Skip to content

LSU vs Ole Miss Prediction, Expert Pick & Updated Betting Line

Darren Cooper

By Darren Cooper in College Football

Published:


Sep 20, 2025; Oxford, Mississippi, USA; Mississippi Rebels quarterback Trinidad Chambliss (6) passes the ball during the fourth quarter against the Tulane Green Wave at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Petre Thomas-Imagn Images
  • Ole Miss hosts LSU at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in a battle of SEC contenders at 3:30 p.m. on ESPN.
  • The Rebels are a slight favorite in the 114th meeting between the two schools, the last two meetings have come down to the final play.
  • Check out my expert LSU vs Ole Miss prediction, pick and look at the updated betting line for Sept. 27.

No. 4 LSU (4-0, 2-2 ATS) travels to Oxford to take on No. 13 Ole Miss (3-0; 3-1 ATS) Saturday in the “Magnolia Bowl.” The Tigers have won seven of the last nine meetings, and the winning team has covered the spread in each of the last five meetings.

The Rebels are 30-3 in their last 33 home games. The Rebels are 1.5-point favorites across the board, and the total is firm at 57.5.

I’m locked in on LSU vs Ole Miss and have your latest look at the betting line and my prediction and pick.

LSU vs Ole Miss Prediction

LSU has a different identity than the last two years where their defense was – in a word – horrible. Boosted by some transfers, LSU now ranks No. 9 in the nation in scoring defense, allowing only 9.2 points a game.

The strength of the LSU defense is a secondary led by Va. Tech transfer cornerback Mansoor Delane and do-everything linebacker Harold Perkins Jr. Both are almost certain first-round picks.

Ole Miss coach Lane Kiffin has used two quarterbacks this season. Austin Simmons was the starter when the season began, but it looks like he’s been replaced. Trinidad Chambliss has started the last two weeks and is expected to start again against LSU. He’s a better runner than Simmons and has thrown for 718 yards and four touchdowns.

The Rebels are scoring 44.8 points per game, so it’s the classic offense vs. defense match-up. Something has to give.

LSU vs Ole Miss Expert Pick

Sports Betting Dime

Pick
Odds
AwayPointSpread +1.5
Spread
CFB • LSU Tigers @ Ole Miss Rebels
-105 on BetMGM
SCHEDULED • 09/27/2025
Tally (Win %)
0-0-0 (0%)
Money Meter
$0.00
ROI
0.0%
Betslip #1758972666728-2715-581

I’m picking LSU to go on the road and edge the Rebels. The LSU defense is the best unit on the field.

Kiffin went viral on social media this week when his daughter was pictured with LSU linebacker Whit Weeks saying ‘take the over’ but I don’t see this one going over 50 points.

LSU’s offense was supposed to be loaded with Heisman candidate Garrett Nussmeier at the helm, but he’s been steady, not great (the whispers around the program are that he’s playing hurt). LSU will also be without lead running back Caden Durham, who has a sprained ankle.

The last two games between these two came down to a final play. I like LSU kicker Damian Ramos to win it with a late kick.

Updated LSU vs Ole Miss Betting Line

Bet TypeLSUOle Miss
Spread+1.5 (-110)-1.5 (-110)
Moneyline+105-125
TotalO 57.5 (-110)U 57.5 (-110)
CAESARS SPORTSBOOK


Bet $1 & Double Your Winnings On Your First 20 Wagers!

LOCK IN PROMO
CODE: SBD20X
CODE: SBD20X
SIGNUP PROMO
DOUBLE YOUR
WINNINGS

ON YOUR FIRST 20 WAGERS!

CLAIM OFFER

Odds as of Sept. 27 at Caesars. Check out Caesars Rewards and join the Caesars Empire before LSU and Ole Miss.

There hasn’t been much movement in this line. The big intrigue is how LSU is ranked higher than Ole Miss in the AP poll, but the underdog coming in. That’s a red flag for smart bettors.

LSU is 4-6 against the spread in its last 10 games. They didn’t cover huge spreads – 49 points in a win over Southeastern Louisiana and 35 in a win over Louisiana Tech – this season.

Ole Miss is 4-1 in its last five games against the spread.

As far as the total, LSU has hit the under in nine of its last 12 games, while Ole Miss has gone over in eight of its last 13 contests. Three of the previous four meetings ticked the under.

There isn’t much variance in the moneyline. You can get Ole Miss -120 at Fanatics and LSU +105 at BetMGM and Caesars.

  • BETMGM SPORTSBOOK

    USE CODE SBD1500 & GET $1,500 BACK IN BONUS BETS

  • BET365 SPORTSBOOK

    BET $5 & GET $200 IN BONUS BETS WITH CODE DIME365

  • FANATICS SPORTSBOOK

    BET $10, GET $100 IN FANCASH + GAMEDAY GUARANTEE

  • DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK

    BET $5 & GET $200 IN BONUS BETS INSTANTLY + OVER $200 OFF NFL SUNDAY TICKET!

  • FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK

    BET $5 & GET $300 IF YOUR BET WINS

  • CAESARS SPORTSBOOK

    USE CODE SBD20X & BET $1 TO DOUBLE THE WINNINGS ON YOUR FIRST 20 WAGERS!

  • ESPN BET SPORTSBOOK

    USE CODE DIME TO UNLOCK BET $10, GET $100 BONUS & ESPN+

  • DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK T&Cs: GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/KY/NH/WY). Void in ONT/OR/NH. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino & Resort (KS).

  • Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, IL, KS, KY, MD, MI, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, WY); (800) 327-5050 or gamblinghelplinema.org (MA); (877) 8-HOPENY (NY); 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ); (888) 789-7777 (CT); 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA); 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN); mdgamblinghelp.org (MD); morethanagame.nc.gov (NC); 1800gambler.net (WV)

Darren Cooper

Darren has been covering the world of sports since 1998. His grandfather had a special 'system' to bet on the ponies, but the secrets of that system have been lost to time. He loves betting the under, thinks homefield advantage is worth more than 3 points nowadays and always stays within his means.

NFL NBA MLB NHL Golf Soccer NCAAB Politics MMA Gambling Horse Racing Tech

Recommended Reading