Skip to content

National Championship Game MVP Odds & Predictions for Miami vs Indiana

Darren Cooper

By Darren Cooper in College Football

Published:


Miami Hurricanes wide receiver Malachi Toney (10) carries the ball against the Mississippi Rebels in the first half during the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl and CFP semifinal game at State Farm Stadium on Jan. 8, 2026, in Glendale.
  • The offensive and defensive MVP odds are out for tonight’s College Football National Championship Game between Indiana and Miami.
  • Led by Heisman Trophy winner Fernando Mendoza, the Hoosiers are 7.5-point favorites to win.
  • I’ve got the insights, odds and predictions for tonight’s offensive and defensive MVP for the National Championship Game.

Indiana goes for its first college football national championship when it meets Miami in what is essentially a home game for the Hurricanes at Hard Rock Stadium tonight at 7:30 p.m.

Hoosiers quarterback Fernando Mendoza is the favorite to be the offensive MVP, while Indiana defensive back D’Angelo Pounds is the leader to be the defensive MVP tonight.

I’ve got the latest National Championship Game MVP odds, plus predictions on who will be the MVPs for tonight’s matchup between Miami and Indiana.

National Championship Game MVP Odds: Offense

Fernando Mendoza-175
Carson Beck+400
Mark Fletcher Jr.+1000
Elijah Sarratt+1600
Malachi Toney+1600
Kaelon Black+2200

Odds as of Jan. 19 at consensus college football betting apps. Make sure you check out the best online sportsbook to bet on the National Championship Game.

BETMGM SPORTSBOOK
Get a $50 BetMGM Rewards Bonus & Up To $1,500 Paid Back in Bonus Bets!

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (Available in the US), Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. This promotional offer is not available in DC, MS, NY, NV, ON, or PR.
LOCK IN PROMO
CODE: SBD1550
CODE: SBD1550
SIGNUP BONUS
GET $50 BETMGM
REWARDS POINTS

+ UP TO $1,500 BACK!

BET NOW

There’s some disparity in the National Championship Game MVP odds from BetMGM compared to FanDuel all over the board. Mendoza is the obvious choice here, but his BetMGM odds (-175) are much better than at FanDuel (-260).

Mendoza has become the darling of college football. He won the Heisman Trophy and comes across as incredibly polite in his post-game interviews. My favorite stat on Mendoza is that in his last two CFP playoff games, he’s thrown five incomplete passes while throwing for eight touchdowns.

Indiana is the big favorite, so you would expect if the Hoosiers win, Mendoza will be the pick even if his numbers are modest.

On the Miami side, running back Mark Fletcher Jr. has been the hammer in the postseason. He had 133 yards against Ole Miss and 172 against Texas A&M (anyone else remember how close Miami was to losing that game?). He’s great value at +1000 at BetMGM.

Hoosiers WR Elijah Sarratt is a long shot at +2700 at FanDuel, but he’s scored touchdowns in four straight games for Indiana. A two-TD night in a close win over Miami puts him in the MVP conversation.

National Championship Game MVP Odds: Defense

D’Angelo Pounds+600
Rueben Bain Jr.+600
Rolijah Hardy+900
Louis Moore+1000
Amare Ferrell+1000
Isaiah Jones+1000
Marlo Landino+1000

Odds courtesy of BetMGM. Get set for the CFP National Championship with our BetMGM bonus code.

The favorite here is D’Angelo Pounds, the Indiana defensive back, but I think I’d stay away from him. He made the big play in the Hoosiers’ win over Oregon with the pick-six on the first play, but a DB winning this award? I’d be really surprised.

Indiana’s best defensive player this season has been Rolijah Hardy with eight sacks and 15 TFLs. He’s great value here at +1000 at FanDuel.

If you want to believe in Miami tonight, then you know they have to win it on defense. They probably aren’t winning a shootout. I love Rueben Bain Jr. for Miami at +900 at FanDuel. Miami’s best shot is to get after Mendoza with a pass rush. If Bain Jr. has two sacks, a few tackles and the Canes find a way to win, he’d be a lock to be Defensive MVP.

National Championship Game MVP Predictions

Mendoza is such an obvious pick for offensive MVP that I’m actually surprised the odds aren’t even lower for him. He’s had a great season and has become the poster boy for Indiana football.

My sleeper pick for offensive MVP would be Malachi Toney for Miami. Toney, a freshman, plays all over the field for the U. He gets snaps at quarterback, is mainly a wide receiver, but they like to use him on sweeps and reverses too.

On defense, I am locking in with Bain Jr. as my pick. Even if Miami loses and it’s close, I can see Bain having a good night and putting up some numbers. I think it’s close tonight, even though the spread is seven, and it comes down to the end. Bain Jr. could be Defensive MVP even if his team loses.

  • BETMGM SPORTSBOOK

    USE CODE SBD1550 TO GET $50 IN BETMGM REWARDS & UP TO $1,500 PAID BACK

  • BET365 SPORTSBOOK

    BET $5 & GET $200 IN BONUS BETS WITH CODE DIME365

  • THESCORE BET SPORTSBOOK

    USE CODE DIME TO UNLOCK BET $10, GET $100 BONUS

  • DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK

    BET $5 & GET $300 IN BONUS BETS IF YOUR BET WINS

  • FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK

    BET $5 & GET $300 IF YOUR BET WINS

  • CAESARS SPORTSBOOK

    USE CODE SBD250BM & GET A BET MATCH ON YOUR FIRST BET UP TO $250!

  • FANATICS SPORTSBOOK

    BET & GET UP TO $2,000 IN FANCASH

  • DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK T&Cs:21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/KY/NH/WY). Void in ONT/OR/NH. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino & Resort (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new customer. Must register new account to receive reward Token. Must select Token BEFORE placing min. $5 bet to receive $300 in Bonus Bets if your bet wins. Min. -500 odds req. Token and Bonus Bets are single-use and non-withdrawable. Token expires 2/1/26. Bonus Bets expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 1/25/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

  • BET365 SPORTSBOOK T&Cs:Minimum $10 deposit required. Minimum odds -500 of greater. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply. GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL OR TEXT 1-800-GAMBLER (AZ/CO/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA/MD/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ only (18+ KY).

  • BETMGM SPORTSBOOK T&Cs: Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (Available in the US), Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. This promotional offer is not available in DC, MS, NY, NV, ON, or PR.

Darren Cooper

Darren has been covering the world of sports since 1998. His grandfather had a special 'system' to bet on the ponies, but the secrets of that system have been lost to time. He loves betting the under, thinks homefield advantage is worth more than 3 points nowadays and always stays within his means.

NFL NBA MLB NHL Golf Soccer NCAAB Politics MMA Gambling Horse Racing Tech

Recommended Reading