Miami vs Texas A&M Player Props: Best Bets & Picks for CFP

• Miami faces Texas A&M in the first round of the College Football Playoff on Saturday at Kyle Field
• Carson Beck has thrown 11 touchdowns against just one interception over his last four games for the Hurricanes
• Keep reading for the best Miami vs Texas A&M player props, best bets, and picks for Saturday’s playoff opener

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Round 1 of the CFP resumes on Saturday at noon ET when 10th-seeded Miami faces seventh-seeded Texas A&M in College Station. The Hurricanes enter on a four-game winning streak with quarterback Carson Beck playing his best football of the season.

Texas A&M brings a stingy defense that ranks 19th nationally in total defense. But the Aggies have a glaring weakness: their -7 turnover margin ranks 111th in the country, worst among all CFP teams.

I’ve loaded up my three best prop bets for Saturday’s CFP Round 1 game. Below, I break down my Miami vs Texas A&M player props and picks.

Miami vs Texas A&M Player Props

In the Miami vs Texas A&M props, Reed’s 227.5-yard passing line sits above Beck’s 221.5 number, though Beck’s over on 1.5 passing touchdowns offers plus money at +102 compared to Reed’s -106.

Pringle leads Miami rushers with a line of 39.5 yards, while Fletcher and Reed are both at 36.5 yards. In receiving, Malachi Toney tops the board at 77.5 yards with a 1.5 reception line at heavy juice (-148). Texas A&M’s KC Concepcion leads Aggies receivers at 58.5 yards, with Mario Craver at 54.5 yards.

Odds as of December 18, 2025 at FanDuel Sportsbook. New customers can claim the FanDuel promo code and get a bonus to bet on the College Football Playoff.

Miami vs Texas A&M Prop #1: Carson Beck Passing Touchdowns

My Miami vs Texas A&M props begin with the visiting quarterback. Beck has been on fire during Miami’s four-game winning streak, completing 89 of 112 passes for 1,125 yards with 11 touchdowns and just one interception. That’s 2.75 passing touchdowns per game while completing nearly 80% of his throws.

The mismatch in turnover margins sells me on Beck finding the end zone multiple times Saturday. Miami sits at +9 on the season, ranking 12th nationally. The Hurricanes have generated 20 takeaways while giving up just 11 turnovers. Over their last four games, they’re +5 in turnover differential.

Texas A&M can’t take the ball away. The Aggies forced only nine turnovers all season and just three over their final seven games. They rank 111th in turnover margin at -7, having lost 16 turnovers while generating minimal defensive takeaways.

Carson Beck Recent Game Log

Beck should receive extra possessions and shorter fields due to Miami’s defensive turnovers, giving him opportunities to punch in touchdowns from favorable field position. Considering the Aggies’ secondary has only recorded three interceptions all year, Beck should be able to push the ball downfield without worrying about picks.

The icing on the cake is Miami’s elite red zone efficiency. The Hurricanes rank seventh nationally in red zone scoring at 94.4%. When they get inside the 20, they finish drives with touchdowns instead of settling for field goals.

Beck has hit the over on 1.5 passing TDs in seven of 12 games this season, and this matchup sets up nicely for him to improve that mark. The plus-money price at +102 makes this Miami vs Texas A&M prop even more attractive.

• Pick: Carson Beck Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+102 at FanDuel)

Miami vs Texas A&M Prop #2: Ashton Bethel-Roman Receiving Yards

I’m fading a Texas A&M receiver for my next Miami vs Texas A&M prop bet. Bethel-Roman is a boom-or-bust deep threat averaging 23.0 yards per catch. He either catches a bomb or disappears. The redshirt freshman has just 20 receptions for 459 yards and five touchdowns across nine games this season

His game log shows wild variance. He caught four passes for 139 yards against South Carolina and grabbed four for 83 yards at Arkansas. But he also posted just two catches for 17 yards against Texas in his most recent outing.

Ashton Bethel-Roman Recent Game Log

The injury is why I like this prop. Bethel-Roman was seen limping in practice this week after his injury in the Texas game. Deep threats rely on speed to get open, and an injured leg makes that much harder.

Texas A&M WR Ashton Bethel-Roman catching passes before the CFP first round: pic.twitter.com/zJOz8uRdQK

— 𝕋𝕣𝕒𝕧𝕚𝕤 𝕃. 𝔹𝕣𝕠𝕨𝕟 (@Travis_L_Brown) December 16, 2025

His target share is minimal. Bethel-Roman averages just 2.2 catches per game as the WR3 behind Mario Craver and KC Concepcion.

In a playoff game, Reed goes to his trusted targets. Craver will eat up the target share with Concepcion also in the mix. Bethel-Roman has cleared 21.5 receiving yards in six of nine games, but his three misses (20, 18, 17 yards) came against defenses that limited his deep shots. Miami’s secondary has the speed to take away the deep ball and force Bethel-Roman into a quiet afternoon.

With limited targets against a quality secondary in a high-stakes CFP matchup, I’m backing the under on this Miami vs Texas A&M prop.

• Pick: Ashton Bethel-Roman Under 21.5 Receiving Yards (-114 at FanDuel)

Miami vs Texas A&M Touchdown Props

Malachi Toney leads the anytime touchdown board at -115 as Miami’s top receiving threat. Texas A&M running backs Owens and Moss sit at +120 as the Aggies’ primary goal-line options. Fletcher’s touchdown odds are +140, solid value for Miami’s main goal-line back.

Miami vs Texas A&M Prop #3: Mark Fletcher Jr. Anytime TD Scorer

My final Miami vs Texas A&M prop bet targets the Hurricanes’ goal-line back at plus-money. Fletcher is a touchdown machine, scoring 11 times this season despite dealing with injuries. He’s racked up 20 touchdowns over his last 23 games played, including nine scores in 13 games last year.

At 6’2″ and 225 pounds, Fletcher is Miami’s designated goal-line back. He finished the season with 141 carries for 685 yards and 10 rushing touchdowns, plus 14 catches for 107 yards and a receiving score. He’s scored in eight of his 10 games this season, averaging 1.1 touchdowns per game when healthy.

Mark Fletcher Jr. Recent Game Log

Texas A&M’s run defense got exposed against Texas. The Longhorns gashed the Aggies for 218 rushing yards in their regular-season meeting. The Aggies rank 105th in EPA per rush and 135th in rushing explosiveness.

The red zone numbers favor Fletcher as Miami converts 92.3% of its red zone trips into touchdowns (7th nationally). Texas A&M ranks 134th in red zone defense. When the Hurricanes get close, Fletcher is the guy who punches it in.

BIG BOY FOOTBALL!!!!!!!!

MARK FLETCHER TOUCHDOWN!!! pic.twitter.com/gWDoPoNSDk

— Grant Speaks (@GrantSpeaks1) November 29, 2025

Fletcher is coming off a score against Pitt on just 10 carries and caught a touchdown against Virginia Tech in his return from injury. His ceiling showed against Stanford, where he punched in three touchdowns on 23 carries for 106 yards.

Miami does employ a dual-backfield approach with Girard Pringle also getting carries, but Fletcher is still the main goal-line back.

I’m not turning down +140 odds for a player who averages 1.1 touchdowns per game and faces a defense ranked 134th in red zone efficiency.

• Pick: Mark Fletcher Jr. Anytime Touchdown (+140 at FanDuel)

Odds as of December 18, 2025, at College Football betting apps. Make sure you check out the best online sportsbook to bet on CFP player props.