Bulldogs should be able to move the ball against Georgia’s defense, so it will come down to getting stops.

Georgia will have some success running the ball, but 9.5 is simply too many points to lay against this Mississippi State team at home.

Sports Betting Dime •

Pick
Odds
HomePointSpread +9.5
Spread
CFB • Georgia Bulldogs @ Mississippi State Bulldogs
-105 on Bet365
SCHEDULED • 11/08/2025
Tally (Win %)
0-0-0 (0%)
Money Meter
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Betslip #1762555480407-eede-993

Mississippi State has covered the spread in two of their last three against Georgia. I expect them to cover the spread yet again, and Mississippi State is a live dog in this one. Starkville will be rocking, and the Cowbells will be loud.

UGA vs MSU Pick: Mississippi State +9.5 (-105)

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Zach Reger
Zach Reger

Social Media Manager; Sports Betting Personality & Handicapper

Zach has been involved in the sports betting industry for three years. After starting to bet on sports in college, Zach was interested in how it can make any game interesting. The trends, line movement, and finding unique angles to predict the outcomes of games captivated Zach to get more involved.

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